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  • G20 Toronto Summit Program , June 26-27

    G20 Toronto Summit Program , June 26-27

    Metro Toronto Convention Centre, Toronto, Canada

    Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance:
    Canada’s G20 Summit from Toronto to Turkey

    Saturday, June 26
    G20 leaders arrive at the Toronto Airport Infield Terminal at the
    Lester B. Pearson Airport in Toronto
    18:30 Official welcome and reception of G20 leaders and spouses by
    Stephen Harper, prime minister of Canada, and Laureen Harper, at the
    Royal York Hotel

    Sunday, June 27
    09:00 Opening plenary session
    12:30 Family photograph
    17:00 Chair’s press conference

    Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance:
    Canada’s G20 Summit from Toronto to Turkey
    John Kirton
    Co-director, G20 Research Group
    Paper prepared for a presentation at TEPAV, Ankara, and DEIK,
    Istanbul, Turkey, June
    7-8, 2010. Version of June 13, 2010.

    =============================================================

    http://www.g20.utoronto.ca/biblio/kirton-turkey-2010.pdf

    Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance:
    Canada’s G20 Summit from Toronto to Turkey
    John Kirton
    Co-director, G20 Research Group
    Paper prepared for a presentation at TEPAV, Ankara, and DEIK, Istanbul, Turkey, June
    7-8, 2010. Version of June 13, 2010.
    Introduction
    The Challenge
    In less than two weeks the most powerful leaders of the world’s 20 most systemically
    significant countries arrive in Toronto, Canada for their fourth summit of the Group of
    Twenty (G20). It will be their first meeting of the newly proclaimed permanent priority
    centre of international economic co-operation, the first co-chaired by an established and
    emerging economy, and the first held in tight tandem with the older, smaller Group of
    Eight (G8) major power democracies.
    In Toronto the G20 leaders will confront several critical global challenges. The first is the
    European-turned-global financial crisis, erupting in May even before the previous
    American-turned-global financial crisis of 2007-9 had been solved. The second is the
    devastation to trade, investment and development that these financial-turned-economic
    crises cause. The third is the environmental and social problems they exacerbate, from
    climate change and energy to food and health. And the fourth is strengthening the G20
    itself and the international financial institutions and other global bodies more generally,
    to govern more effectively, equitably and accountably today’s complex, uncertain,
    intensely interconnected world.
    Can Canada and Turkey work together at Toronto to cope with these and other challenges
    that the world confronts? At first glance, Canada and Turkey would appear to be
    distinctly different countries, within the global community and as members of the G20,
    the institutionalized club of systemically significant countries that was created in 1999 in
    response to the Asian-turned-global financial crisis then and that leapt to the leaders’
    level in response to the American-turned-global financial crisis continuing today. Yet in
    many important ways, Canada and Turkey have much in common in their position and
    potential performance in the G20.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 2
    First, as forthcoming hosts of the G20 summit, with Canada serving in 2010 and Turkey
    as early as 2013, they confirm the G20’s institutional position and potential operation
    performance as a genuine club of equals, in which one of the least powerful members of
    the established G8 and then one that was not a G8 member have been quickly asked to
    host and chair the new summit club. Second, they share a geographic position as great
    global connectors in a systemically dedicated club. A trans-continental Canada stands as
    a country of the Americas, Arctic, Atlantic and Pacific, and Turkey as one of Europe,
    Central Asia and the Middle East.
    Third, they share an international institutional position as great global connectors through
    their leading position in other institutionalized summit clubs that embrace the richest and
    poorest countries, and communities of great diversity, from around the world. Canada is
    the second most powerful country in the Commonwealth and in the Francophonie that
    together embrace half the countries in the world, and Turkey is a consequential member
    and currently the chair of the Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC).
    Fourth, they have long assumed their global responsibilities, notably as members of the
    North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) that won the Cold War, liberated Kosovo
    from an erupting genocide in 1999, and fought with many other of today’s G20 hosts and
    members to defend the Republic of Korea from 1950 to 1953. The sixtieth anniversary of
    the outbreak of that war will be commemorated the day before the Toronto summit starts.
    In addition both are longstanding allies of the United States and are currently seeking to
    enhance their association significantly with the European Union.1 Sixth, they contain a
    rich multidimensional cultural and linguistic diversity within their domestic polities as
    well.
    The Debate
    With this configuration of characteristics and capabilities, how have Canada and Turkey
    connected within the G20, and how can they in the future, to serve their own interests and
    build a better world? In the limited English-language literature on Turkey’s role in the
    G20 and its connection with Canada in this regard, different answers to these questions
    arise.
    The first school sees Turkey as an active participant in an inclusive club that combines
    developed and developing countries and the west and the rest. This is due to the priority
    Prime Minister Recep Erdoğan’s places on the G20, and Turkey’s crisis-bred concerns
    about the end of capitalism (Şekercioğlu 2009). The most recent expression of this school
    portrays Turkey as an active G20 participant, teacher, co-operator and complier, due to
    the shock of its 2001 financial crisis and restructuring in its wake, and the confidence
    arising from its stability in the 2007-9 crisis, and its rising capabilities and status in the
    world (Aysan 2010).
    1 It is worth noting that the Toronto Summit will open the day after the 60th anniversary of the start of the
    Korean War on June 25, 1950.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 3
    A second school sees Turkey as a status-seeking development advocate through G20
    membership, inclusion in an expanded Financial Stability Board (FSB) and Turkey’s
    offer to host the G20 summit soon. This is due to the threat from a Group of
    Thirteen/Fourteen (G13/14) competitor that would exclude Turkey from top-tier
    membership, Turkey’s rising relative capabilities as the 6th largest economy in Europe
    and the 17th largest in the world, and its financial stability amidst the crisis of 2007-2009
    (Today’s Zaman undated).
    A third school portrays Turkey both as a status-seeking assertive advocate of
    conservative economic ideas, but more importantly as a mediating leader of a new middle
    power coalition. This is due to Turkey’s financial stability, frustration with its bid for
    membership in the European Union (EU), its temporary membership on the United
    Nations Security Council (UNSC), and the choice of Istanbul as the capital of European
    culture in 2010 (Saunders 2010).
    A fourth school sees a stronger, skillful, undistracted Turkey acting at the G20’s third
    summit in Pittsburgh to secure several tangible benefits: domestic political attention and
    acclaim; greater voice and vote in the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World
    Bank; greater resources for those international institutions; support for Turkish exports;
    an equal place in the new permanent priority centre of international economic cooperation
    that the G20 proclaimed itself to be; and an opportunity to meet more with
    United States president Barack Obama (Şekercioğlu 2009b).
    A fifth school urges a middle power Turkey to be the leading advocate of a non-western
    approach and thus to move from member to leader to realize its own interests. These
    interests consist of advancing its international standing, energy security, Middle East
    peace, global financial stability, reform of international financial institutions (IFI), its
    influence in the western-dominated EU, International Monetary Fund (IMF), NATO and
    United Nations (UN), and rendering effective and even permanent the G20 summit by
    expanding its agenda and adding a secretariat (Bradford and Linn 2009). This Turkish
    role arises because the G20 “mirrors the emerging global cultural matrix” and Turkey’s
    own dualistic identity and because Turkey stands at ‘the crossroads of a multitude of
    critical geographies.”
    Puzzles
    While each of these schools has much to contribute, none are based on a detailed
    examination of what Turkey has actually done and why it has done it in the G20 thus far.
    None offers a robust recognition of Turkey’s vision of using the G20 to shape global
    order for the benefit of others, rather than just itself, as it did at the first G20 summit in
    November 2008. Nor is there any hint of Turkey’s essential character as a Western
    democracy in actively animating Turkey’s place in, approach to and accomplishments in
    the club. Also absent is any explicit awareness of Turkey’s longstanding position as an
    American ally and its importance in shaping Turkey’s membership and participation in
    the club. And none provide an explicit place for any form of a Canadian-Turkish
    relationship, partnership or co-leadership. as dedicated, multicultural democracies, in
    using and shaping the G20 to create a global order on these ideals.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 4
    The Thesis of Canada and Turkey as Critical Connectors
    This study argues that Canada and Turkey have served and can serve as critical
    connectors and democratizing co-leaders to make the G20 the intended genuine club of
    equals providing the effective global governance based on democratic openness and
    respect for diversity. This is due to their similar shift from consumers to producers of
    global financial and economic security, their global geographic, status and international
    institutional position as great connectors, and their devotion to open democracy and
    diversity as polities today.
    But to transform their past accomplishments and potential assets into actual performance,
    they must meet several challenges that await. First, Canada, as host and co-chair of the
    G20 Toronto Summit on June 26-27, 2010, must advance the G20’s broad but bounded
    built-in agenda, respond effectively to the new European-turned-global crisis and make
    the G20 function as a genuine institutionalized, systemic summit club where the
    diplomacy of equals, the diplomacy of leaders and the diplomacy of the future can
    flourish to produce effective results (Kirton 2010). Second, Turkey must build on this
    foundation to design and implement a G20 strategy that goes beyond using its
    membership and potential hosting to enhance its status and advance immediate interests
    to meet the core challenges that the full G20 and global community commonly confront.
    And third, Canada and Turkey must find a way to work together more closely to have the
    G20 realize its full potential from Toronto in 2010 to Turkey in the years ahead.
    Canada’s G20
    Canada and the G8
    Canada has long known what it is like to be excluded from the inner circles of global
    governance, despite its striking systemically significant capabilities and the world’s clear
    need for them (Kirton 2007). Canada was excluded from the Permanent Five (P5)
    members of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) in 1945, from Berlin Dinner-4
    of NATO since 1948, and from the Group of Five (G5) finance ministers who first started
    meeting in the Library of the White House in 1973 and continued without Canada and
    Italy until 1986.
    Canada was also physically absent from the first G8 summit of six leaders, held at
    Rambouillet, France, in November 1975. But even before it opened, its architect Henry
    Kissinger had promised the Canadians that there would be a second summit, which the
    U.S. would host and invite Canada to.
    Kissinger knew that he needed Canada inside his new concert. He needed it not as
    another loyal North American ally to support whatever the American president proposed,
    or to balance Europe’s Italy that the French had allowed in at Rambouillet. Rather
    Kissinger, the ultimate realist, coldly calculated Canada’s relative capabilities in their
    global context and quickly concluded that Canada’s first tier capabilities in oil, minerals,
    food and soft commodities were needed inside the concert to stop the copycat cartels
    sprouting everywhere in the wake of the oil embargo of the Organization of Petroleum
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 5
    Exporting Countries (OPEC) in October 1973 and the uranium fuelled Indian nuclear
    explosion in May 1974. Such capabilities have continued to give Canada great relevance
    in the 21st century, where Prime Minister Stephen Harper has accurately called Canada
    an emerging energy superpower and an emerging clean energy superpower in the world.
    Power was backed by principle. In Kissinger’s conception and construction, the G8 was a
    modern democratic concert, designed and devoted, as its first communiqué proclaimed, to
    protect within its members and to promote globally, the values of “open democracy,
    individual liberty and social advance.” Canada was then a durable democracy, indeed a
    charter member and great European-American connector of the North Atlantic political
    community, with a democratic tradition dating back on its British side and through its
    own sovereign to the Magna Carta of 1215. As Prime Minister Harper put it, in his news
    conference at the conclusion of the 2009 Pittsburgh G20 summit, Canada stood out as a
    democratic country, unbroken by foreign occupation, civil war or civil strife for
    centuries.
    In the initial Group of seven (G7), Canada supported its American ally when convenient,
    and its French and British mother countries too. It also allied with the rapidly rising
    global powers of Japan, German and Italy, as the other powers still excluded from the
    UNSC-P5 and, along with Italy and Japan, from the Berlin Dinner 4 too. Liberal Prime
    Minister Pierre Trudeau’s close relationship with Social Democratic Chancellor Helmut
    Schmidt of Germany helped contain a France that a few years before had actively tried to
    destroy Canadian unity and thus the survival of Canada itself. The two also led the G7 is
    north-south dialogue and development and in instituting the world’s first effective regime
    against terrorist attacks in the air.
    In 1979 Canada’s Progressive Conservative Prime Minister Joe Clark in 1979 supported
    Schmidt in having the G7 produce the first, most ambitious and most effective climate
    change control regime the world has ever seen. Schmidt’s impressive leadership arose in
    part because he knew the world had to go off coal, in part to save the lives of the many
    Turks who were dying of accidents while working in Germany’s many coal mines.2
    Canada as the world’s leading power in uranium and a top tier power in nuclear
    technology induced the G7 to deal not only with conventional energy, but also nuclear
    energy and then nuclear proliferation as well, in a crusade where its closest soul mate was
    antinuclear Japan.
    By the time it hosted its first G7 summit at Montebello in 1981, Canada, focused the
    summit for the first time on north-south development. As host, Canadian prime minister
    Pierre Trudeau talked the new U.S. president Ronald Regan into attending a North-South
    summit in Cancun to prepare for global negotiations for a new world order between the
    rich North and the poor South. Backed by Japan, Germany and Italy, Canada also made
    the G7 explicitly a new, effective centre of global security governance in the world.
    2 On May 21, 2010 it was reported that rescuers in Turkey found the bodies of 28 miners in a damaged coal
    mine, making the methane-gas explosion three days earlier one of the deadliest mine accidents in Turkey
    in recent years.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 6
    Canada thus had a vision of world order, on both the defining North-South economic and
    East-West security dimensions that it successfully advanced through its place in the G7.
    Canada’s Conception, Creation and Chairing of the G20 Finance, 1999-2008
    This Canadian tradition or reaching out across existing divides to embrace rising powers
    from a more diverse world dated back to Canada’s role in creating the modern,
    multiracial Commonwealth in 1947 and 1960, and the Francophonie in 1986.3 It
    continued in 1988 when G7 leaders, meeting in Toronto, identified the emerging process
    of “globalization,” recognized the relevance of the rapidly rising Asian economies and
    called for “the development of informal processes which would facilitate multilateral
    discussions of mutual concern and foster the necessary co-operation.”
    In 999 Canada’s finance minister, Paul Martin, conceived and co-created with American
    treasury secretary Larry Summers the G20 forum of finance ministers and central
    bankers. They induced the G7 finance ministers and G8 summit formally to create the
    G20 along with the new Financial Stability Forum (FSF) in 1999. Canada chaired the
    first three annual autumn meetings, and expanded the club’s mission from financial
    stability and sustainable growth to globalization that works for the benefit of all. When it
    hosted the second meeting in Montreal it also vastly expanded the agenda and secured a
    new “Montreal Consensus” to replace the discredited Washington one. When New York
    and Washington were devastated by the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, and the
    multilateral organizations headquartered there could not meet, Martin stepped up to host
    the third G20 meeting in nearby Ottawa. Here he successfully focused on terrorist
    finance, the American’s core security rather than financial pre-occupation at the time. He
    thus helped the brand new Bush administration in the United States bond to a body
    created only two years earlier by the domestic political rivals it had just defeated at home.
    Canada’s Crusade for an L20, 2004-05
    When Paul Martin became Canada’s Liberal Party leader and prime minister at the end of
    2003, he saw the demands for more inclusive, effective global governance growing, in
    finance, economics, development and fields such as health and infectious disease too
    (Martin 2005). He knew the G20 finance forum he had co-founded was working well. He
    judged the alternative, of ad hoc, constricted, or variable subject specific inclusion, which
    the G8 had been started experimenting with in 2003, to be an inferior approach. He
    concluded the time had come to elevate the G20 finance to the leaders’ level, to meet as
    the demand required on any burning issue of the day. He suggested that the first such
    meeting be held on the margins of the UN summit in September 2005, focused on avian
    influenza and infectious disease. He secured the agreement, with various degrees of
    enthusiasm and acquiescence, from virtually all G20 members save one, George Bush.
    Even he may have come if the topic had been terrorism. But if it had been, other leaders
    might not. Thus, no G20 summit was held.
    3 It was also apparent in 1955 when Paul Martin senior brokered.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 7
    G20 Summitry, 2008-09
    When Lehman Brothers collapsed on September 15, 2008, both U.S. president George
    Bush and Canada’s Conservative prime minister Stephen Harper came to the conclusion
    that a summit was needed in response. Among the many alternatives on offer in those
    crisis ridden times, notably a G8 plus summit preferred by Sarkozy, Bush decided that he
    would host a summit, in Washington and that it must be the G20 one (Price 2009). With
    only 24 days to prepare the summit he needed an existing institution, of proven
    performance, dedicated to the solving the particular crisis of the moment by restoring
    financial stability and sustained growth. Thus the first G20 summit was held on
    November 15, with no members of the G20 finance forum removed, and only Spain and
    the Netherlands added as temporary guests.
    At Washington Harper, as one of the few leaders with economics expertise or experience,
    stood out in calling for exit strategies along with stimulus and joining in the leaderscreated
    consensus on open markets and freer trade. Back home Harper reversed his firm
    policy of running fiscal surpluses, to engage in deficit spending to deliver his fair share of
    the stimulus the Washington summit had agreed. He stood first among G20 members in
    complying with the anti-protectionist promise made there. Indeed, he unilaterally made
    three moves to remove tariffs on imports of capital equipment, making Canada the first
    G8 member to have its manufacturing sector become tariff free.
    At the second G20 summit in London on April 1-2, 2009, Harper focused on reforming
    domestic financial regulation and freer trade, while contributing US$10 billion as
    Canada’s fair share of the overall package of US$1.1 trillion for development (including
    trade finance) that the summit raised. Canada subsequently stood fourth among the 20
    members in complying with the commitments made by the leaders at London.
    At the third G20 summit in Pittsburgh on September 24-25, 2009, Harper called for
    staying the course on stimulus until a private sector led recovery was assured, while
    simultaneously designing the smart exit strategies to be started when it was, prospectively
    within a year. On the eve of the Pittsburgh Summit Harper unilaterally gave the African
    Development Bank CA$2.6 billion in additional callable capital so it could meets its
    members’ development needs in the poorest region, composed of a quarter of the
    countries, in the world. And Harper agreed that he would accept the responsibility of
    hosting and co-chairing with the successfully developed, democratic Republic of Korea
    the subsequent, fourth G20 summit. It will take place in Toronto, Canada’s largest city
    and financial capital, on June 26-27, 2010.
    Turkey’s Position, Performance and Perspective in the G20
    Turkey’s Global Position and Interests
    Turkey will come to the Toronto Summit as an open, diverse, democratic society and
    polity situated at a critical geographic crossroads of a globalizing community, Turkey,
    like Canada confronts growing global vulnerabilities that even its rising capabilities
    cannot cope with on their own. It has thus long looked to international institutions of
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 8
    broadly multilateral and globally plurilateral kinds, including those delivered at the
    summit level, to solve at their global source the challenges that its citizens confront at
    home. Turkey thus has an essential interest in making global institutions adequate,
    appropriate and effective in meeting its and the world’s need, and in enhancing its
    position, responsibilities and resulting influence in them to this end. Thus Turkey’s core
    interests have been getting into the G20 finance from the start as an equal, having the
    same G20, among the many alternatives on offer, elevated to the leaders-level to cope
    with the American/Atlantic-turned-global financial crisis erupting in 2007, and having
    the G20 summit transformed into the permanent, priority forum for international
    economic governance in the world. It has been strikingly successful on all three. Its one
    remaining challenge and ultimate interest is to shape the same G20 as an effective global
    governor guided by Turkey’s distinctive vision of global order needed by today’s and
    tomorrow’s world.
    Turkey’s Treatment and Transformation in the G8
    To comprehend the scale of the accomplishment of Turkey getting in as an equal from
    the start of a G20 that Canada conceived and co-created, it is necessary to examine
    briefly the cadence of Turkey’s place in the earlier and continuing comparable club —
    the democratically devoted G8.
    Before the advent of G20 summitry, Turkey had only a fragile, if strengthening place in
    the predecessor centre of global governance, the G8. During the 35 years of G8
    governance since its start in 1975, Turkey’s relevance was directly recognized only four
    times: at the US hosted first genuine G8 summit (with Russia added) in 1997, the Italianhosted
    2001 summit, the US-hosted 2004 summit and the Italian-hosted summit in 2009.
    But during this period, Turkey’s treatment steadily progress on several dimensions, from
    being a problem producing old security threats in the region through to a partner in
    solving general global problems by pioneering a new global order around the world, to a
    participant with a seat at the table in the G8 itself.
    In 1997, the G8 noted Turkey in paragraph 88 in the context of Cyprus, calling on Turkey
    and Greece to do everything possible to contribute to a solution of the Cyprus problem
    and to work toward solving their bilateral disputes with regard to the Aegean through
    early meetings of the “Wise Men.” Thus Turkey was portrayed, along with NATO
    member Greece, as a source of the old Westphalian security threats of boundary disputes,
    territorial control and sovereign statehood for the Aegean and Mediterranean region.
    Turkey and Greece were admonished and appealed to for action to solve these problems
    by itself.
    By 2001, the G7 only Statement, while welcomes progress in emerging market
    economies in strengthening their domestic financial systems and underlying fiscal
    positions, added: “Recent measures taken in Argentina and Turkey represent positive
    steps in this direction. We commend these efforts and encourage the continued
    implementation of their reform programs in close collaboration with the IMF and other
    relevant international institutions.” Turkey had now become an emerging market
    economy, along with a fellow G20 member, in regard to a global economic problem that
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 9
    the newer non-state created and controlled vulnerability brought. It was one whose
    domestically intrusive and internationally institutionalized actions were applauded, not
    admonished.
    In 2004, Turkey was invited by host George Bush to participate in the G8 summit for the
    first time. This was due to Turkey’s position as a democratic leader in the Broader
    Middle East and North Africa and the Muslim world. The White House announcement
    released on May 26, 2004, titled “President Bush Invites Turkey to G8 Summit as
    Democratic Partner,” read: “President Bush has invited Turkish Prime Minister Erdoğan
    to meet with leaders of G8 countries and regional partners from the broader Middle East
    on June 9, 2004, in Sea Island, Georgia. He looks forward to a discussion of how the G-8
    can support political, economic, and social freedom in the broader Middle East and North
    Africa, and to Turkey’s contribution to this effort. Turkey’s participation in specific
    programs to advance key reforms in this region, especially on democracy, will foster
    collaboration among G8 and EU countries, Turkey, and regional partners.”
    Turkey chose to come. At the summit Bush held a lunch with Turkey and other countries
    from the Middle East, which national security advisor Condoleezza Rice (2004) reported
    on as follows: “On Wednesday, June 9th … During lunch, the G8 leaders will be joined
    by the leaders of Afghanistan, Algeria, Bahrain, Jordan, Turkey and Yemen. This is an
    opportunity for the G8 to discuss how it can support freedom and political, economic and
    social progress in the Middle East, and to hear from these leaders about their efforts to
    pursue democracy and reform in their countries, as well as to hear about Turkey’s success
    in developing secular democracy in a country with a mainly Muslim population.”
    The Chair’s Summary of the 2004 G8 summit began: “We met at Sea Island for our
    annual summit to advance freedom by strengthening international cooperation to make
    the world both safer and better. Leaders from Afghanistan, Algeria, Bahrain, Iraq, Jordan,
    Yemen and Turkey joined us at Sea Island.” In the G8 communiqué, Turkey now stood
    front and centre at the very start. Turkey had been transformed into a G8 participant with
    a seat at the table of this leaders-level, top tier club. It was the only G20 member in this
    invited group, and the largest, leading country from a region that had expanded to
    embrace the Middle East and Asia as a central global concern. Turkey thus acquired a
    front-line role in general global governance, from winning the war against he new
    security threat of terrorism to creating a new global order based on democratic values as a
    whole. It had gone from being the source of a small problem to a key part of the solution
    of the greatest global threat of the time.
    The 2004 summit’s outside participation represented an alternative to the expanded
    participation formula that the G8 had pioneered in France in 2003 and that it returned to
    in Britain in 2005, Russia in 2006, Germany in 2007, and Japan in 2008. It was centred
    on a growing partnership with the Group of Five (G5) of Brazil, China, India, Mexico
    and South Africa (with no Middle East state at all) and then the broader Major
    Economies Forum (formerly the Major Economies Meeting of 16) with G20 members
    Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Argentina left out. A third threat to Turkey’s inclusion in the
    centre of global governance came in the vision of Italy’s Silvio Berlusconi and France’s
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 10
    Nicolas Sarkozy of having non-democratic Egypt represent the Middle East, perhaps
    even for the latter in the form of an institutionalized G14.
    However, Turkey defeated the threat, in part because of its membership in the new G20
    summit. On November 12, 2008, Berlusconi, the incoming host of the G8 summit in
    2009, held the first ever Italian-Turkish summit in Turkey’s western province of Izmir. It
    took place immediately before the first G20 summit in Washington DC on November 15,
    which both leaders would attend. The Izmir meeting was to discuss the participation of
    Turkey and some other countries in the G8 (November 10, 2008, Anadolu Agency). Due
    to the G20, Turkey was moving more into the more exclusive, more multi-subject, more
    democratic G8 club
    Turkey thus arrived again at the G8 summit in 2009, after an absence of five years. It
    came along with almost 40 leaders for the discussion of food security on the final day.
    While Turkey’s status was diluted by the large numbers, the food security initiative
    endorsed that day, backed by US$20-22 billion in new money, was the signature
    achievement of the summit overall. In this way Turkey helped make the G8 that year a
    success. It also used its G8 participation for a high-profile achievement that responded
    directly to the top international issue on the minds on the minds of Turks at home (see
    below).
    Turkey as a Founding Democratically Diverse Member of the G20, 1999
    Long before Turkey started partially participating in the G8 club, it had become a full
    equal founding member of the G20 in 1999. It did so because Turkey was a democratic
    part of the west and a proven democratic pillar in the Middle East region and Muslin
    world beyond.
    Turkey had not been on everybody’s list as a candidate for inclusion in the G20 when the
    club was being designed. Its financial and economic weight and systemic significance
    was in doubt back then. It was ultimately accepted due to the American-Canadian-led
    overall strategy of linking Turkey more firmly to the West. As one important component
    of that strategy, the case for G20 membership proved persuasive. The calculation was
    that such a move was needed, given the precarious probability of EU membership for
    Turkey. G20 association would help further solidify the relationship between Turkey and
    the West and deepen the democratic tradition in the country. As a soon-to-be consumer
    rather than a producer of financial security when its financial crisis struck in 2001,
    Turkey was admitted to the G20 (but not the EU it desired), in order to sustain Turkey’s
    character as a stable, Muslim democratic polity in a Muslim-dominated Middle East.
    Turkey’s inclusion paved the way for it to receive the significant financial support it
    needed from the IMF in 2001.
    In the new global governance bodies born in 199, the G20 was the only one to put Turkey
    in the top tier. In the new Financial Stability Forum it was left out. In the new
    International Monetary and Finance Committee, embedded in the IMF, Turkey was not
    one of the 24 members, but only part of a constituency for which another country – a
    European middle power – spoke. Others were called upon to speak for the Middle East.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 11
    Turkey has not yet hosted and chaired a G20 finance ministers meeting, even though non-
    G8 members India, Mexico, China, South Africa, Australia, Brazil and Korea now have.
    Turkey joined Group 2 in the chair rotation of the G20, along with India, Russia and
    South Africa, when this arrangement was created a few years after the G20 finance
    began. South Africa hosted the 2007 G20 meeting, and India the 2002 one. Thus either
    Russia or Turkey would have been due to host the 2012 meeting, had the group follows
    its rotation schedule devised some time ago. However, with France now inserted to host
    the G20 summit and finance ministers meeting (along with the G8) in 2011, the new
    hosting order for the G20 has been redefined.
    Turkey as a G20 Finance Participant
    During the first decade of G20 finance ministers’ meetings, Turkey made its mark. At the
    very first meeting in Berlin in December 1999, Turkey stood out as the emerging
    economy agreeing with Canada, the US and Germany, that stronger codes and standards
    were needed to govern global finance, thus broadening the consensus beyond the G7 to
    embrace a larger, more diverse group.
    , mostly notably in its successful quest for status-enhancing and effectiveness-inducing
    voice and vote reform at the IMF. At Berlin in 2004 Turkey, along with other developing
    nations, wanted to know who would be behind a revision process of the IMF. At
    Australia in 2006 one of the achievements was getting the IMF directors to agree to a
    package of reforms including quota increases for the most significantly underrepresented
    countries, a group that included Turkey, along with China, Korea and Mexico. The G20
    worked out the two-stage approach to reform which would be implemented in subsequent
    years. It was significant, and a vote of confidence, that the international community
    looked to the G20 to help deliver on IMF reform. And the G20 thus delivered an
    enhanced status and influence for Turkey where the IMF acting alone had long failed.
    In 2007 Turkey began to bear of burden of making the G20 as an institution work. That
    year, of the three workshops held in preparation for the ministerial meeting, the one on
    Fiscal Elements of Growth and Development was hosted in Istanbul in July.
    Turkey as a G20 Summit Participant
    The advent of G20 summitry was a further achievement for Turley. Prime Minister
    Erdoğan very much enjoyed G20 summitry for the upgrade in status it represented, for
    the chance to meet G20 leaders face-to-face, and for the opportunity to have bilateral
    encounters with other leaders – those of the US most of all but also France, Germany and
    Russia.
    Washington
    In G20 summitry, Turkey has been an eager participant since the start. At the first summit
    in Washington, amidst the crisis of capitalism and the call for visionary solutions,
    Erdoğan’s priority was securing international regulation and supervision of domestic
    financial systems. He stood with Sarkozy in this regard, in a flexible coalition across the
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 12
    G8-non G8 divide, even though Turkey itself was surviving the crisis with its domestic
    financial system intact. They failed to achieve their desires.
    London
    Turkey attended the London summit sporting one of the strongest records in finance
    within the G20. It also came as a member that could maintain its general public finance,
    according to an analysis prepared by G-20. This analysis showed that Turkey’s inflation
    would drop in 2009 and 2010. G20 financial stimulate packages were expected to
    contribute between half and quarter percent to Turkey’s and other members’
    growth.4 Turkish ministers and officials worked seriously to prepare for the Summit,
    based on Turkey’s important position as an emerging economy. Its experience in
    containing its own crisis in 2001 had a real value for the other countries afflicted now.
    At the summit, Prime Minister Erdoğan secured Turkey’s goal of becoming a full
    member of an expanded, strengthened Financial Stability Board (FSB).5 Following his
    conversation with President Obama, Erdoğan said that Turkey was a country that could
    use its communication network successfully with both the Middle East and the West.
    Obama in return underlined Turkey’s leadership in the region and the importance of
    working together. At the summit’s end, Erdoğan said the decisions taken were “crucial to
    minimize the effects of the global financial crisis” (Journal of Turkish Weekly Friday,
    April 3, 2009). He added that the G20 countries had displayed a common will to
    minimize the social impact of the crisis. “As G20 countries, we will continue to work
    against the global crisis and shape a new international financial structure in the upcoming
    term … Turkey has made serious contributions to relevant efforts within the G-20. An
    IMF delegation will arrive in Turkey in April. We are in a position to reach a result based
    on the talks between Turkey and the IMF.”
    Pittsburgh
    Turkey approached the Pittsburg summit saying its strong response to the economic
    downturn was that those of a developed OECD, not a developing or emerging country,
    and thus that it warranted membership in the EU (BBC: 19 September 2009). The week
    before the summit, Turkey’s central bank cut its benchmark interest rate further to 7.25%,
    even as tentative signs emerged that the country’s economy was stabilizing. This showed
    Turkey was contributing to the stimulus that the European and global economy still
    needed. After shrinking severely in the first quarter of 2009, Turkey’s economy had
    expanded bout 5% in the second quarter. However, unemployment remained above 13%.
    Markets were wondering if Turkey would need a loan from the IMF, after the last one
    had expired over a year before.
    4 Turkish finance minister Mehmet Şimşek travelled to London on March 13 for the G20 finance ministers
    and central bank governors meeting on March 14 to prepare for the London Summit in April. He also
    met with executives of the IMF and World Bank before returning to Turkey on March 15.
    5 Minister of Foreign Affairs Ali Babacan stressed that reducing the impact of the current crisis and
    preventing similar crises required a global approach. The G20 meetings play an important role. The
    London Summit was important for international cooperation and coordination. Coordinated action was
    vital in order to overcome the crisis with minimum damage. The world needed a new architecture in
    which no country could say ‘I’m big, I’m special’.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 13
    Turkey was thus in a strong position at the summit. It sought and secured its key priority
    of making the G20 the permanent, priority centre of international economic co-operation.
    For here Turkey was a permanent, equal member of the top tier club. In the IMF and all
    other international financial institutions that mattered, such as the European Bank for
    Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), Turkey was not.
    Working Together for the Toronto to Turkey Transition
    Toronto 2010
    From this firm foundation, both Canada and Turkey approached the fourth G20 summit
    in Toronto with confidence, in common and convergent ways.6 As the first G20 summit
    co-chaired by an established G8 and emerging G20 only country, the Toronto summit
    was prepared on the basis of a broader and more balanced approach than the previous
    ones chaired by formerly hegemonic Britain and the United States alone.
    Turkey’s Standout Strengths
    Among the newly empowered emerging members of the G20, Turkey stood out in several
    ways. Amidst the new European-turned-global financial crisis catalyzed by the Greece’s
    bailout, Turkey comes (along with Korea, Indonesia, Brazil and Russia) as a once
    consumer-turned-provider of financial security – a sharp contrast to its arrival at the old
    Canadian-chaired G20 in 2001. It also comes as stronger, more globally supportive
    economic power than its neighbour Greece, a country that is already inside a now
    beleaguered EU.
    Turkey also comes as the only country that had raised its credit ratings by one or two
    grades despite the economic crisis; and could catch up with its growth before the
    economic crisis if it continued to grow around 5-5.5 per cent a year. Turkey had started to
    recover in the last quarter of 2009, even if unemployment, at 14.5% in January 2010,
    remained a key concern (Anatolia news agency, Ankara, in English 0734 GMT 15 Apr
    10). Turkey also comes as a country with expertise in Islamic finance which is a rising
    source of capital and investment in the world. It also comes with a leader who is a
    founding G20 summit veteran, as those of the United States, Japan and the United
    Kingdom are not.
    The Agenda
    Canada’s approach to its twin summits of the G8 in Muskoka on June 25-6 and the G20
    in Toronto on June 26-7 is based on a few fundamental features. The first is a sharp
    division of labour between the two summits, with the G8 doing its traditional
    development and security agenda and the G20 doing its traditional finance and economics
    6 The 2010 G20 preparatory meetings of sherpas were held in Mexico City in January 12, Ottawa on March
    26-27, and Calgary on May 24-25. The fifth meeting will be held in Toronto on June 23-24.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 14
    one. Duplication will thus be avoided, the time for global governance doubled, and a
    broader range of issues covered than would otherwise be the case.7
    The Toronto G20 will thus deal fully with Turkey’s key, well established priorities of IFI
    reform in voice and vote and resources, trade, and development. It will add coping with
    the Euro crisis catalyzed by Greece next door, a crisis that affects Turkey more directly
    and severely than Canada or other more distant states. It will also add the unemployment
    that afflicts Turkey, climate change, clean energy and the food security that its public
    puts in first place among their concerns.
    Participation
    Second, each summit will have fewer participants than its predecessors, and allow the
    G20 leaders to behave more as real leaders the way they do in the smaller, more
    likeminded, informal G8. As a result, under Canadian hosting and chairing of the G8 and
    G20, Turkey’s relative position is enhanced. At the 2010 G8 summit in Muskoka, the ten
    countries invited as guests are generally so small and new that they pose no threat to
    Turkey’s standing in the world.8 At Muskoka there will be no G8-G5 meeting and no
    MEM-17 one. All the G5 and MEM members will be only at the G20 in Toronto, along
    with Turkey as a full equal all the time. Egypt will be absent from the G20. It has been
    invited to Muskoka, even though when Canada invited Egypt to the last G8 summit
    Canada hosted, in 2002, Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak chose not to come. To
    Toronto Canada has invited as weighty guests only Spain and the Netherlands, giving
    Turkey’s leader a chance to perform and lobby in ways that advance Turkey’s European
    interests.
    Domestic Acclaim
    Third, this division of labour for the agenda and differing outside participation allows the
    leaders of Turkey and Canada to respond well to the key concerns of their citizens and
    voters back home. This is of particular importance to leaders who might face an election
    soon, as Prime Minister Harper leading a minority government always might and Prime
    Minister Erdoğan might as well.
    A GlobeScan poll of 25,000 respondents across 23 countries, taken for the BBC from
    June 19-October 13, 2009 showed those in Turkey rated the rising cost of food and
    energy as the most serious of the ten problems offered, rather than the extreme poverty
    that was in first place globally at 71% that will be dealt with at Muskoka or the
    environment and pollution in second at 64% or climate change in sixth at 58%. Turks
    also rated terrorism as one of their top three global problems, along with those in India,
    Pakistan, Indonesia, Spain and the UK. Globally, food and energy prices stood first as the
    issue that respondents had talked with friends and family about recently, while in Turkey
    7 Trade may well be dealt with by the G8 as well as by the G20.
    8 These are Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Malawi (as chair of the African Union), Nigeria, Senegal and South
    Africa, Columbia, Haiti and Jamaica. These ten, together with the G8’s ten (including two from the EU)
    make up a different “Muskoka G20,” still small enough and democratically like-minded enough (save
    for Egypt) for productive discussions to be held.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 15
    terrorism was in first place here. The Toronto G20 will deal with terrorist finance and
    terrorism as a whole. Food is due to be dealt with at both summits.
    In Canada, the state of the global economy was the issue most talked about with family
    and friends. A subsequent Canadian poll, taken from April 30-May 3, 2010 showed
    that—Canadians saw global warming as the most important agenda item (at 33.7%)
    facing world leaders at the forthcoming Muskoka-Toronto summits, with economic
    recovery in second at (27.2%) (Nanos 2010). Climate will be dealt with at both summits .
    Moreover Canadians felt Canada’s place in the world was strongest in freedom,
    democracy and human rights, with economic recovery second, open markets third, child
    and maternal health fourth, nuclear security fifth and global warming in sixth and last
    place. The first issue will feature at Muskoka and the second at Toronto, allowing Canada
    to play from its domestically perceived strengths at both summits it will host.
    G20 summits have dealt, along with the economy, with terrorist financing from the start
    and with food and energy since Pittsburgh in a serious way. The G20 finance forum had
    long had a strong track record here as well. There is thus a strong popular base for
    Turkish and Canadian leaders in contributing to make the G20 a central global
    governance forum.
    Format
    Fourth, Canada, Turkey and their colleagues have redesigned the G20 summit for
    Toronto so that finance ministers will be absent and the many heads of multilateral
    organizations invited will sit in the second row, as civil servants usually do, and speak
    only when they are spoken to regarding their technical expertise. All leaders, including
    Turkey’s will thus have more airtime to speak and be heard, especially as the heads of
    these multilateral organizations overwhelmingly come not from Turkey but from other
    states.
    This format allows more flexibility and spontaneity for leaders, who could thus use their
    summit time together to address the crises erupting at the time. In this regard, financial
    sanctions are relevant not only for terrorist finance but also against the North Koreans
    that have just attacked their neighbour to the south and against Iran against which a new
    round of UN sanctions seems soon to come. President Obama used his Pittsburgh G20
    summit to send a message to a nuclear committed Iran. Given this precedent, the leaders
    of Turkey and Brazil, along with a supportive South Africa, could use their free time at
    Toronto to advance their distinctive approach to this issue as well.
    Shaping the G20 System for the Future
    Looking ahead, Turkey sees the G20 as a central institution of global governance in
    which it is eager to play a leadership role. At the start of 2010, when the question of
    defining a hosting order for the now permanent G20 summit, after the French year in
    2011, Turkey, along with Mexico and Russia, offered to accept this responsibility in the
    near term.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 16
    Turkey’s vision for the future G20 contains a desire to expand its agenda (Kim 2010). It
    views the G20 as having both the power and responsibility to address issues beyond the
    finance core. This is particularly the case as finance and economics affect people as a
    whole and their central concerns. It is also because the G20 finance ministers and central
    bank governors have shown their capacity to make concerted efforts in broader field.
    Turkey’s central candidates for agenda expansion are climate change and poverty. These
    are highly compatible with those of Korea as chair of the November 2010 summit and
    with similarly placed members such as Mexico and South Africa.
    It is far too soon to forecast what Turkey’s key priorities might be when it hosts its first
    G20 summit. But several appropriate and attractive candidates arise. One is the need,
    beyond the IMF’s conditionality and even flexible credit lines, for additional financial
    safety nets and swaps that can be quickly deployed. A second is development that is
    driven more by the private sector, a vision that recently graduated Korea will advance at
    its G20 summit in Seoul in November and might at Toronto too. A third is development
    amidst diversity and danger. A fourth is helping get the Millennium Development Goals
    (MDGs) delivered by their fast approaching due date in 2015. A fifth is domestic
    financial regulation that works for and with Islamic finance. A sixth is climate change
    and clean energy, led by a Turkey on track to increase its share of renewables from the
    existing 20% to 30% by 2020.
    More broadly, as Turkey will be the first country from the Middle East to host the G20
    summit, its essential character as a country that durably respects democracy and diversity
    will stand out. It can thus pave the way to showing how development through democracy
    and diversity can bring progress to that troubled region of the world, and to the global
    Muslim community that lies beyond.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 17
    References
    Alexandroff, Alan S. and John Kirton (2010), “The ‘Great Recession’ and the Emergence
    of the G20 Leaders’ Summit,” in Alan S. Alexandroff and Andrew Fenton Cooper,
    eds., Rising States, Rising Institutions: Can the World Be Governed? (Washington
    DC: Brookings Press).
    Aysan, Ahmet Faruk (2010), “Country Fact Sheet – Turkey,” in Christoph Pohlmann et
    al., eds. The G-20: A “Global Economic Government” in the Making? (Freidrich
    Eberhart Stiftung: Berlin).
    Bradford, Colin and Johannes Linn (2009), “The G20 Summit – It’s Significance for
    World and for Turkey,” Turkey’s MFA Quarterly International Economic Issues,
    and Brookings Paper, March.
    Kim, Cynthia J. (2010), “Ambassadors divided over role of G20,” The Korea Herald 27
    May
    Kirton, John (2010), “Prospects Progress through Partnership: Prospects for the 2010
    Muskoka-Toronto Summits,” June 4, www.g8.utoronto.ca
    Kirton, John (2010c), “G8 and G20 Summitry: Prospects for 2010 and Beyond.” Paper
    prepared for the Center for Dialogue and Analysis on North America (CEDAN),
    Tecnologico de Monterrey (ITESM), Mexico City, March 11-12.
    Kirton, John (2010d), “The G20 Summit as an International Negotiation Process:
    Shaping the Systemic Summit Club for Toronto and Seoul.” Paper prepared for an
    international conference on “G20 Seoul Summit: From Crisis to Co-operation,”
    hosted by the Korean Association of Negotiation Studies, sponsored by the Institute
    of Foreign Affairs and National Security, Seoul, Republic of Korea, May 19-20.
    Kirton, John (2010b), “Assessing G8 and G20 Performance, 1975–2009.” Paper prepared
    for a panel on the “Relevance and Legitimacy of the G8 and G20” at the annual
    convention of the International Studies Association, New Orleans, February 17-20,
    2010.
    Kirton, John (2010a), “The G20 Finance’s Global Governance Network,” in Alan S.
    Alexandroff and Andrew Fenton Cooper, eds., Rising States, Rising Institutions:
    Can the World Be Governed? (Washington DC: Brookings Press).
    Martin, Paul (2005), “A Global Answer to Global Problems,” Foreign Affairs
    (May/June).
    Nanos, Nick (2010), “Global Warming Top G8/G20 Priority for Canadians,” Nanos
    Policy Options Poll, June 2, 2010.
    Rice, Condoleezza (2004).
    <www.g8.utoronto.ca/summit/2004seaisland/rice040601.htm> (June 2010).
    Saunders, Doug (2010), Globe and Mail May 29, 2010, video reporting. Available at:

    article1585508/?cid=art-rail-g20
    Şekercioğlu, Eser (2009), CIGI, July 8.
    Şekercioğlu, Eser (2009b), “National Perspectives on Global leadership,” NPGL
    Soundings, September 27.
    Today’s Zaman (undated)
    Link to the press briefing given by a Turkish official at the 2004 G8 summit
    http://www.g8.utoronto.ca/summit/2004seaisland/turkey040609.html
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 18
    Appendix A: G20 Compliance, London Summit 2009
    Member Sept 2008 April 2009 September 2009
    N=1 N = 5 N = CCN =
    Germany +1 +1
    United Kingdom +1 +1
    France 0 +1
    Canada +1 +0.8
    European Union +1 +0.8
    Australia +1 +0.8
    Russia 0 +0.4
    United States 0 +0.4
    Brazil +1 +0.2
    Japan +1 +0.2
    Saudi Arabia +0.2
    Turkey +0.2
    Italy +1 0
    Mexico +1 0
    South Africa +1 0
    South Korea 0
    China 0 –0.4
    India 0 –0.4
    Indonesia 0 –0.4
    Argentina 0 –0.6
    All Average +0.58 +0.23
    G8 Average (9) +0.75 +0.62
    Non-G8 Average (11) +0.50a –0.03
    Note: G8 members are in bold.
    a Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and South Korea were excluded from this calculation due to lack of compliance data.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 19
    Appendix B: Shocks 2009-2010
    Subject Status Source Spread Speed Scale:
    Deaths
    Scale:
    Destruction
    Democracy
    in Doubt
    Political Security
    Afghanistan War Old-New BMENA
    (Afghanistan)
    Bilateral
    Border
    (Pakistan)
    Regional
    (BMENA)
    Yes
    Korea –
    Cheonan
    War Old Asia (North
    Korea)
    Bilateral
    Border
    49
    NYC Terrorism New Yemen-USA Africa-America 0 0
    Detroit (Dec
    12/09)
    Terrorism New USA 0 0
    New York City
    (May 2/10)
    Terrorism New USA 0 0
    Moscow (Mar
    29/10)
    Terrorism New Russia N/A 38 Yes
    Energy-Environment
    Haiti Environment New
    Natural
    Disaster
    Americas (Dominican
    Republic)
    30,000-
    50, 000
    Chilean
    Earthquake
    Environment New
    Natural
    Disaster
    Americas N/A N/A 300
    Icelandic
    Volcano
    Environment New
    Natural
    Disaster
    Europe
    (Iceland)
    Europe-North
    America
    1 day 0
    Gulf of Mexico Environment-
    Energy
    New –
    human
    accident
    USA America-
    Mexico
    April 20-
    ongoing
    11
    Finance-Economy
    2007-9
    American-
    Atlantic
    Banking-
    Finance
    New USA-Britain-
    Germany
    Global 18 months 0 No
    Greece Debt Sovereign Debt Old Greece Europe Weeks 3 Yes
    European Debt Sovereign Debt
    (Bank)
    Old (New) Europe Global 1 day 0 Yes
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 20
    Appendix C: Leader Continuity in G8/G20 Countries
    G8 # of
    changes
    Summit 1
    (Nov 1975)
    Summit 2
    (Jun 1976)
    Summit 3
    (May 977)
    Summit 4
    (Jul 1978)
    Summit 5
    (Jun 1979)
    Summit 6
    (Jun 1980)
    # of summits
    for June 2010
    Leader
    France 0 d’Estaing D’Estaing d’Estaing d’Estaing d’Estaing d’Estaing Sarkozy = 4
    United States 2 Ford Ford Carter Carter Carter Carter Obama = 2
    Britain 2 Wilson Callaghan Callaghan Callaghan Thatcher Thatcher Cameron = 1
    Germany 0 Schmidt Schmidt Schmidt Schmidt Schmidt Schmidt Merkel = 5
    Japan 2 Miki Miki Fukuda Fukuda Ohira Ministersh Kan = 1
    Italy 2 Moro Moro Andreotti Andreotti Andreotti Cossiga Berlusconi =
    9
    Canada 2 N/A Trudeau Trudeau Trudeau Clark Trudeau Harper = 5
    Russia N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Medvedev =
    3
    European Union 0 N/A N/A Jenkins Jenkins Jenkins Jenkins
    Total: 10
    G20 # of
    changes
    Summit 1
    (Nov 2008)
    Summit 2
    (Apr 2009)
    Summit 3
    (Sep 2009)
    Summit 4
    (Jun 2010)
    Summit 5
    (Nov 2010)
    Summit 6
    (2011)
    # of summits
    for June 2010
    Leader
    United States 1 Bush Obama Obama Obama Obama Obamaa 3
    Britain 1 Brown Brown Brown Cameron Cameron Cameronb 1
    Canada 0 Harper Harper Harper Harper Harper Harperc 4
    Korea 0 Lee Lee Lee Lee Lee Leed 4
    France 0 Sarkozy Sarkozy Sarkozy Sarkozy Sarkozy Sarkozy 4
    Argentina 0 Kirchner Kirchner Kirchner Kirchner Kirchner Kirchnere 4
    Australia 0 Rudd Rudd Rudd Rudd Rudd Unknown 4
    Brazil 0 da Silva da Silva da Silva da Silva Unknown Unknown 4
    China 0 Hu Hu Hu Hu Hu Hu 4
    Germany 0 Merkel Merkel Merkel Merkel Merkel Merkel 4
    India 0 Singh Singh Singh Singh Singh Singh 4
    Indonesia 0 Yudhoyono Yudhoyono Yudhoyono Yudhoyono Yudhoyono Yudhoyono 4
    Italy 0 Berlusconi Berlusconi Berlusconi Berlusconi Berlusconi Berlusconif 4
    Japan 2 Aso Aso Hatoyama Kan Kan Kan 1
    Mexico 0 Calderón Calderón Calderón Calderón Calderón Calderón 4
    Russia 0 Medvedev Medvedev Medvedev Medvedev Medvedev Medvedev 4
    Saudi Arabia 0 Abdullah Abdullah Abdullah Abdullah Abdullah Abdullah 4
    South Africa 1 Motlanthe Motlanthe Zuma Zuma Zuma Zuma 2
    Turkey 0 Erdoğan Erdoğan Erdoğan Erdoğan Erdoğan Erdoğang 4
    Total: 5
    Notes:
    a. Assumes Barack Obama completes his term as president.
    b. Assumes the coalition holds and no election is called.
    c. Assumes no Canadian election is called before 2012.
    d. Assumes Lee Myung-bak completes his term as president.
    e. Assumes the 2011 Argentinian elections are not scheduled before the G20 summit.
    f. Assumes no change in government. Next election date is variable.
    g. Next election date is variable.
    h. Masayoshi Ohira died a few days before the 1980 G7 Venice Summit. Japan was represented by Saburo Okita,
    minister of foreign affairs, Noboru Takeshita, minister of finance, and Kiyoaki Kikuchi, the prime minister’s personal
    representative (sherpa).
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 21
    Appendix D: Finance Experience of G20 Leaders in 2010
    Country Head Ministerial Experience Professional Experience Education
    United States Bush 0 0
    United States Obama 0 Lawyer
    Britain Cameron 0 0 Economics
    Canada Harper 0 Accountant MA Economics
    Korea Lee 0 Businessman
    France Sarkozy Budget, 1992
    Interior, 2002, 2005
    Economy, finance, and
    industry, 2004
    Lawyer
    Argentina Ki rchner 0 Lawyer
    Australia Rudd 0 0
    Brazil Da Silva 0 0
    China Hu 0 0
    India Singh Finance, 2008 Economist, IMF
    Governor of the Reserve
    Bank of India, 1982-1985
    PhD Economics
    Indonesia Yudhoyono 0 0 PhD Agricultural
    Economics
    Italy Berlusconi 0 0
    Japan Kan Finance Minister, 2010
    Deputy Prime Minister
    Mexico Calderón 0 0 MA Economics
    Russia Medvedev 0 Lawyer
    Saudi Arabia Abdullah Chair of the Supreme
    Economic Council
    0
    South Africa Zuma 0 0
    Turkey Erdoğan 0 0

  • Fetullahs Businessman  flex their newfound political power

    Fetullahs Businessman flex their newfound political power

    Wednesday, June 23, 2010
    Rep. Bill Pascrell, center, and Levant Koc, right, of the Interfaith Dialog Center, with Mehmet Sahin of the Turkish Parliament.
    BY HERB JACKSON
    The Record
    WASHINGTON CORRESPONDENT

    Turkic businessmen and community leaders packed a posh Washington hotel to announce their new national group, and invited members of Congress to learn about their growing population and economic power.

    “I want to see all the Jersey guys,” says Rep. Bill Pascrell Jr., D-Paterson, who is quickly surrounded in the Willard Hotel ballroom. “Are these the guys that own all the restaurants?”

    Census data show Pascrell’s district is home to the biggest concentration of Turks in New Jersey, and as he works the room, he waves to members of the band he recognizes from events in Passaic County. He also meets Mehmet Sahin, a member of the Turkish Parliament who, among other things, is seeking contacts for an associate who wants to open a hotel in New Jersey.

    Near the buffet table, Rep. Scott Garrett, R-Wantage, takes a break from his tabbouleh to debate with a Westfield businessman about whether Governor Christie really will cut property taxes.

    Congressmen wooing new business to their districts or debating local politics is hardly new terrain, and in that sense, the opening gala of the Assembly of Turkic American Federations (A fetullah Gulen Organization)last month is like thousands of other receptions every year in Washington.

    But the formation of the ATAF, which highlights an Islamic identity that makes some secular Turks uneasy, comes as Turks are playing catch-up in the Washington influence game.

    They especially want to counter the influence of Armenian-Americans, whose No. 1 issue in Washington for decades has been a United States declaration that the deaths of 1.5 million Armenians in Turkey from 1915 to 1923 were genocide.

    Turkey denies the charge, and disputes what Rutgers University genocide expert Alex Hinton says is a consensus of historians.

    When the latest genocide affirmation resolution passed the House Foreign Affairs Committee by a razor-thin 23-22 margin in March, Turkey briefly recalled its ambassador, and congressional opponents warned that full passage in Congress would damage relations with an important ally.

    Co-sponsors of the measure — including the entire New Jersey delegation except Pascrell — do not share that fear.

    “It should not injure a relationship built on many other things,” said Sen. Frank Lautenberg, D-N.J., who added that his attendance at the ATAF gala was not a sign he was changing his support for the genocide resolution.

    Until recently, Turkey argued its case in Washington primarily through influential former members of Congress who registered with the Justice Department as foreign agents of its government.

    Over the past decade, a few hundred congressional staffers and a handful of members of Congress also took trips funded by Turkish-American groups to Ankara, Istanbul and other cities.

    Starting in 2007, however, the first of two federal political action committees registered, and the principal leader for one of the PACs also registered as a federal lobbyist in 2008.

    By contrast, Armenian groups had spent $2.6 million from 1999 through 2007 on lobbying, and made $569,000 in contributions through federal PACs.

    “We’re historically disorganized,” said Levent Koc, chief executive of the Interfaith Dialog Center founded in Carlstadt and now based in Newark, who invited many of the New Jersey officials to the reception. “We decided to come together for better coordination and communication.”

    The ATAF is an umbrella for 150 separate local organizations around the country, including Koc’s center, the Turkish Cultural Center in Ridgefield and the Pioneer Academy of Science in Clifton.

    All are affiliated with Turkish Muslim scholar Fethullah Gulen, Koc said. Gulen, who now lives in Pennsylvania, advocates a conservative brand of Islam that condemns terrorism and advocates more interfaith cooperation and science education. He was acquitted in absentia of what supporters called politically motivated charges in Turkey of advocating an Islamic state.

    Koc said the new group’s primary goal is to foster better understanding of Turkic people — a term that includes not only those from Turkey but also those from such countries as Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan — and cooperation between Muslims and other faiths.

    It’s not connected to the Turkish government or Turkish politics, he said.

    But one person attending the reception, South Hackensack chemical importer Tarik Ok, said one reason the ATAF was forming now was, “The government suggested we all go under one roof.”

    The new group has the leader of a much older group with a similar name uneasy.

    Gunay Evinch, president of the 30-year-old Assembly of Turkish American Associations, said he has asked the newly formed Assembly of Turkic American Federations to change its name and make its ties to the Gulen movement clear.

    “I told them it’s unnecessarily confusing, and it would be better to define yourselves as who you are, a sect movement within Islam,” said Evinch, who has already received mail at his Washington headquarters intended for the other group.

    Evinch said his group and the Turkish Coalition of America, which created a PAC in 2007 and registered to lobby in 2008, have worked hard to increase Turkish influence in Washington by getting American Turks to overcome a reluctance to make campaign contributions.

    “Turks did not [traditionally] reach into their pockets to give to campaigns, they thought it was corrupt,” he said. “The PAC educated people to understand that in the U.S. you can give to campaigns.”

    Evinch said a key difference between his ATAA and the new ATAF is that his group advocates only on issues important to Turks and Turkey, including the Armenian resolution and questions surrounding Cyprus.

    “We don’t advance the cause of Islam or a sect of Islam, and we don’t do interfaith dialogue based on Islam or any religion,” he said. “We also don’t import Turkish politics into our community.”

    Koc said that while it supports better understanding of Islam, his group is not limited to Muslims.

    “I cannot say we’re faith-based. Some scholars say this is a religiously motivated social movement. That doesn’t mean we are serving only Muslims or Turks. We serve all,” Koc said.

    He also disputed any religious motivation in seeking a change in Turkey’s government.

    “There’s a new generation in Turkey, and it’s more open. People opposed to this change are blaming religious people, but there are change supporters who are left wing and right wing, some of them are old socialists,” Koc said.

    “When they try to change the status quo, people who want the status quo blame Muslims. I don’t know why.”

    E-mail: jackson@northjersey.com

  • Erdogan charts a new course to the east

    Erdogan charts a new course to the east

    moz screenshot

    DEBORCHGRAVE: Talking Turkey

    By Arnaud de Borchgrave

    7:25 p.m., Wednesday, June 23, 2010

    Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan addresses the lawmakers of his Islamic-rooted party at the parliament in Ankara, Turkey, Tuesday. Dec. 1, 2009. Turkey said late Wednesday that Turkish soldiers in Afghanistan will not be part of any combat operation. Turkey says it is reviewing whether to increase its commitment to NATO’s mission in Afghanistan. Erdogan will travel to Washington for a Monday meeting with President Barack Obama, who is seeking additional troops from NATO allies in Afghanistan. (AP Photo/Burhan Ozbilici)
    Geopolitical tectonic plates began grinding menacingly five years ago when Turkey embarked on negotiations for membership in the European Union. But it didn't take long for Ankara to conclude that the EU was playacting. There was little appetite for adding 70 million Turkish Muslims (80 million by the end of a projected 10-year negotiation) to EU's 20 million Muslims (Pakistani Brits, North African French, Turkish Germans). Church attendance in Europe is in steep decline while thousands of mosques are filled to overflowing. It was time for Turkey to move on. In 2003, Turkey already had demonstrated that its close alliance with the United States in particular and the NATO alliance in general could not be taken for granted. As the U.S. 4th Infantry Division was about to disembark in Turkey and transit to Iraq to be part of a pincer movement on Saddam Hussein's regime, Ankara said no, and the pincer collapsed. Adding much expense and replanning, the 4th ID was rerouted around the Arabian Peninsula to Kuwait. Then-Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz, in a preparatory conference with Turkish leaders, had misread the signals. Turkish leaders, like many others around the world, had a hard time understanding the motives behind President George W. Bush's decision to invade Iraq. Saddam, stripped of diplomatic gobbledygook, was the West's best defense against the Iran of the mullahs. They had fought an eight-year war (1980-1988) to a Mexican standoff that had cost one million casualties on both sides. In 1949, Turkey was the first Muslim country to recognize Israel. A close military alliance was part of the relationship. The Israeli air force could use Turkish airspace for training. It also was valuable space for an Israeli attack on Iran's nuclear installations. But all that changed overnight. In short order, Israel and Turkey went from being close friends to antagonists heading for the brink of enmity. The detonator was the Israeli invasion of Gaza in January 2009, which killed 1,400 Palestinians and 13 Israelis. The break in Turkish-Israeli relations came when Israeli commandos boarded a flotilla of Turkish vessels bound for Gaza with relief supplies. Israel branded the civilians aboard as activists in the Islamic group Insani Yardim Vakfi (IHH), on par with al Qaeda. But IHH is also a key supporter of Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan's ruling party. Mr. Erdogan's warm embrace of Iran's Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in Istanbul as "a dear friend" and his opposition to further sanctions against Iran (voted June 9 by the U.N. Security Council) mark Turkey's new "BlackBerry diplomacy," a break with conventional diplomacy - when major shifts take place in real time above the heads of foreign-policy officials and the diplomats with whom they normally deal. Mr. Erdogan declines to call Hamas a terrorist organization, and he no longer sees Turkey's role in NATO as a priority. And to make sure there was no possibility of the country's military staging what might have been a fifth coup since 1960 to oust a civilian government, Mr. Erdogan ordered the arrest of 52 military commanders in February. Code-named Operation Sledgehammer, the purported plan was to blow up mosques and museums as a signal for the military to overthrow the Islamic-oriented government. Government denials notwithstanding, prosecutors have jailed about 400 people, including soldiers, academics, politicians and journalists. This explains why no one is willing to criticize Mr. Erdogan for the record. Ever since Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, an army officer in World War I, abolished the Ottoman Empire's caliphate in 1924, introduced the Roman alphabet to replace Arabic script, gave women the vote and permission to dress in Western clothes, and created modern Turkey, the military have considered themselves guardians of the secular state against Islamist encroachment. The bottom line, as explained off the record by politicians, academics and journalists in Istanbul this week, is that Mr. Erdogan and his cronies have convinced themselves this will not be America's century as was the 20th, that the geopolitical balance of forces is shifting east, and that it is Turkey's role to assume a leadership position in the Middle East that would be designed to bridge the gap between Sunni and Shia Islam. (Turkey is 80 percent Sunni.) Mr. Erdogan also believes he can persuade Iran to suspend its secret nuclear-weapons program just shy of making a bomb or missile warhead. Instead, Iran would follow the examples of Japan and Brazil, countries that have the wherewithal to produce such a weapon in six months. Mr. Erdogan, like most world leaders, had high hopes for President Obama. But now they see he is unable to master a dysfunctional system of government; that he may lose one or even both houses of Congress in November; and that Afghanistan appears to be headed for another debacle comparable to Vietnam circa 1975 (when Congress stripped South Vietnam of military aid, in effect inviting North Vietnam to administer the coup de grace). Turkey still maintains 1,750 soldiers in Afghanistan, albeit in a noncombat role to train Afghan soldiers. One cynical Turkish ex-foreign minister, speculating about the Afghan war, confided, "The way things are going, your Congress will have made Afghanistan secure for China to make a deal with a new Taliban regime to exploit the $3 trillion worth of minerals verified by U.S. intelligence." Turkish officials who see the global balance of power trending eastward also can see over the horizon a great Turkic nation that spans most of Central Asia. For them, this is a more exciting vista than a slow NATO retreat from Afghanistan. Or a European Union, where Turkey's nemesis, Greece, the sick man of Europe, almost collapsed the painfully erected House of Europe. Arnaud de Borchgrave is editor-at-large of The Washington Times and of United Press International. © Copyright 2010 The Washington Times,

  • US Supreme Courts Final Decision  on Aiding PKK Terrorism

    US Supreme Courts Final Decision on Aiding PKK Terrorism

    TURKISH FORUM WELLCOMES THE DECISION AND THANKS TO THE US SUPREME COURT

    250px Statue of Liberty%2C NY

    THE US SUPREME COURT RULES:

    Humanitarian Law Project v. U.S. Attorney General Holder, Secretary of State Clinton.  HLP sued the United States claiming that providing lobbying, public relations, legal services and other types of assistance to the PKK &LTTE terrorist organizations were freedom of speech protected by the US Constitution.

    With a vote of 6-3, the Supreme Court strongly disagreed, holding freedom of speech does not include materially assisting a group listed as a terrorist organization by the US Department of State.  The Supreme Court further held that it is not an excuse or defense that a person did not have knowledge of whether a group he/she was assisting is on the Terror List or whether his/her assistance to such group would further the terrorist acts of the group.

    The United States Supreme Court ruling also noted that: “It is not difficult to conclude as Congress did that the “taint” of such violent activities is so great that working in coordination with or at the command of the PKK and LTTE serves to legitimize and further their terrorist means.”

    ==================================================================================

    yargi

    PKK & Tamil Tiger advocates in U.S. using ‘Freedom of Speech’ right amounts to Aiding Terrorism – US Supreme Court rules

    Tue, 2010-06-22 14:25 — editor
    Daya Gamage – US National Correspondent Asian Tribune
    Washington, D.C. 22 June (Asiantribune.com):

    The United States Chief Justice of the Supreme Court John Roberts delivering the court’s majority decision Monday, June 21 giving a final blow to advocates of terrorism/separatism of Sri Lanka’s Tamil Tigers (LTTE) and Turkey’s PKK who use American soil said: “under the material-support statute, plaintiffs may say anything they wish on any topic. They may speak and write freely about the PKK and LTTE, the governments of Turkey and Sri Lanka, human rights and international law. They may advocate before the United Nations.” But they may not coordinate the speech with those groups on the US terrorist list.”

    And drawing a distinction between assisting the group and simply speaking on their behalf, the Chief Justice said, “We in no way suggest that a regulation of independent speech would pass constitutional muster.”

    The First Amendment which guarantees freedom of speech under the US Constitution does not protect humanitarian groups or others who advise foreign terrorist organizations, even if the support is aimed at legal activities or peaceful settlement of disputes, the Supreme Court ruled Monday.

    In a case that weighed free speech against national security, the court voted 6 to 3 to uphold a federal law banning “material support” to foreign terrorist organizations. That ban holds, the court said, even when the offerings are not money or weapons but things such as “expert advice or assistance” or “training” intended to instruct in international law or appeals to the United Nations.

    Chief Justice John Roberts wrote the court’s majority opinion upholding the Material Support statute as applied even to peacemakers. He noted that Congress and the executive branch had both concluded that even benign support like this can benefit terrorist organizations by giving them an air of legitimacy, or allowing such organizations to use negotiations to stall while they regroup from previous losses. What’s more, Roberts said, allowing such peaceful advocacy would undermine U.S. relations with allies, like Turkey, which is in a violent struggle with the PKK. It is vital in this context, he said, not to substitute “our own judgment” for that of Congress and the executive branch. The material support statute, he noted, is a “preventive measure — it criminalizes not terrorist attacks themselves but aid that makes the attacks more likely to occur,” and in this context the government “is not required to conclusively link all the pieces in the puzzle before we grant weight to its conclusions.”

    The law barring material support was first adopted in 1996 and strengthened by the USA Patriot Act adopted by Congress right after the September 11 attacks. It was amended again in 2004.

    The law bars knowingly providing any service, training, expert advice or assistance to any foreign organization designated by the U.S. State Department as terrorist.
    The law, which carries a penalty of up to 15 years in prison, does not require any proof the defendant intended to further any act of terrorism or violence by the foreign group.

    This litigation concerns 18 U. S. C. §2339B, which makes it a federal crime to “knowingly provide material support or resources to a foreign terrorist organization.” Congress has amended the definition of “material support or resources” periodically, but at present it is defined as follows:

    “The term ‘material support or resources’ means any property, tangible or intangible, or service, including currency or monetary instruments or financial securities, financial services, lodging, training, expert advice or assistance, safehouses, false documentation or identification, communications equipment, facilities, weapons, lethal substances, explosives, personnel (1 or more individuals who may be or include oneself), and transportation, except medicine or religious materials.”

    In full, 18 U. S. C. §2339B(a)(1) provides: “Unlawful Conduct.—
    Whoever knowingly provides material support or resources to a foreign terrorist organization, or attempts or conspires to do so, shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than 15 years, or both, and, if the death of any person results, shall be imprisoned for any term of years or for life. To violate this paragraph, a person must have knowl¬edge that the organization is a designated terrorist organization . . ., that the organization has engaged or engages in terrorist activity . . .,

    Plaintiffs in this litigation are two U. S. citizens and six domestic organizations: the Humanitarian Law Project HLP) (a human rights organization with consultative status to the United Nations); Ralph Fertig (the HLP’s president, and a retired administrative law judge); Nagalingam Jeyalingam (a Tamil physician, born in Sri Lanka and a naturalized U. S. citizen); and five nonprofit groups dedicated to the interests of persons of Tamil descent.

    Plaintiffs claimed that they wished to provide support for the humanitarian and political activities of the PKK and the LTTE in the form of monetary contributions, other tangible aid, legal training, and political advocacy, but that they could not do so for fear of prosecution under §2339B.

    As relevant here, plaintiffs claimed that the material support statute was unconstitutional on two grounds:

    First, it violated their freedom of speech and freedom of association under the First Amendment, because it criminalized their provision of material support to the PKK and the LTTE, without requiring the Government to prove that plaintiffs had a specific intent to further the unlawful ends of those organizations. Second, plaintiffs argued that the statute was unconstitutionally vague.
    Both arguments were rejected by the Supreme Court.

    The case is directly connected to Sri Lanka because the Humanitarian Law Project was representing two U.S.-designated foreign terrorist organizations (FTO) one of which is the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (Tamil Tigers) which claimed during its 26-year armed struggle for a separate independent nation in the north and east of Sri Lanka as the ‘sole representative of the Tamil People’. The outfit was militarily defeated May 2009 within the borders of Sri Lanka eliminating the entire Tamil Tiger leadership but has energized a section of the West-domiciled Tamil Diaspora floating an organization called Provisional Transnational Government of Tamil Eelam to diplomatically lobby to achieve ‘self-determination’ for the Sri Lanka Tamil minority (12%), meaning a separate independent state of Eelam.

    A meeting of the World Tamil Forum was held recently in London which advocated an economic blockade of Sri Lanka citing war crimes, human rights abuses, genocide against minority Tamils and other atrocities. It was addressed by British Foreign Secretary Miliband and graced by Prime Minister Gordon Brown. The inaugural meeting of the Provisional Transnational Government of Tamil Eelam was held in Philadelphia convened by its provisional held Visuvanathan Rudrakumaran a Sri Lanka-born naturalized US citizen who has a law practice in New York.

    The Government of Sri Lanka and its overseas diplomatic representatives in the West have to figure out how to prevent a ‘Kosovo-type situation’ emerging in the international arena which can gather support for the ‘cause’ the proponents of the Transnational Government of Tamil Eelam seeking.

    It is in this context that Sri Lanka which is faced with this challenged overseas from the remnants of the Tamil Tigers who are connected to the Humanitarian Law Project which challenged some provisions of the ‘Material Support Law’ which was rejected by the US Supreme Court on Monday.

    Following are salient sections of the Supreme Court ruling:

    (Begin Excerpts) (d) As applied to plaintiffs, the material-support statute does not violate the freedom of speech guaranteed by the First Amendment.

    (1) Both plaintiffs and the Government take extreme positions on this question. Plaintiffs claim that Congress has banned their pure political speech. That claim is unfounded because, under the material-support statute, they may say anything they wish on any topic. Section 2339B does not prohibit independent advocacy or membership in the PKK and LTTE. Rather, Congress has prohibited “material support,” which most often does not take the form of speech.

    And when it does, the statute is carefully drawn to cover only a narrow category of speech to, under the direction of, or in coordination with foreign groups that the speaker knows to be terrorist organizations.

    On the other hand, the Government errs in arguing that the only thing actually at issue here is conduct, not speech, and that the correct standard of review is intermediate scrutiny, as set out in United States v. O’Brien, 391 U. S. 367, 377. That standard is not used to review a content-based regulation of speech, and §2339B regulates plaintiffs’ speech to the PKK and the LTTE on the basis of its content.

    Even if the material-support statute generally functions as a regulation of conduct, as applied to plaintiffs the conduct triggering coverage under the statute consists of communicating a message. Thus, the Court “must [apply] a more demanding standard” than the one described in O’Brien. Texas v. Johnson, 491 U. S. 397, 403

    (2) The parties agree that the Government’s interest in combating terrorism is an urgent objective of the highest order, but plaintiffs argue that this objective does not justify prohibiting their speech, which they say will advance only the legitimate activities of the PKK and LTTE. Whether foreign terrorist organizations meaningfully segregate support of their legitimate activities from support of terrorism is an empirical question. Congress rejected plaintiffs’ position on that question when it enacted §2339B, finding that “foreign organizations that engage in terrorist activity are so tainted by their criminal conduct that any contribution to such an organization facilitates that conduct.” §301(a), 110 Stat. 1247, note following §2339B.

    The record confirms that Congress was justified in rejecting plaintiffs’ view. The
    PKK and the LTTE are deadly groups. It is not difficult to conclude, as Congress did, that the taint of their violent activities is so great that working in coordination with them or at their command legitimizes and furthers their terrorist means.

    Moreover, material support meant to promote peaceable, lawful conduct can be diverted to advance terrorism in multiple ways. The record shows that designated foreign terrorist organizations do not maintain organizational firewalls between social, political, and terrorist operations, or financial firewalls between funds raised for humanitarian activities and those used to carry out terrorist attacks. Providing material support in any form would also undermine cooperative international efforts to prevent terrorism and strain the United States’ relationships with its allies, including those that are defending themselves against violent insurgencies waged by foreign terrorist groups.

    (3) The Court does not rely exclusively on its own factual inferences drawn from the record evidence, but considers the Executive Branch’s stated view that the experience and analysis of Government agencies charged with combating terrorism strongly support Congress’s finding that all contributions to foreign terrorist organizations—even those for seemingly benign purposes—further those groups’ terrorist activities. That evaluation of the facts, like Congress’s assessment, is entitled to deference, given the sensitive national security and foreign relations interests at stake.

    The Court does not defer to the Government’s reading of the First Amendment. But respect for the Government’s factual conclusions is appropriate in light of the courts’ lack of expertise with respect to national security and foreign affairs, and the reality that efforts to confront terrorist threats occur in an area where information can be difficult to obtain, the impact of certain conduct can be difficult to assess, and conclusions must often be based on informed judgment rather than concrete evidence. The Court also finds it significant that Congress has been conscious of its own responsibility to consider how its actions may implicate constitutional concerns.

    Most importantly, Congress has avoided any restriction on independent advocacy, or indeed any activities not directed to, coordinated with, or controlled by foreign terrorist groups. Given the sensitive interests in national security and foreign affairs at stake, the political branches have adequately substantiated their determination that prohibiting material support in the form of training, expert advice, personnel, and services to foreign terrorist groups serves the Government’s interest in preventing terrorism, even if those providing the support mean to promote only the groups’ nonviolent ends.

    It simply holds that §2339B does not violate the freedom of speech as applied to the particular types of support these plaintiffs seek to provide.

    (e) Nor does the material-support statute violate plaintiffs’ First Amendment freedom of association. Plaintiffs argue that the statute criminalizes the mere fact of their associating with the PKK and the LTTE, and thereby runs afoul of this Court’s precedents. The Ninth Circuit correctly rejected this claim because §2339B does not penalize mere association, but prohibits the act of giving foreign terrorist groups material support. Any burden on plaintiffs’ freedom of association caused by preventing them from supporting designated foreign terrorist organizations, but not other groups, is justified for the same reasons the Court rejects their free speech challenge.

    Plaintiffs want to speak to the PKK and the LTTE, and whether they may do so under §2339B depends on what they say. If plaintiffs’ speech to those groups imparts a “specific skill” or communicates advice derived from “specialized knowledge”—for example, training on the use of international law or advice on petitioning the United Nations— then it is barred.

    Whether foreign terrorist organizations meaningfully segregate support of their legitimate activities from support of terrorism is an empirical question. When it enacted §2339B in 1996, Congress made specific findings regarding the serious threat posed by international terrorism.

    One of those findings explicitly rejects plaintiffs’ contention that their support would not further the terrorist activities of the PKK and LTTE: “[F]oreign organizations that engage in terrorist activity are so tainted by their criminal conduct that any contribution to such an organization facilitates that conduct.”

    Plaintiffs argue that the reference to “any contribution” in this finding meant only monetary support. There is no reason to read the finding to be so limited, particularly because Congress expressly prohibited so much more than monetary support in §2339B. Congress’s use of the term “contribution” is best read to reflect a determination that any form of material support furnished “to” a foreign terrorist organization should be barred, which is precisely what the material-support statute does. Indeed, when Congress enacted §2339B, Congress simultaneously removed an exception that had existed in §2339A(a) for the provision of material support in the form of “humanitarian assistance to persons not directly involved in” terrorist activity. That repeal demonstrates that Congress considered and rejected the view that ostensibly peaceful aid would have no harmful effects.

    We are convinced that Congress was justified in rejecting that view. The PKK and the LTTE are deadly groups. “The PKK’s insurgency has claimed more than 22,000 lives.” The LTTE has engaged in extensive suicide bombings and political assassinations, including killings of the Sri Lankan President, Security Minister, and Deputy Defense Minister. (End Excerpts)

    The United States Supreme Court ruling also noted that: “It is not difficult to conclude as Congress did that the “taint” of such violent activities is so great that working in coordination with or at the command of the PKK and LTTE serves to legitimize and further their terrorist means.”

    – Asian Tribune –

  • The Death of Turkey’s Democracy

    The Death of Turkey’s Democracy

    “I no longer recognize the country where I was raised.”

    • Article
    • Comments (18)
    more in Opinion »

    BY DANI RODRIK

    I no longer recognize Turkey, the country where I was raised and spend most of my time when I am not teaching in the U.S.

    It wasn’t so long ago that the country seemed to be taking significant strides in the direction of human rights and democracy. During its first term in government, between 2002 and 2007, Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party (AKP) worked hard to bring the country into the European Union, to reform its legal regime, and to relax restrictions on Kurds.

    But more recently, the same government has been responsible for a politics …

    ====================== COMMENTS  =======================

    • i want to correct something:
      below the picture in the article written that AKP supporters holding the banner. it’s a clear lie. the pictures on the banner belong to some people who were put in jail because of the mentioned court cases, which are supported by government. and the people who are against these series of cases claim that erdogan is manipulated by the usa, and this dependence on usa causes turkey loose.
      supporters of erdogan are about 30-40 percent. and the total percentage of the islamists in turkey is at most 50%. but the percentage of dislike against usa is about 80%. it’s obvious that turkish people feel some problem with usa politics.
      maybe some people should give up trying to relate dislike against usa to non-democracy. even the lie i mentioned above in this article shows that some powers in usa can give up ethics and can easily slander others for some interests. maybe this can explain the 80%.
      finally, it’s weird that in such a big newspaper, writers can lie publicly, if they want to.

      2 Recommendations

        • Catherine Dempsey replied:
      • most of the turkish people believe that they will not accept turkey into the union. it was the same before the developments too. and many people don’t want to be included because of the attitude of the eu. although i don’t mind if they accept us or not, like many others, i support advancements in areas like human rights, in particular rights about ideological issues. it seems there is some progress, but relatively slow. but certainly, it does not go backwards, no matter what some people claim.


    • Turkey refuses to grant independence to the Kurdish people. Turkish war planes cross over the border to northern Iraq and bomb Kurdish villages practically every day, killing an maiming thousands of people whose only desire is to have their land, Kurdistan, gain independence.
      Turkey, cannot with a clear conscience, support the Palestinian people and at the same time so brutally refuse to recognize the legitimate rights of the Kurdish people.
      We cannot, we must not forget the genocide committed by Turkey against the Armenian people. Turkey s testing us all now. If we sit idle, Turkey will destroy the Kurds too.

      Recommend

  • Turkey forced Israeli to blink–’freezes’ $56 billion defense deals

    Turkey forced Israeli to blink–’freezes’ $56 billion defense deals

    İlgi cekici bir analiz
    asagida sunulmakta
    Pulat Tacar

    Posted on June 21, 2010 by The Editors
    DIKKAT
    Turkey has the leverage of financial pressure and it is surely using it on Tel Aviv. Israelis understand the concept of money, and Ankara is pushing all the right buttons, hitting them hard where it matters. The question being asked in diplomatic circles is, will the financial pressure on the military industrial complex of Israel force a change in Mr. Natenyahu’s policy towards the Palestinians? Israel has never had to face this sort of economic pressure in its history. The US and Western Europe cannot make up $56 billion and other ongoing losses. Will it force Tel Aviv to pause and think? The Israeli military is hard pressed to find alternate places to get information on Iran. The fiasco with the Turks is costing them a lot of money at a time when they are facing international approbation.

    • Turkey is reported to have frozen at least 16 arms deals with Israel worth an estimated $56 billion
    • Contracts were suspended after the Israeli government refused to apologize for the May 31 killing of nine Turks
    • Just a matter of time before Ankara officially froze all defense deals with Israel
    • Turkish President Abdullah Gul has warned that Ankara would not rule out breaking off diplomatic ties if three demands — an international probe, a public Israeli apology and lifting the three-year-old blockade on Gaza — are not met.
    • “If the United States cannot be relied upon to pressure Israel on meeting these demands, Ankara will have to find some lever to do so itself,” the U.S.-based global security consultancy Stratfor observed in an analysis Tuesday.
    • “One such lever may be military and intelligence cooperation, which Israel has historically relied upon.

    In all probability, there will be intense pressure on the government of Mr. Natenyahu to crawl back on the steadfast positions that it has taken. Israeli has already loosened the embargo, and if President Obama is to place additional pressure, the military will force Mr. Natenyahu to retreat, apologize, and work it out with the Turks.  The change in two intelligence chiefs within a few weeks have raised eyebrows in Turkey. First the Afghan President removed the Pro-Indian chief of the Afghan Intelligence Services (RAMA), and the Turks appointed the  42 year old Hakan Fidan who has been a close adviser to Erdogan and his foreign minister, Ahmet Davutoglu. Hakan Fidan was named chief of the Milli Istihbarat Teskilati, Turkey’s National Intelligence Organization, known as MIT. Both are considered the architect of Erdogan’s expansionist policy, for several years. Hakan Fidan is viewed with deep suspicion by Israel for several reasons, one of which is that he was  formulated the uranium transfer deal between Turkey, Brazil and Iran proposed in May. Turkey voted against the sanctions on Iran.

    TEL AVIV, Israel, June 18 — Turkey is reported to have frozen at least 16 arms deals with Israel worth an estimated $56 billion, including missile projects and upgrading combat aircraft and tanks, in a major escalation of its confrontation with the Jewish state.

    The Turkish newspaper Today’s Zaman reported Friday that the contracts were suspended after the Israeli government refused to apologize for the May 31 killing of nine Turks when Israeli naval commandos stormed the Mavi Marmara, a Turkish-flagged vessel carrying humanitarian aid to the blockaded Gaza Strip.

    There was no official confirmation of the report in either Israel or Turkey. But relations between the two former allies have been crumbling since Turkey’s Islamist prime minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, ferociously denounced Israel’s invasion of the Hamas-ruled Gaza Strip Dec. 27, 2008.

    The Israeli daily Haaretz quoted defense ministry sources as saying it was probably just a matter of time before Ankara officially froze all defense deals with Israel.

    On Monday, state-run Israel Aerospace Industries, flagship of the Jewish state’s defense industry, and Elbit Systems ordered all their engineers, flight instructors and other employees based in Turkey to return home.

    Haaretz said the 16 projects being frozen include a $5 billion contract for 1,000 Merkava Mark III main battle tanks designed by Israel Military Industries — the Israeli army is equipping with Merkava Mark IV models — a $50 million upgrade of Turkey’s M-60 tanks, an $800 million deal for two Israeli patrol aircraft and an Airborne Warning and Control System jet.

    Turkey was also planning a $625.5 million deal for 54 McDonnell Douglas F-4E Phantom strike aircraft to be upgraded to Phantom 2020 standard, and a $75 million program to upgrade 48 of the air force’s 87 Northrop F-5/F-5B fighter-bombers as lead-in trainers.

    Relations nosedived in October 2009 when Turkey canceled Israel’s participation in NATO air exercises. Turkey complained that IAI had delayed delivery of six of 10 Heron long-range unmanned aerial vehicles ordered by the Turkish military in a $185 million 2005 contract.

    Last April, Jane’s Defense Weekly reported that the Israel defense ministry froze the sale of advanced military platforms to Turkey because of mounting anti-Israeli rhetoric from Erdogan’s government.

    The ministry’s foreign defense assistance and export procurement department also decided to review all Turkish requests for military equipment on a case-by-case basis.

    Turkey has been a major importer of Israeli military hardware and defense expertise since the two countries signed a military cooperation pact in 1996.

    That landmark alliance between the two major non-Arab military powers in the Middle East dramatically changed the region’s strategic landscape.

    Israeli pilots trained in Turkey and, according to some reports, Israel set up intelligence-gathering stations on Turkey’s borders with Syria and Iran.

    In the past, the Turks had preserved military cooperation with Israel, particularly the arms deals and joint exercises that formed the core of their strategic alliance, even when treatment of the Palestinians stirred widespread anger among Turkey’s overwhelmingly Muslim population.

    But the May 31 killings, and Israel’s dogged refusal to acknowledge responsibility for the bloodletting, has incensed the Turkish nation.

    The Financial Times quoted Namik Tan, Turkey’s ambassador to the United States, as saying Ankara could be forced to sever all ties with Israel, although he stressed: “We don’t want this to go to that point.”

    The unraveling of military links, including intelligence-sharing that Israeli leaders valued extremely highly because of Turkey’s proximity to Iran, underlined the seriousness of the current confrontation.

    Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu has said he does not trust Israel to carry out an impartial review of the May 31 incident, rather than be subjected to an international investigation.

    Turkish President Abdullah Gul has warned that Ankara would not rule out breaking off diplomatic ties if three demands — an international probe, a public Israeli apology and lifting the three-year-old blockade on Gaza — are not met.

    “If the United States cannot be relied upon to pressure Israel on meeting these demands, Ankara will have to find some lever to do so itself,” the U.S.-based global security consultancy Stratfor observed in an analysis Tuesday.

    “One such lever may be military and intelligence cooperation, which Israel has historically relied upon. Turkey has already downgraded cooperation and rumors have surfaced that Israeli intelligence operatives may be expelled from a radar post on Turkish soil near the border with Iran.” (UPI)

    • AS IF anticipating its next capitulation, government spokesmen told the media that in addition to ending economic sanctions on Gaza, Israel is now considering permitting the EU to station inspectors at its land crossings into Gaza.
    • That is, Israel is considering a move that will constitute a first step towards surrendering its sovereign control over its borders.
    • According to sources close to the cabinet, the main advocate for the latest capitulation was Defense Minister Ehud Barak. Jerusalem Post

    The liberal Israeli newspaper Haaretz reports that Tel Aviv has not yet felt the full effect of the Gaza flotilla. According to the newspaper, Israel will soon face more flotillas, even if the departure of ships from Lebanon is being delayed for now as a result of pressure by the U.S. and EU on Beirut.

    The Harretz says that the showdown has forced Israel’s hand. “The cabinet’s decision Sunday to ease the blockade on the Gaza Strip means, for the most part, an end to the siege on Hamas’ rule in the territory. And it’s more than a victory on points for Hamas and the Turkish government. It’s a genuine achievement for what is described as the muqawama (the resistance ) – the radical alliance of Iran, Syria, Hamas, Hezbollah, and recently also Turkey”.

    Haaretz feels that Israel will face a lot more pressure. “On the strategic level, all the bad effects of the flotilla have not been accounted for yet. In the West Bank, the Palestinian Authority reversed its decision to hold municipal elections, fearing that the Israeli interdiction of the flotilla would boost Hamas’ popularity. On the border with the Gaza Strip, the Rafah crossing is open most of the time because Egypt did not want to look like it was collaborating with Israel. Hamas, meanwhile, believes that it has found new strategic depth in the form of Turkey; the group’s behavior over the past three years had completely lost it support in Cairo.

    For all these reasons, we must assume that Israel will soon face more flotillas, even if the departure of ships from Lebanon is being delayed for now as a result of pressure by the United States and European Union on Beirut.” Jerusalem Post.


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    One Response

    Levo, on June 21, 2010 at 11:52 pm Said:

    Turkey may be the only nation capable of rehabilitating the (unofficially) rogue nation of Israel!

    Turkey asserted itself as the new sherriff in town and tiny Israel will have to take notice from now on. It will be far more difficult for Israel to have a free hand in massacering defenseless Palestinian civilia