Tag: Nato ally

  • Turkey And NATO Sixty Years On – Analysis

    Turkey And NATO Sixty Years On – Analysis

    By Süreyya Yiğit

    Mr. Anders Fogh Rasmussen, the Secretary General of NATO paid an official visit to Turkey on 16 – 17 February 2012. He met with both the President and the Foreign Minister. This visit is important not due to the meetings and outcomes the Secretary General had and arrived at but significant in that it highlighted the sixtieth anniversary of Turkey’s incorporation into the Atlantic Alliance.

    On such a solemn occasion Rasmussen declared that “Turkey plays an important role in our operations and we are particularly grateful for your steadfast commitment to our ISAF operation. Turkey has an important voice in our decisions. And Turkey has a vital part to play in shaping our partnerships”.

    Then and Now

    Turkey orthographic projection.svgTurkey

    In fact the past six decades have been quite eventful witnessing both strong cooperation as well as deep disagreement between Turkey and fellow NATO members. During this time Turkey, NATO and the whole world has changed, and changed quite drastically. It is very difficult to compare the Turkey of 1952 with that of 2012. Equally, the NATO of 1952 is not the NATO of 2012. Then it had enlarged from 12 to 14 and today it has doubled from that, standing at 28.

    Today, the Turkish Republic is an aspiring regional power with a buoyant economy, developing democracy, tried and tested effective military with a population of over 70 million. Sixty years ago, Turkey having avoided military confrontation in the Second World War was only just beginning to benefit from both the Truman Doctrine of 1947 and Marshall Aid, the population standing around 24 million. The economy was hugely dominated by agriculture with poor infrastructure and even worse transportation links. The menacing Soviet diplomatic notes of 1945-46 had driven Turkey into the Western bloc illustrated by her membership of the Council of Europe the year NATO was established. The heavy burden of military costs had taken its toll during the war years and the economy had not been able to diversify by the time of NATO accession, nor in truth was it able to stand on its own two feet.

    Within the political and military elite, few had good command of another foreign language which proved to be a major hurdle at times during the Korean War, within which the Turkish Brigade served with distinction. In actual fact much has been attributed to the bravery of the Turkish soldiers easing the path of NATO accession for Turkey. It is certainly true that the casualties incurred by the Turkish brigade were very high and the determination of the Turkish government to defend democracy in the Korean peninsula was second to no other country than the USA, as they were the second country to send military forces to the UN, after the USA.

    The Valiant Defense of Korea

    The commitment of Ankara for around 5000 troops to be sent to Korea constituted the first military operation in the history of the young republic to take place beyond her national borders. It provided an excellent example of the lengths to which the government was prepared to go to prove its commitment to Western values and security and to highlight Turkey’s place within it.

    Douglas Macarthur, as the United Nations Forces Commander in Chief had stated that “The Turks are the hero of heroes. There is no impossibility for the Turkish Brigade.” When Macarthur was sacked and replaced by Ridgway as the commander in chief of the United Nations Forces, he was also to add that, “I had heard of the fame of the Turkish soldiers before I came to Korea. The truth is I had not really believed what I had heard. But I now understand that in fact you are the best and most trustworthy soldiers of the world”. It is due to these statements and more that, legitimately much weight is given to the heroism of the Turkish Brigades in Korea being the decisive element in accepting Turkey as a NATO member.

    Conflict on the Horizon

    It must be remembered that this was happening at a time when the Cold War had transformed itself into a “hot war” in Asia and was forecast by many to spread to Western Europe. It was a time when Churchill, the wartime British Prime Minister had been returned to office, after spending six long years in opposition, when Eisenhower was no longer the wartime supreme commander but a strong prospect to take over after Truman as American President in 1952. In the Soviet Union, Stalin held all the reins of power. Turkey, having recently ventured into multi-party democracy had experienced its first peaceful transition of power through a free and fair election in 1950 being governed by the new Democrat Party administration directed by President Bayar and Premier Menderes as she became alongside Greece, the two new members within the first ever enlargement of NATO.

    It must be stated that most of the Turkish population were not highly informed of military alliances when NATO was formed in 1949, though with the ensuing Korean crisis and Turkish participation, the political and military elite quickly understood the dangers facing western Europe of an expansionary communist ideology espoused by the USSR, which concentrated them into taking a firm decision to join the effort to strengthen western defenses.

    An Alliance of Democracies?

    To what extent was Turkey a democratic country at the time of accession? To what extent was the United States a democracy in 1952 or Britain for that matter? None of them were true reflections of democracy in practice at that time when viewed through the prism of 2012.

    Certainly Turkey lacked the established traditions of a democratic political culture, the USA suffered from institutionalized discrimination in the form of racism domestically and Britain was far from a model of sexual equality and social understanding and cooperation. The idea of Empire still held sway in South East Asia where the British tried to hold onto Malaya and in the Middle East and Africa where British troops were stationed in the Suez Canal with Sudan being denied self-determination. The idea of colonialism and empire was also shared by the French trying desperately to hold onto Indo-China in the Far East and considering Algeria to be French territory but Algerians not the equivalent of French citizens. These were the prevailing values and circumstances that NATO members found themselves in 1952.

    All NATO members have since endured a long process of social and political reform which has enabled all to become better models of democracy manifesting the core values of a democratic society where the rule of law is supreme, human rights sacrosanct, toleration a virtue and freedom of speech and choice elevated to the realm of precept. None of the members are perfect models of democracy and some members have further to travel on the road towards the ideal progressive democracy, but the NATO ideal of democracies banding together to oppose communism has succeeded. The collapse of the Berlin Wall and the disestablishment of the Soviet Union robbed NATO of a threat and provided the members a cause to celebrate the fact that the democratic model had triumphed over the autocratic.

    End of the Cold War

    Whilst some thought that the end of communism meant the end of NATO, that prescription proved to be premature. Turks agreed with the principle that NATO should meet threats to security both within the North Atlantic area and beyond when necessary. Henceforth, the Turkish Republic fully appreciated and emphasized with the American trauma of September 11th, having suffered at the hands of terrorism for decades and subsequently supported the invocation of Article 5.

    It provided military assistance as far away as Afghanistan and as recently as in Libya to NATO efforts to bring forth peace and stability to these war-torn, violence-ridden societies, both of whom which incidentally have historic ties to Turkey. Therefore, the sixty years of association with NATO have shaped both Turkey and NATO. Turkey has become stronger militarily, despite setbacks continually expressed her desire for democracy, modernized and diversified its economy, developed the potential of its citizens through education and opportunity and in the post-cold war era begun to tentatively offer its services to enhance security and stability in its region and beyond, which have stretched all the way to the borders of China.

    Without a shadow of a doubt sixty years ago Turkey needed NATO to protect herself from a menacing and intimidating Soviet threat. The nuclear umbrella offered by Article 5 was very welcome indeed. After the ending of the Cold War, successive Turkish governments worked tirelessly to expand the security blanket to cover east and central Europe, the Baltic States and the Balkans. In all of their endeavours they proved to be successful as NATO continued to expand. The central mantra was that why other countries should be denied the benefits that Turkey had been enjoying for decades?

    Evaluation and Forecast

    As one looks at this fairly old and substantial relationship it is noticeable that the integrated military command has proven once again to be a success in the Balkans and greater Central Asia as well as the Middle East and the Mediterranean. Turkish participation was certainly not the decisive element which ensured the success of these missions but they did attest to the fact that NATO members were looking from the same direction when viewing these crises. As the NATO Secretary General admitted that “Turkey does more than just share our security: you shape it. Your experience and your expertise in the Middle East and North Africa are invaluable. They benefit the whole of NATO”.

    Certainly there were opposing viewpoints domestically within Turkey as in all the other member states concerning these stances, as there ought to be in vibrant democracies. In the end democratic decisions were taken and steadfastly implemented and aims achieved. This could only be accomplished through a unified stance spearheaded by NATO. Concerning the importance to Central Asia and its environs, a good indication of the vitality of Turkey was evidenced by Rasmussen when sharing his thoughts about the upcoming NATO summit to be held in Chicago in three months time, when he mentioned that “We will have to set out how we will help the Afghan forces take responsibility for security in their own country – and how we will support them once they have done so”.

    Therefore, sixty years after entering the Alliance, Turkey possesses and provides a greater role in the enhancement of security within the North Atlantic area and more importantly has transformed itself parallel to NATO into a community of values, sharing and cherishing core values. The relationship has been an enduring one due to one vital factor: mutual values and mutual benefit. Turkey without NATO would have been prone to greater pressure becoming more fragile and NATO without Turkey would have been weaker, missing an essential piece of the jigsaw that provided security for the North Atlantic area. As much as this was true in the past, it is even clearer to see this fact in today’s precarious international environment. The Secretary General summed this up quite succinctly when he stated that “NATO is a family of like-minded countries, a family where we make each other stronger, and Turkey is a valued member of the family”. It is highly likely that this family will continue to be a closely knit one for years if not for decades to come.

     

    Sureyya Yigit, Contributor, ORSAM Eurasia Advisor

  • Turkey had become core country of NATO alliance

    Turkey had become core country of NATO alliance

    Turkish President Abdullah Gul has said Turkey would continue supporting NATO strongly in tackling future challenges.

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    “As the case in the past, Turkey’s strong support for NATO continues today and it will continue in the future,” Gul was quoted as telling NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen during a meeting in the Turkish capital, Ankara.

    Gul said during the meeting at the Chankaya Presidential Residence that NATO had adapted to the changes of the post Cold War era, adding that the Alliance had successfully acted as a guarantee for the European-Atlantic stability and security.

    Rasmussen, on his part, said that Turkey was an important ally in NATO both politically and in military terms, adding that the country had made major contributions in many NATO missions from Afghanistan to Kosovo.

    Abdullah Gul has said that Turkey had become the core country of NATO alliance.

    President Gul released a message to mark the 60th anniversary of Turkey’s NATO membership.

    Turkey had assumed important and effective roles within NATO and achieved important successes, he said.

    NATO, which was an alliance of countries sharing common values such as human rights and supremacy of law, always maintained its basic objective for a lasting peace in Europe, he said.

    Turkey made great contributions to NATO as a result of principles of Ataturk, the founder of the Republic of Turkey, during its 60-year membership, Gul said in his message.

    Most of important developments, crises, opportunities and transformations have taken place in the geography surrounding Turkey and that’s why Turkey has become the core country in NATO, he said.

    Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu has praised NATO as “the most effective alliance of modern times” despite major changes in the international politics since the organization’s inception.

    “Despite all the changes, the most crucial aspect about NATO is that it still holds as the most effective alliance of modern times and makes contribution to peace and stability in the world,” Davutoglu told a panel discussion in the Turkish capital, Ankara, on the 60th anniversary of Turkey’s membership in the North Atlantic Alliance.

    Davutoglu said NATO had open a path for what he described as “Europe’s great democratic transformation” and it had intervened in many crises in Eastern Europe and contributed to a major structural change in maintaining permanent stability.

    “And today NATO retains its impact and power as an alliance which is continuously expected to intervene in non-European crises,” Davutoglu said.

    Also speaking at the panel discussion, NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen said throughout its 60-year-old history in NATO, Turkey had won the Alliance’s regard for its contribution to the North Atlantic organization.

    “Turkey plays an important part in decision making process in NATO and a crucial role in shaping the future of the Alliance. When Turkey expresses an opinion in NATO, its voice gets to be heard in capitals of all ally countries,” Rasmussen said.

    Rasmussen said also that NATO welcomed Turkey’s efforts to end violence in Syria.

    Ahmet Davutoglu said that Turkey would never let a NATO facility be used by a third party.

    And, if this third party happens to be Israel, our attitude gets more clear and visible, Davutoglu underlined.

    Minister Davutoglu and NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen held a joint press conference following their meeting at the Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) in Ankara on Friday.

    Asked about his thoughts on the attacks staged against several European offices of Zaman daily newspaper, Davutoglu said that “our response would have been same had other newspapers or correspondents come under attack”.

    We strongly condemn the terror acts staged against the offices of Zaman daily. These attacks have been not only against a respectable newspaper of Turkey but against the freedom of expression and freedom of press in Europe, Davutoglu underlined.

    We expect all (European) countries to take active and protective measures, Davutoglu noted.

    via News.Az – Turkey had become core country of NATO alliance.

  • Turkey responds to Perry remarks

    Turkey responds to Perry remarks

    By Ivan Watson and Yesim Comert

    Turkey’s foreign ministry condemned Texas Gov. Rick Perry Tuesday for saying that Turkey was a “country that is being ruled by what many would perceive to be Islamic terrorists.”

    Perry made the statement during a spirited debated between Republican presidential candidates in South Carolina Monday night.

    Most of Turkey was fast asleep during the live broadcast, and Turkish newspapers had already gone to print by the time Perry declared that Turkey had moved “far away from the country I lived in back in the 1970s United States Air Force. That was our ally that worked with us, but today we don’t see that.”

    The Texas governor also argued that it was time for Washington to cut foreign aid to Ankara.

    A spokesman for Turkey’s foreign ministry fired back Tuesday, accusing Perry of making “baseless and improper claims.”

    In a statement e-mailed to CNN, Selcuk Unal said presidential candidates should “be more informed about the world and be more careful their statements.”

    “The unfortunate views of Perry are not shared in any case by Republican party supporters, considering the weak support he has received in public polls and primary elections,” Unal concluded.

    Top Turkish government officials were unavailable for comment Tuesday, with many of them in Northern Cyprus for the funeral of veteran Turkish Cypriot leader Rauf Denktas, but the country’s largely-tabloid press wasted no time in responding to the comments on websites early Tuesday morning.

    “The debate that the Republican candidate Rick Perry attended on American Fox TV turned into a scandal that contained very ugly statements about Turkey,” announced TRT state television.

    “Rick Perry: what an idiot,” tweeted Mustafa Akyol, a columnist with the English-language Hurriyet Daily news. The Hurriyet newspaper also posted a video on its website of Perry drawing a blank in the middle of a prior debate, forgetting in mid-sentence which was the third of three government departments he would cut if elected president.

    Perry’s remarks came on the same day a Turkish foreign ministry spokesman announced that a new NATO radar station, manned by Turkish and American military personnel, went online this month in the Turkish province of Malatya. The radar station is part of a controversial U.S.-led missile defense shield that both Russia and Iran have publicly opposed.

    For more than 50 years, Turkey has been the only Muslim member of the NATO military alliance.

    Ankara’s relationship with Washington has been turbulent over the last decade, with sharp divisions emerging after the 2003 U.S.-led invasion of Iraq.

    But that relationship has improved dramatically over the last several years. Turkey has commanded the NATO mission in Afghanistan four times over the last decade, and the United States shares real-time intelligence from aerial drones for the Turkish military’s ongoing war with rebels from the Kurdistan Workers Party, who operate along the mountainous border between Turkey and Iraq.

    via Turkey responds to Perry remarks – CNN Security Clearance – CNN.com Blogs.

  • Ottoman mission

    Ottoman mission

    By Delphine Strauss

    Published: November 24 2009 02:00

    osmanli

    In one of Istanbul’s artier quarters, a second-hand bookshop sells leaves torn from an old school atlas that depict the dominions of the Ottoman empire, all neatly labelled in a flowing script few Turks are now able to read.

    The faded pages are a reminder of the heritage long rejected by the modern Turkish state as it sought to forge a new national identity and survive on the frontline of 20th-century geopolitics. Just as the social reforms of Mustafa Kemal Atatürk, founder of the secular republic, presented European culture as the standard of civilised behaviour, so foreign policy became firmly west-facing as Turkey sought shelter from the Soviet power on its border.

    Now, however, the ruling Justice & Development (AK) party is reengaging with territories once ruled by the sultans, from the Balkans to Baghdad, in a drive to return Turkey to a place among the leadership of the Muslim world and the top ranks of international diplomacy.

    Ahmet Davutoglu, foreign minister and architect of the policy, rejects the expansionist tag of “neo-Ottoman” bandied about by AK critics, preferring his well-used slogan, “zero problems with neighbours”. The US and the European Union praise this unobjectionable aim: to act as a force for stability in an unstable region.

    Turkey has long mattered – as Nato ally, friend of Israel, EU applicant and energy route to the west. But its growing economic strength and diplomatic reach give it influence over some of the toughest issues facing Washington and other capitals: from frozen conflicts in the Caucasus to Iran’s nuclear ambitions to the threat of disintegration in Iraq. “We are neither surprised by nor disturbed by an activist Turkish agenda in the Middle East,” Philip Gordon, assistant secretary at the US state department, said in Ankara this month.

    Yet the speed and bewildering scope of Turkey’s diplomatic endeavours have left both Turkish and western observers wondering whether it can juggle all its new interests. In a month of frenetic activity, Mr Davutoglu has staged a show of new friendship with Syria, ending visa restrictions on a border once patrolled by Turkish tanks; paid a high-profile visit to Iraq’s Kurdistan region, long shunned as a threat to Turkish unity; and signed a landmark deal to mend relations with Armenia. “Today we, children of the Ottomans, are here to show interest in the development of Mosul just as our ancestors showed centuries ago,” Zafer Caglayan, trade minister, said as he opened a consulate in the northern Iraqi city last month. Turkish diplomats claim credit, in the last year alone, for mediating between Israel and Syria, hosting talks between Afghanistan and Pakistan, and liaising with Sunni militants in Iraq.

    But Recep Tayyip Erdogan, a prime minister who scorns diplomatic niceties, has shown the potential for new friendships to damage old ones.

    Israel, which long valued Turkey as its only Muslim ally, was already infuriated by his frequent condemnations of its Gaza offensive. In October, Mr Erdogan compounded the insult not only by ejecting Israel from joint military exercises but by renewing his criticisms while in Tehran standing beside Mahmoud Ahmadi-Nejad, Iranian president. He caused consternation by saying Omar al-Bashir, Sudan’s war crimes-indicted president, could not as a Muslim be capable of genocide, nor could his actions be compared with Israel’s.

    “Why is it that . . . a more prominent Turkey has, it seems, to come at the expense of its relations with Israel?” Robert Wexler, the US congressman, asked recently. US newspaper columnists went further, arguing that Ankara was undermining efforts to put pressure on Iran, or even that illiberal Islamists could no longer be trusted in Nato.

    The virulence of the reactions reflects the value attached to Turkish support. Although no longer a bulwark against Soviet power, the threat of radical Islam has given Turkey new weight as a partner to channel western values to the Muslim world – and, by its western alliances, show that a “clash of civilisations” is not an inevitable result of religious difference.

    Mr Davutoglu is touring European capitals this month, employing Ottoman-tinged rhetoric to persuade people that Turkey’s European vocation is unchanged. “You cannot understand the history of at least 15 European capitals without exploring the Ottoman archives,” he told an audience in Spain this week.

    For Ankara, there is no question of changing orientation. “We have one face to the west and one to the east,” Mr Erdogan said last month as he signed trade deals in Tehran. Yet it is natural for Turkey to keep its options open, given the manifest reluctance in some EU countries to admit it to membership.

    Ankara presents its new friendships as an asset to the EU, giving it a partner to promote western aims in the region. The European Commission’s latest report on Turkey’s accession process endorsed that view, with praise for its foreign policy. But Brussels also makes it clear that geostrategic importance cannot replace the domestic judicial, political and human rights reforms required to meet the criteria for membership.

    Ankara’s focus, however, is on grander projects than box-ticking compliance with European legislation. A lack of enthusiasm for Herman van Rompuy’s appointment last week as president of the European Council reflects not just worries over his past opposition to Turkey’s candidacy but a preference for a heavyweight leader who would want Europe to play a bigger part on the world stage.

    Ibrahim Kalin, Mr Erdogan’s chief foreign policy adviser, argues that Turkish activism is not a reaction to disappointments in the EU but simply “a fully rational attempt to seize new spaces of opportunity” – including the EU’s virtual absence from geopolitics.

    Frictions with the EU may worsen, however, if Turkey engages in rivalry with countries used to seeing it as a junior partner. Western diplomats have noted Mr Davutoglu’s reluctance to support a French attempt at conciliation between Israel and Syria, for example, and say Mr Erdogan’s grandstanding in Iran “is definitely causing irritation”.Turkey thus needs to ascertain how much influence it has, what it is based on, and where new policies may upset old alliances.

    Greater regional engagement is in part a response to changing balances of power. The coming American withdrawal from Iraq threatens a vacuum in which Turkey is one of the most plausible counterweights to Iranian influence – its credibility enhanced by its refusal to let the US use its territory to invade in 2003.

    Ian Lesser from the Washington-based German Marshall Fund notes that ideas of a “Middle East for Middle Easterners” have been circulating for some time. “The crucial difference is that Turkey is now a much more significant actor in both economic and political terms, and Turkey’s Middle Eastern choices are, rightly or wrongly, seen as linked to the country’s own identity crisis.”

    Foreign policy is certainly shaped by a growing affinity with the Islamic world, in a country where religious practice is becoming more visible and public opinion a greater force. Mr Erdogan’s comments on Gaza, or on Iran’s nuclear programme, appear both to recognise and reinforce views on the street: a survey by the GMF found that almost one-third of Turks – compared with only 5 per cent of Americans – would accept a nuclear-armed Iran if diplomacy failed.

    Chief AK weapon in its drive eastwards, though, is not religion but trade. Exports to what the country’s official Turkstat agency classifies as the Near and Middle East account for almost 20 per cent of the total so far in 2009, up from 12.5 per cent in 2004. Turkish conglomerates are also stepping up investment in a region where their presence is considered benign.

    “We don’t want a cultural bias against us,” says Sureyya Ciliv, chief executive of Turkcell, the mobile operator, which has interests in central Asia, Georgia and Moldova. Anadolu Efes, with almost 10 per cent of Russia’s beer market, wants to start producing non-alcoholic beer in Iran. Limak, a group centred on construction, is seeking projects in the Gulf, north Africa and Europe “east of Vienna”. “It’s a natural development,” says Ferruh Tunc, senior partner in Istanbul for KPMG, the consultancy. “Turkey’s position until the Soviet Union collapsed was unusual – it was like the last stop on a Tube line.”

    Yet a previous initiative, reaching out to the Turkic-speaking world after the central Asian states won independence, left Turkey with excellent trade links but limited influence compared with China and Russia. Morton Abramowitz, a former US ambassador to Turkey, warns in this month’s Foreign Affairs journal that in the AKP’s latest diplomatic push as well, “despite the acclaim it showers on itself . . . symbolic achievements have far exceeded concrete ones”. More-over, Turkey’s opposition this spring to Anders Fogh Rasmussen’s appointment as Nato chief “alienated many Europeans by seeming to favour Muslim sensibilities over liberal democratic values”.

    Can Ankara not reach out peacefully on all fronts, as it claims, without repercussions and a risk of overstretch? “You need very judicious fine tuning to be able to deliver this . . . The danger is of overplaying their hand,” says a western diplomat.

    Mending fences with Armenia won praise in the west, for instance, but in Azerbaijan nationalists tore down the Turkish flag, viewing the move as a betrayal of old alliances. Baku may yet take revenge by demanding higher prices to supply gas.

    The next test of Turkey’s new foreign policy will be Iran. The AKP claims its opposition to a nuclear-armed Iran is more effective because it delivers the message as a friend and trading partner. Turkey’s interests in trade with Iran are understood but Mr Erdogan may be pressed in Washington and Brussels to explain why he defends Iran’s nuclear programme as “peaceful and humanitarian” and lends the regime credibility rather than backing isolation.

    Katinka Barysch of the Centre for European Reform, a London think-tank, says: “As a long-standing Nato member and a country negotiating for EU membership, Turkey is expected to align itself with the US and Europe – or at least not do anything that undermines the west’s political objectives in the Middle East. As a regional power, Turkey will want to act independently and avoid antagonising its neighbours. It is not clear how long Ankara will be able to avoid tough choices.”

    Tricky legacy

    Ottoman analogies are a double-edged weapon in Turkish politics. Those urging more rights for Kurdish citizens, for example, might recall the Ottomans’ multicultural tolerance. But some view such nostalgia as a challenge to the principles of Mustafa Kemal Atatürk’s republic, with its emphasis on a distinctly Turkish language, culture and identity. Halil Inalcik, a historian at Ankara’s Bilkent university, warns: “We are not Ottomans . . . We’re a nation state. That was an empire.”

    ‘There is progress but it’s uneven’

    Turkey’s shift in foreign policy reflects its ambition to assume greater responsibility as a regional power. It may also reveal frustration over another ambition that has been delayed, if not thwarted: Istanbul’s bid to join the European Union.

    Officially, the EU has been committed to full membership since 2005. Yet eight of the 34 negotiating “chapters” remain blocked as a result of Turkey’s long-running conflict with Cyprus. Meanwhile enthusiasm is faint in France and Germany, the bloc’s traditional centres of power. “There is progress but it’s very uneven,” one Commission official says.

    The most recent update on negotiations came with the Commission’s mixed review of Turkey in last month’s annual enlargement report. Praise forits overtures to its Kurdish minority, and its agreement to reopen its border with Armenia, was tempered by concern over a fine imposed on one of Turkey’s leading media companies. Ostensibly for tax evasion, the $4bn (€2.7bn, £2.4bn) levy was likened by Olli Rehn, Europe’s enlargement commissioner, to “a political sanction”. European diplomats expressed surprise, too, at recent comments that seemed to lend support to Iran. Diplomats also say they do not expect breakthroughs from this week’s EU-Turkey ministerial meeting to discuss foreign affairs, which Mr Rehn will attend.

    If it is accepted, Turkey will become the first predominantly Muslim EU member and also the most populous, giving it a sizeable number of seats in the parliament and threatening the power of Paris and Berlin. Nicolas Sarkozy, French president, displayed his opposition at an EU-US summit in Prague in May. After Barack Obama, on the eve of his first visit to Turkey, urged his hosts to “anchor” the country more firmly in Europe, Mr Sarkozy promptly suggested the US president mind his own business. Angela Merkel, German chancellor, has been more diplomatic,suggesting Istanbul be addressed instead as a “privileged partner”.

    The creation of a full-time EU presidency and foreign policy chief seems unlikely to accelerate accession. In a 2004 speech, Herman Van Rompuy, the Belgian prime minister chosen as president, said Turkey “is not a part of Europe and will never be”. Those remarks proved awkward in the run-up to his selection last week but – as Istanbul no doubt noticed – they did not cost him the job.

    Financial Times