Category: Israel

  • Struggle between Saudi Arabia and Iran for reputation in Islamic world

    Struggle between Saudi Arabia and Iran for reputation in Islamic world

     

    Саудовская Аравия карта

     

     

    Gulnara Inanch,

    Head of Representative Office of Lev Gumilev Center of Russia in Azerbaijan.  

    Director of Information and Analytical Center Etnoglobus (ethnoglobus.az), editor of Russian section of Turkishnews American-Turkish Resource websitewww.turkishnews.com  

     

     

    Spread and activity of Islam within the last 20 years is the result of globalization policy of the West, particularly the U.S. Its first phase started in the late 80’s of previous century following the collapse of the Soviet Union and activity of Islam in the region.

     

    Different faith and trends of Islam which came to the territories of the Soviet Union from the Middle East and Persian Gulf became power acting against Russia during the Second Chechen War.

     

    After withdrawal of Russian troops from Afghanistan, Taliban regime took the control of most part of Afghanistan as a result of which Islam started to be spread in Middle Asia.

     

    At the same time of opening of the geography of the Former Soviet Union to Islam, big area where the Muslims are settled have traditionally confronted with non-traditional Islam trends.

     

    Later, as a result of events called as «Arab spring» and by intervention of the US and coalition forces, governments in power in Tunis, Yemen, Egypt and Libya were overthrown and Islamic forces seized the power.

     

    In reality, when the U.S made a decision regarding government overthrow in the Middle East, it also caused the processes to be out of control in the region. After military intervention in Iraq, Iraqi regions mostly populated by Shias neighboring with Iran fell under the control of Iran.

     

    Since national consciousness in Arab countries is as the same as religious, tribal consciousness, government overthrow in Arab countries through revolution by the West increased the religious senses of people as a result of which Islamic political parties found a way to the government. Arab countries with limited freedom, living in regimes with closed doors to democracy, linked the freedom with Islam and found it reasonable that political Islam seized the power.

     

    Islamic forces, seizing the power following «Arab spring», contrary to all expectations, at least for the present moment, pursue moderate policy. The fact that new Egyptian government fights against Al-Qaida militants together with official Tel-Aviv in the borders with Israel is another proof of it. However, claims of Egypt’s new government regarding forming “Pan-Arab” empire with capital Quds by evaluating the country as influential state of the region allow us to think that all the processes are about to change towards radicalism.

     

    US military operations in Iraq and governmental overthrow in the Middle East contributed to new phase of Islamic formation. Along with hardline Islam demonstrated by “Hamas” in Palestine and “Hezbollah” in Lebanon, victory of moderate proIslamic Justice and Development Party (AKP) in Turkey brought changes to world’s political order. In 1979 Islamic revolution in Iran demonstrated the world specific management order formed by unity of secular and religious laws.  Another country in the region claimed to be Islamic center is Saudi Arabia. Thus, Iran, Turkey and Saudi Arabia joined in struggle to distribute their reputation sphere in Islamic world.

     

    Besides, “Arab Spring” has turned the stable competitiveness into armed conflict between the Shia and Sunni Islam. Another reason is the increase of reputation of Iran in the areas settled by the Shias as a result of events that happened in the Middle East.

     

    Location of the main parts of carbohydrates from Persian Gulf to Caspian Sea in the areas where the Shias live densely makes brain centers of Israel and USA to draw attention to this factor. As a result, the projects such as “the Shia Line”, “Combination of resources of Persian and CaspianBasins” has been made. This factor is one of the reasons of political processes in the Middle East caused by conflicts between the Shia and the Sunnis.

     

    On another hand, the processes in the Middle East, especially the destiny of Syria, made reconsider the relations of Islam countries among them. It should be noted that, the effort to eliminate tension of recent years and the observance of warmness in relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia in the Non-Aligned Movement Summit held in autumn of the past year in Tehran are one of the factors certifying this thought. But, this obligatory attitude should not be considered as a break from struggle against the reputation in two regional powers in Persian Gulf and Islam world.

     

    As there possibility of “Arab Spring”, which is now in Syria, is still remained for other Arab countries, to avoid it, Saudi Arabia demonstrates its desire to give to Iran its confidence breaking the coldness ice that continues for a long time.

     

    From another hand, coming into power of Islam Parties instead of overthrown powers in Arab countries and increase of salafi trends’ influence strengthens the Saudi Arabia in the region and demonstrates its twofaced game against Iran. Clear threats are stated by Salafi leaders against the Shiism.

     

    It should be stated that, “Arab Spring” caused protests by Alavis in Turkey and increase of inter-trends conflicts and allowed Al-Qaida to penetrate into this country.

     

    Al-Qaida, supported by Saudi Arabia, struggling for reputation in the region with Iran, having taken advantages of spread of salafism in the region as a result of “Arab spring”, began to increased it’s reputation.  This struggle is still in its initial phase. In the future, competition of Islamic trends, in fact, regional countries supporting these trends, will step into new phase.

     

     

     

  • Turkey condemns Israeli attack on Muslims at Jerusalem Mosque

    Turkey condemns Israeli attack on Muslims at Jerusalem Mosque

    The FINANCIAL — The Turkish Foreign Ministry has condemned Israeli police who fired stun grenades to disperse Palestinian woshippers who had thrown rocks at them after Friday prayers at the al-Aqsa Mosque compound in Jerusalem’s Old City.

    “We strongly condemn the Israeli forces who violated international law by raiding one of Islam’s holiest sites and preventing Muslims from performing their religious duty,” the ministry said in a statement on Friday, adding that Turkey is closely monitoring increasing attacks by Israeli forces against sacred sites of Muslims.

    Dozens of Israeli officers entered the politically sensitive area, one of Islam’s holiest sites, to break up several hundred protesters, according to TODAY’S ZAMAN.

    A number of policemen were slightly hurt, a police spokesman said, and Palestinian media said at least 15 protesters were injured.

    A surge in violence in the occupied West Bank over the past several weeks has raised concern in Israel that a new Palestinian uprising could erupt.

    via The FINANCIAL – Turkey condemns Israeli attack on Muslims at Jerusalem Mosque.

  • Talking Turkey About Zionism

    Talking Turkey About Zionism

    by Philip Giraldi

    Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan is in trouble again with Washington and Tel Aviv because he dared to equate Zionism with fascism and anti-Semitism as an ideology or political movement that has brought oppression. Erdogan was speaking at a United Nations sponsored Alliance of Civilizations conference in Vienna dealing with instilling tolerance. He spoke in Turkish, but his words as translated into English were, “It is necessary that we must consider – just like Zionism or anti-Semitism or fascism – Islamophobia is a crime against humanity.” Erdogan was immediately pounced upon by the usual suspects and new American Secretary of State John Kerry was also quick to pull the trigger by saying, “We not only disagree with it. We found it objectionable.” He also stated that the comments did not help the Israel-Palestine peace process. That there is no peace process due to Israel’s unwillingness to countenance an actual Palestinian state with genuine sovereignty is apparently irrelevant, but then again it has been irrelevant to American policymakers ever since 1967, when the Israelis first occupied the remaining land that they had not already taken in the aftermath of the 1947 partition of Palestine.

    Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu spoke afterwards with Kerry and disagreed, observing that in 2010 Israel had attacked a Turkish flagged vessel in international waters and killed nine Turkish citizens who were seeking to deliver humanitarian aid to Gaza. He noted that “If Israel wants to hear positive statements from Turkey it needs to reconsider its attitude both towards us and towards the West Bank.”

    Erdogan and Davutoglu were referring to how political Zionism has denied fundamental human rights to the Palestinians that it displaced by force starting at the time of partition and continuing to the present. Neither contested the right of the Jewish people to have a homeland, but were simply pointing out that Zionism as it has been practiced has caused considerable human suffering, just as fascism and anti-Semitism have done in other places and at other times. Historically speaking, some Zionists believed that Jews should return to Biblical Israel by purchasing land and would learn to live alongside their Arab neighbors while others argued, that the Arabs would have to be removed. In the event, the latter view has prevailed. One would think that the egregious and well documented Israeli human rights violations inflicted on the Palestinians would be obvious to everyone, even in Washington, and that there might even be some cautiously expressed understanding of what lay behind the Turkish Prime Minister’s remarks. But that was perhaps inevitably not the case and a goodly part of the U.S. media and chattering class quickly expressed their outrage.

    Erdogan has long been one of the preferred targets of neocon rage. The Turkish prime minister dared confront Israel’s President Shimon Peres at an international meeting in Davos in January 2009. Referring to the slaughter of Gazan civilians earlier that month, Erdogan told Peres “…you know well how to kill.” The sharp exchange exemplified Israel’s richly deserved public relations problem. The coverage of the Erdogan-Peres exchange was carefully managed in the U.S. media, but somewhat more unrestrained in Europe and the Middle East. In the one hour discussion of Gaza that was moderated by David Ignatius of The Washington Post, a far from impartial participant, Peres was allowed twenty-five minutes to speak in defense of the Israeli attack. Erdogan was given twelve minutes. During the debate, Peres pointed accusingly at Erdogan and raising his voice. When Erdogan sought time to respond, Ignatius granted him a minute and then cut him off claiming it was time to go to dinner. Erdogan complained about the treatment and left Davos, vowing never to return. Back in Turkey, he received a hero’s welcome.

    Over at Commentary magazine, the American Enterprise Institute’s Michael Rubin led the charge against Erdogan’s most recent comments, writing that, “…when they argue for the criminalization of Islamophobia, Erdogan and his fellow traveler seek to ban…criticism of the more radical outliers of radical Islamism.” It is interesting that Rubin is able to interpret what Erdogan was thinking, but he then adds a clincher: under Erdogan, “the murder rate of women has increased 1,400 per cent,” suggesting somehow that the Turkish government is responsible. And there is more. Rubin asserts that Erdogan doesn’t like press freedom with Turkey ranking 154 among nations, just behind Mexico (it might be noted that Israel ranks 112, after Panama, while the United States is 32).

    Joining the attack, David Goldman, a former leftist and Lyndon LaRouche cultist who has now turned conservative, wrote that, “Lunatics have run better countries that Turkey in living memory” before going off on a tangent to tell how people in Anatolia believe in black magic. He also added that Erdogan has a “bizarre edge” since he believes that Turks living in Europe should not assimilate, that they should retain their culture and Turkish identity. Rod Dreher in a piece entitled “Turkey under Islamist Rule” then piled on the scrum by quoting Goldman and Rubin at length before adding that “Turkey is one of the region’s worst violators of religious freedom…Turkey is a great country, but it is not part of the west, and absent a tremendous change, mustn’t be allowed to be.”

    Even assuming that all the assertions made by Goldman, Rubin and Dreher are true, what do the media, murder statistics, Islamophobia, witchcraft, the European Union, and religious freedom have to do with whether Erdogan was right or wrong about Zionism? Nothing, and the essentially ad hominem arguments themselves reveal along the way considerable ignorance about contemporary Turkey and the Turkish people, a condition that has never caused a single neoconservative to falter one bit. The fact is that it is Zionism that has created the intellectual and political framework for the continuing dispossession of the Palestinian people. Rubin argues that, “to be anti-Zionist…is to believe that Israel should cease to exist.” Well, that is a convenient way to put it, but it is just not so. Israel exists and thanks to U.S. aid is the regional military hegemon. Turkey and most other majority Islamic countries recognize that reality and have understood it for years. Turkey also has a good record towards its Jewish minority. The Ottomans took in Sephardic Jews expelled from Spain in 1492 and the community has prospered since that time. Ankara in was in fact a close friend to Israel prior to the killing of its citizens and there have been reports that behind the scenes the two countries continue to cooperate.

    Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, founder of modern Turkey, believed that Islam had held his country back so he insisted on a state in which religion had no part, even adopting the Latin alphabet to replace the Quranic Arabic script that Turkish had hitherto employed. That view persists and Kemalist well-educated Turks, of which I know many, tend not to be religious or are even hostile to religion. They include most journalists, academics, businessmen, and army officers. They are capable of considerable pushback in the Turkish political system, note for example the headscarf in schools controversy, to include active and quite effective opposition political parties. The contention that Turkey is somehow “Islamist” ruled promoted by Dreher and others is misleading at a minimum. The fact is, most Turks are nominally Muslim and most rural Turks have always been devout. Now, for the first time since the 1930s Anatolian peasants as well as other Turks from a more secular background are able to express freely their religiosity, which might be assumed by Rubin, Goldman, and Dreher to be a change for the better if it were any religion but Islam. Most observers who actually know anything about Turkey and are not engaging in taking cheap shots regard Erdogan and his Justice and Development Party (AKP) as both moderate and considerably less corrupt than its predecessors.

    Ataturk also sought to create from the remains of the polyglot and multi-cultural Ottoman Empire a Turkish national identity. That meant that laws were passed defining Turkishness, laws that have generated periodic conflicts with Kurdish, Alevi, and Christian minorities and have led to the suppression of separate cultures and, more particularly, languages. This has produced the Kurdish problem, involving Turkey’s largest minority, which has bedeviled the country for nearly thirty years. Erdogan’s liberalization of laws to permit more Kurdish autonomy have clashed with the problem of the nation’s Turkish identify and run up against cultural and legal barriers, particularly at local levels. The Kurdish problem, which is a national security issue due to the activity of the terrorist group PKK, has also created the press freedom infringements identified by Rubin. Most journalists who have been punished by the government are Kurds who have fallen afoul of the Turkishness and counter-terrorism laws, which suggests a much more complicated dynamic than Rubin would admit to. Kurdish issues aside, the Turkish media is vibrant and not afraid to criticize the government.

    Goldman’s assertion about Erdogan’s desire to have ethnic Turks retain their identity is completely off base. The Prime Minister was responding to a German law requiring Turkish children born in Germany to select either German or Turkish nationality by the time they reach age 23. Erdogan was, not surprisingly, urging them to retain their Turkish identity. And as for Dreher’s meaningless assertion that Turkey is not part of the west or “mustn’t be allowed to be,” much depends on how one defines the west these days. Is it cultural, religious, ethnic, racial, geographic or none of the above? If it is values how does one accept a Christian Greece that is awash in institutional and personal corruption versus a Muslim Turkey that scores much better on those issues? And what about the various kleptocracies operating in the Balkans? Dreher suggests that Islam means that Turkey must be kept out of the European Union club, a not uncommon viewpoint but one that is essentially bogus if one examines the successful assimilation of Muslims in our own United States, for example. It is also curious that Dreher and the others do not seem to have ever objected to the oppression of Christians and Muslims alike in Israel, where religion based property seizures and official unwillingness to provide building permits, not unlike incidents occurring in Turkey, happen frequently. Christian clergy are also regularly spat upon by Israeli Jews, suggesting an even higher level of animosity on a personal level which does not seem to bother Rubin, Goldman, and Dreher.

    I confess that I am defending Turkey partly because I have lived there, speak Turkish, and like the country and its people. It is also a major strategic ally of the United States, which is not true of Israel. Yes, there are many things that could be improved in Turkey but the same could be said in spades about our own country. Indeed, one might reasonably argue that Turkey is becoming more democratic while the United States is becoming less so. But when Prime Minister Erdogan says something that is manifestly true that some find offensive it perhaps would not be churlish to suggest that the critics stick to the actual comments for their rebuttals. I suppose the redirection of the argument is due to the fact that it is very difficult to defend Zionism as it has been practiced in Israel but it would be nice for a change if folks like Rubin, Goldman, and Dreher would somehow figure out that the rest of the world does not necessarily accept the various fictions that have been concocted to justify Israel’s oppression of the Palestinians.

  • A new rapprochement for Turkey and Israel?

    A new rapprochement for Turkey and Israel?

    The relationship between Turkey and Israel is currently entering a new season, the raison d’état of which is business. After breaking diplomatic relations following the Israeli military offensive against the Turkish boat Mavi Marmara in 2010 – a bloody attack against the activists of the Gaza-bound Freedom Flotilla that resulted in the death of nine Turkish citizens – late last month the Turkish media announced the signing of an agreement for the sale of military aircraft electronic system by Tel Aviv to the Ankara government.

    Erdogan-Assad

    Erdogan (left) and Syria’s Bashar al-Assad in better days (Photo: todayszaman.com) 

     

    The new system will complete the aircraft system already developed by the Turkish military industry, the so-called AWACS (Airborne Warning and Control System). AWACS is a radar system designed to intercept airplanes, boats and vehicles over long distances and to manage air battles against possible enemies. The agreement, over one hundred million dollars, dates back to 2002 and includes the sale of four Boeing 737 with radar control and an electronic defense system.

     

    This contract was never implemented, however, because of the Israeli refusal to provide the last two parts necessary to complete the AWACS system. This refusal followed the Turkish decision to freeze all the diplomatic relations with Israel and to proceed with trials in absentia against the Israeli soldiers and officials charged with the deaths of the nine activists.

     

    At the time of the attack of the Israeli special forces against the Mavi Marmara, Turkish premier Erdogan asked Israel for an official apology and financial compensation for the families of the nine victims. Those were the Turkish conditions for resumption of bilateral relations, but Israel refused to meet these demands. In the final report of the Turkel Commission, an Israeli government committee of inquiry to investigate the Mavi Marmara “incident”, “experts” completely absolved the government of any guilt and labeled Israel’s use of force against unarmed activists “as appropriated and proportionate to the threat”.

     

    It took the direct intervention of the American company Boeing to push the stalled sale agreement forward. According to an official of the Turkish Defense Ministry, “Boeing told Israel that its refusal to complete the delivery was damaging their own business”.

     

    Thus, Israel decided to end its two years of “embargo” against Turkey: since 2010, the Netanyahu government had banned exports to Ankara. However, this relationship was restarted as business is business: not only in the military field, but also in that of energy.

     

    On the table there is also an agreement for a joint Turkish-Israeli project to construct a pipeline from Israel via Turkey for the export of natural gas to Europe. In this case, it’s the Turkish government that is slowing down project implementation. Just two weeks ago the Turkish Minster of Energy, Taner Yildiz, said that Ankara would not give the green light for the project until final approval of Erdogan.

     

    The Israeli offer includes the construction of a pipeline that starts from the Leviathan basin – the richest one in Israel – and continues along the southern coast of Turkey in order to meet the energy needs of European countries for a total of 425 billion cubic meters of gas.

     

    The Israeli hurry is understandable, but Turkey brakes: first of all, Tel Aviv must meet the political conditions of Erdogan. The Turkish premier, in words, has always shown himself as a strenuous opponent of the Jewish state: several time the prime minister called the Israeli state a “terrorist state”.

     

    But don’t forget another element, essential to understand the current relations between the two countries: the intention of Ankara to assume the role of leader of the Arab world, taking advantage of an Egypt still too unstable and a Syria engrossed in civil war. Erdogan doesn’t hide his desire to make Turkey the new regional power, breaking relations with his former ally Bashar al-Assad and highlighting Iran as the common enemy.

     

    In such a context, Israel needs to get closer to Turkey, given the relations (similar to a cold war) with Damascus and Teheran. Turkey could become for Israel what Egypt was for decades: under Mubarak’s dictatorship, Israel enjoyed the support of Cairo, a guarantee of great value inside the Arab world.

     

    But what makes Turkey close to the Jewish state? According to Palestinian writer and political analyst Nassar Ibrahim: “In order to understand the current game of alliances, we need to start from the history: for decades Turkey and Israel have maintained good political and military relations. The attack against Mavi Marmara is the exception, not the rule. The Turkish prime minister took this opportunity to show himself as the only Arab leader able to face Israel and to defend the right of the Palestinian people. In those months, there were lots of Turkish flags raised during demonstrations in West Bank and other Arab countries. Erdogan’s success, however, didn’t come from his political stature, but from frustration over the silence of the other Arab regimes”.

     

    Until the outbreak of the Arab Spring. “Erdogan, as leader of a party belonging to the Muslim Brotherhood, understood that it was the time for Turkey,” notes Ibrahim. “Ankara could make a difference and become the new leader in a Middle East led by the Muslim Brotherhood. Because of this idea, Erdogan immediately pushed Turkey against the regimes of Mubarak, Ben Alì and Ghaddafi. And at the end, against Bashar al Assad, making a strategic mistake of great importance: Syria was a close ally of Turkey for decades. The two countries had excellent political, economic and military relations until Erdogan’s decision to abandon the old friend Assad, in the belief that the Syrian president would soon fall and leave space to a new government, led – like in Tunisia and in Egypt – by the Muslim Brotherhood”.

     

    Yet two years after the beginning of the Syrian civil war, Damascus hasn’t fall down and – while the traditional Islamic opposition groups (including the Muslim Brotherhood) are losing ground – Al Qaeda militias advance. “Erdogan is in crisis, his strategy is also in crisis because of internal unrest. The Turkish people is traditionally and historically close to the Syrian one and no one there understands the need to abandon Damascus. In particular the army, a strong and rooted power in Turkey, is harshly criticizing Erdogan: to promote his party’s interests (to become the point of reference of all the Muslim Brotherhood parties), he sacrificed the political and economic interests of Turkey”.

     

    “It is in this context that we must read the new rapprochement with Israel,” Ibrahim explains. “Turkey is isolated, it is now surrounded by antagonistic states: Syria, Iraq, Iran. Erdogan now has only NATO, Europe and United States, the closest allies of Israel. If Ankara wants western support and the Patriot missiles, it needs to renew its relationship with Tel Aviv”.

  • John Kerry Roasts Turkey

    John Kerry Roasts Turkey

    On his first trip abroad, the new secretary of state criticized Erdogan’s comments about Israel. It’s about time.

    By Lee Smith

    Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan is not a man who minces words. He has called Israel a “terrorist state” and has suggested that “Allah would punish” Israel for its inhumane actions in Gaza. Usually, the United States pretends not to hear Erdogan’s rants—but not on Friday, when John Kerry, while visiting Ankara during his first trip abroad as secretary of state, denounced Erdogan for calling Zionism “a crime against humanity.” In response to Erdogan, Kerry said: “We not only disagree with it, we found it objectionable.”

    On Monday at AIPAC, Vice President Joe Biden praised Kerry for standing up to the Turkish prime minister—and Kerry deserved the props. Kerry’s comment is as critical as State Department language gets regarding a NATO ally—and it’s about time. Policymakers from the Bush and Obama Administrations have sweet-talked and protected Erdogan since his Justice and Development party, known by its Turkish acronym AKP, came to power in 2003. Both White Houses saw Turkey as the model for moderate Islamism, a political current ostensibly willing to embrace democratic norms and project friendly power abroad, including the continuation of its strategic relationship with Israel. They believed Erdogan held the future of U.S. Middle East policy in his hands.

    But for Erdogan and the AKP that vision has come undone. Domestically, some of his key allies have become powerful and dangerous domestic rivals. Abroad, the uprising in neighboring Syria has shown Ankara’s limits, incapable of shaping even its own immediate sphere of influence. These days, Turkey is looking less like an Anatolian tiger than the mouse that roared. The prospective pillar of Obama’s Middle East policy—the regional power that the White House might have hoped would replace Israel as a strategic ally—is now in meltdown.

    ***

    It all looked like it was going Turkey’s way just two years ago. Erdogan had positioned himself as a power broker, and Barack Obama considered him one of his closest friends among world leaders. From the White House’s perspective, Erdogan seemed like he had the best possible shot at bridging the distance between Washington and Tehran. The administration hoped he might strike a deal over the Iranian nuclear program that would satisfy both sides. Moreover, the White House believed he would serve as an intermediary between the Americans and the Middle East’s increasingly powerful Sunni Islamist movement, especially the Muslim Brotherhood, in Egypt and elsewhere.

    All this was made possible by the fact that Erdogan had radically re-oriented Turkey. Ever since Mustafa Kemal Ataturk had founded the Turkish republic in 1923, Turkey had looked westward for inspiration and friendship, distinguishing itself as a key NATO ally and bulwark against Soviet encroachment. But in spite of American entreaties, the EU kept deferring Ankara’s membership throughout the 1990s, justifying Europe’s obvious contempt of Turkey by conditioning EU accession on a healthy human-rights record. (And indeed, today Turkey has more journalists in jail than China does.)

    Hence Erdogan looked elsewhere, forsaking Europe in favor of that vast and oil-rich region stretching from the Persian Gulf to western North Africa once ruled from Istanbul by Ankara’s storied ancestors the Ottomans. The new watchword was “zero problems with neighbors,” a foreign-policy strategy cooked up by an Islamist intellectual who in 2009 became Erdogan’s foreign minister, Ahmet Davutoglu.

    In order to show his seriousness, Erdogan played a hand guaranteed to win him the approbation of Muslims and Arabs: the Israel card. In the wake of Operation Cast Lead, Israel’s winter 2008-09 military campaign against Hamas in Gaza, he confronted Israeli President Simon Peres at Davos and told him: “When it comes to killing, you know well how to kill”—and then stormed off the stage. In May 2010, when Israeli commandos boarded a Turkish ship, the Mavi Marmara, to stop it from breaking the naval blockade of Gaza, they were attacked by ship passengers, nine of whom were killed. Erdogan demanded Israel make amends. “As long as Israel does not apologize, does not pay compensation, and does not lift the embargo on Palestine,” he said, “it is not possible for Turkey-Israeli ties to improve.”

    Obama worked on Turkey’s behalf to secure an apology, in the apparent belief that the burden for fixing a relationship that Erdogan had set out to trash was on Israel. (Israeli Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu refused to apologize.) The White House also gave the Turkish leader a pass when the AKP and its allies in the Gulenist movement, a cultlike political trend associated with the charismatic preacher Fetullah Gulen, started prosecuting journalists and military officers on charges stemming from the so-called Ergenekon plot. As I wrote in this column in 2010, Ergenekon was largely a political fiction cooked up to intimidate and silence opponents of the AKP and the Gulenists.

    The White House ignored the obvious signs of Erdogan’s problematic character because the role for which it had cast him was too important. With American troops out of Iraq and scheduled to depart from Afghanistan, and Obama determined to avoid committing more resources to the Middle East, the administration sought a partner capable of keeping the order and doing the work it no longer wanted to do itself. In other words, Obama wanted to switch Israel for Turkey. Jerusalem would remain a U.S. ally, but the heavy lifting and the diplomatic outreach would be done by Ankara, which, unlike Israel, was a Muslim power in a Muslim region and, also unlike Israel, prided itself on its zero problems with its neighbors’ policy.

    ***

    But the sticking point is that if you live in the Middle East you are always going to have problems with your neighbors. Erdogan found this out the hard way, with the outbreak of the Syrian uprising. The Turkish prime minister considered Bashar al-Assad a “good friend,” but after watching the Syrian president fire on what were then peaceful demonstrators for more than half a year, Erdogan finally called for Assad to step down in November 2011. With refugees flowing across the border, Erdogan tried to enlist the Obama Administration in a more pro-active policy to topple Assad, but he was ignored.

    Hung out to dry by Obama, Erdogan was left vulnerable to Assad as well as domestic criticism. In June, the Syrians, with Russian help, downed a Turkish jet, and the White House sided with Damascus’ account of the incident, blaming it on Ankara. In October, Syriashelled Turkish villages, and all Erdogan could do was complain.

    Erdogan’s Syria policy, according to Turkish journalist Tolga Tanis, marks the first time that Turkish public opinion has tilted against the AKP’s foreign policy. “At least 60 percent according to the polls are against Erdogan’s Syria policy,” said Tanis. “The security risk is skyrocketing, and Turks are losing money.”

    Supporting the anti-Assad rebels has exposed Turkey to retaliation from a longstanding Syrian ally and Turkish enemy, the Kurdish Workers’ party. Also, Turks don’t want a refugee problem on their hands, especially when some of those refugees crossing the Syrian border are Islamist militants. Moreover, with Syria consumed by civil war, Turkey has lost a major trade route to the rest of the region.

    Then there’s the failure of Erdogan’s once-vaunted soft power. The Obama Administration tasked out much of its Arab Spring diplomacy to its man in Ankara, and in the immediate aftermath of the upheavals that brought down dictators, Erdogan was greeted by throngs in Cairo praising him as the region’s great new leader. But two years on, Muslim Brotherhood parties allied with the AKP, itself a Brotherhood party, have failed to deliver on the promises that brought them to power around the region. Were Erdogan to show his face today in the Egyptian capital, it would likely serve as a target for an unhappy, unemployed shoe-thrower.

    At home, Erdogan’s AKP is now at odds with the Gulenists, who seem to have taken charge of the Ergenekon trials in order to secure their hold over what Turks call the “deep state,” which includes the judiciary and police. When the army’s former chief of staff Ilker Basbug was arrested last year even Erdogan thought this was going too far. “I think claims that he is a member of a terrorist organization are very ugly,” said Erdogan.

    Undermined at home and exposed abroad as a weakling—it’s hardly any wonder Erdogan is ranting against Israel again. “It was not improvised, but scripted,” said Tanis. “He was anticipating Kerry’s visit.” The difference between now and Davos in 2009 or the Mavi Marmara in 2010 is that Erdogan is projecting not power but neediness. He wants to know if the White House still loves him and needs him more than Israel. The evidence is not in his favor.

    ***

    Like this article? Sign up for our Daily Digest to get Tablet Magazine’s new content in your inbox each morning.

    Lee Smith is a senior editor at the Weekly Standard , a fellow at the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies, and the author of The Strong Horse: Power, Politics, and the Clash of Arab Civilizations.

  • Turkey riding on the back of the tiger

    Turkey riding on the back of the tiger

    By Pinhas Inbari

    erdogan2013Geopolitical forces in the Middle East demand the return of cooperation and amicable relations between Turkey and Israel. The two former allies face similar challenges like the growing threat of terrorist Iran, with its dangerous nuclear ambitions, and the possibility that Syria becomes a launching pad for Sunni al-Qaeda affiliated terror groups in the Middle East and Europe.

    Recently, encouraging reports in the media indicated that Israel would supply military technology to Turkey to fulfill old contracts that remained in limbo due to the tensions between the two countries. In addition, it has been reported that Haifa’s seaport would become the new gate for Turkish trade with Jordan, which used to run through Syria before the embattled country blocked all Turkish ground convoys. However, despite these encouraging signs, no breakthrough has been achieved via the U.S. mediated efforts to melt down the freezing relations between the countries in place since the Mavi Marmara episode. Last week, Prime Minister Erdoğan compared Zionism with fascism and characterized the Israeli national movement as a crime.

    Islamist Turkey has clearly chosen the neo-Ottoman ethos over state interests. This not only complicates its relations with the Jewish state but also intensifies friction with Iran – its Islamic rival. The decision to privilege inter-Islamic quarrels and preserve its Islamist ideology has caused Turkey to endorse the al-Qaeda affiliated Nusra group so as to turn it into a tool against the declining Syrian regime and Hezbollah in Lebanon.

    In order to understand the carnivorous nature of the Nusra group, one has to review its origins. The group began as a violent Jordanian gang that operated in Iraq under the command of the notorious Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. Its nucleus in Syria is not composed of native Syrians but of al-Qaeda operatives from across the region helmed by a Jordanian contingent.

    In its Turkish incarnation, the Nusra group has de facto become the military wing of the Muslim Brotherhood.  Its headquarters are located in Istanbul, commanded by a veteran Syrian Muslim Brotherhood soldier Faruq Taifur. However, Turkey should find little solace in the fact that Nusra is headed by a Muslim Brotherhood rather than an al-Qaeda operative on its soil. It is likely that al-Qaeda is already eyeing Turkey for possible terrorist operations regardless of Taifur’s affiliation.

    With the Nusra forces fighting Hezbollah in both Syria and Lebanon, Turkey finds itself in the midst of a proxy war with Iran. A quick glance at the regional map tells us that the parties are struggling over control of Kurdish Syria and Alawistan. To date, the Nusra forces have refrained from attacking the Alawites so as to avoid unifying the Kurds with the Alawites, who have so far stayed loyal to President Assad and the regime in Tehran. The unification might create a ‘Shiite Crescent’ spread over Iran, Iraqi Kurdistan, Syrian Kurdistan and Alawistan, and Tripoli, touching upon the areas controlled by Hezbollah.

    Turkey and Iran are engaged in a regional race to establish and control this crescent. While Turkey is negotiating a deal with the captive Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) leader Abdullah Öcalan and his Syrian allies in the Democratic Union Party (PYD), Iran is busily supporting the other side and may use Hezbollah to stage terrorist operations on Turkish soil.

    Turkey would do well to preserve its glorious Muslim cultural heritage. In order to do so, it must abandon the Muslim Brotherhood’s ethos and disengage from the Middle Eastern morass by normalizing relations with Israel and thereby identifying itself once more with the West.

    via World Jewish Congress – WJC ANALYSIS – Turkey riding on the back of the tiger.