Category: EU Members

European Council decided to open accession negotiations with Turkey on 17 Dec. 2004

  • The EU, Turkey and Russia: An Unlikely Troika

    The EU, Turkey and Russia: An Unlikely Troika

    Michael Werbowski (minou)

    Published 2008-09-06 04:57 (KST)

    Russia’s strategic comeback, or the Georgian crisis in the Caucasus, might be a blessing in disguise for Turkey, as a realignment of power in Russia’s favor could hasten accession negotiations between Ankara and Brussels. Why? Because the European Union, for obvious trade and energy reasons (aside from defense ones), needs Turkey as a solid strategic partner now more than ever.

    NATO’s Demise and the EU’s Rise

    The multilateral Ordungsmacht, or stabilizing power, that was NATO in the 20th century’s bipolar world, today looks crippled by transatlantic divisions, partly stemming from the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Additional fractures over Georgia’s and Ukraine’s status (with the United Kingdom and the United States pushing for further NATO expansion into former Soviet space, while France, Germany and Italy remain very frosty to the idea) have split the cohesiveness of the erstwhile defensive military organization. Overall, NATO looks overstretched, overcommitted, and underequipped. It has so far skillfully concealed these divisions and shortcomings.

    Furthermore, NATO is always on the offensive against its perceived enemies (oil-rich Russia, and radical Islam — also in oil-rich regions). In the 21stcentruy, NATO clearly seeks to play the role of the global cop, with station headquarters in Washington. This is unacceptable to the Russians.

    In Munich in 2007, the West seemed deaf to Moscow’s warnings about putting a missile defense system in their backyard and about NATO’s eastward push. In the summer of 2008, taking advantage of the waning months of a weak and directionless Bush presidency, Russia has made itself heard by using military force in Georgia.

    Moscow has always had legitimate security concerns in the area that stretches from the Black to the Caspian seas. However, if the EU one day begins to carry more diplomatic and military weight in the region, it will do so only with Turkey’s approbation and cooperation. A greater EU role in Europe’s underbelly to the southeast might be more palatable to the tetchy Russian bear.

    A Semipermanent Seat for Turkey at the EU Conference Table

    Russia’s Georgian blitzkrieg triggered the collapse of the post-Cold War order that began in 1989. In this new regional configuration, whereby Russia calls the shots in its “near abroad,” the EU must act as a counterweight in Eurasia to the remerging hegemon. It is for this reason that Turkey can no longer remain on the sidelines of European integration. It must be given a seat at the table of European foreign policy consultations.

    I am not suggesting full EU membership for Turkey by the end of this decade or in the distant future, for that matter. But within the context of an EFDP (European foreign and defense policy), Turkey may one day become an indispensable player. Brussels must face up to this new reality.

    The EU’s ties with Russia often overshadow its ties with Turkey. But this is a flawed policy in the long term. As Mesut Tastekin, a doctoral candidate at Gazi University, points out, areas of great geopolitical concern to the EU are also “risk areas” that include Turkey and are part of Ankara’s purview of interest. Thus, the EU and Turkey have overlapping strategic concerns when it comes to the overall stability of the Black Sea, the Mediterranean and even the Caspian Sea regions.

    As Tastekin asserts, “Turkey stands at the crossroads of the regions which are regarded in the document [the European security strategy document elaborated by Brussels in 2003] as important regions for European security such as the Balkans, the Mediterranean, the near east and the Caucasus.”

    Turkey as the Great Mediator Between East and West

    Turkey has been taken for granted for far too long, despite its growing and obvious geopolitical importance in Brussels. For instance, EU leaders gathered last week to discuss the brief war between Russia and Georgia. Next, a similar emergency EU meeting will tackle the same issue. Yet Turkey, as an “associative member” of the EU, is absent from these crucial consultations.

    This is no mere omission or oversight; it is a great diplomatic error.

    Ankara has proven its diplomatic skills playing the part of the “honest broker” between Syria and Israel. Furthermore, the country has made several good will gestures (most likely with helpful prompting from Brussels) to normalize relations with Nicosia over the issue of a divided Cyprus. And most remarkable of all, by sending the Turkish head of state to Yerevan, the country has made a grandiloquent move to heal the century-old wound between the Turks and the Armenians.

    These are truly impressive and daring diplomatic maneuvers. They will likely bear fruit for Turkey and for its neighbors and serve to strengthen European stability as well. For this reason the EU must consider Turkey a serious strategic partner in its future relations with Russia. In the aftermath of the Georgian-Russian conflict, ignoring Turkey at EU foreign policy making forums is no longer viable.

    Michael Werbowski is a Prague-based journalist who pursued post-Communist studies at the University of Leeds, U.K. He would like to thank Beykent University and the staff of its journal of strategic studies for their kind support and cooperation for making this article possible.

    Source: www.ohmynews.com, 06.09.2008

  • Why the European Union strengthens Turkish secularism

    Why the European Union strengthens Turkish secularism

    Kalypso Nicolaïdis
    Hakan Altinay
     
    Many Turkish secularists are becoming ever more critical of the European Union. They should think again, say a group of prominent intellectuals led by Hakan Altinay & Kalypso Nicolaidis: for there are seven ways in which Europe can still be an agent of Turkey’s secularist progress.

     

    The question of whether European Union officialdom has taken sides in the ongoing clash between “secularists” and “Islamists” in Turkey is of profound current concern. Many in the first camp seem to believe so, citing as evidence the way that one EU representative after another dismissed the grounds of the indictment denouncing Turkey’s ruling Adalet ve Kalkinma Partisi (Justice & Development Party / AKP) as the “focal point for anti-secular activities.” Europe seems to have become, according to some of these secularists, the great co-conspirator in Turkey against secularism – the very European value the founders of the Republic sought so passionately to affirm.

     

    Indeed, the EU has not found a productive body-language when engaging with those Turks who attach exceptional value to secularism. Many secularists suspect that the post-9/11 west is eager to appease radicalism in the Islamic world, and therefore lowers its standards for a friendly but Islamist partner. The EU’s talk about democracy and the rule of law rings hollow to some of those “on the ground”: what EU politicians really mean, they fear, is that an Islamic democracy is good enough for Turkey. How condescending!

    The secularist critique of the European Union approach continues by arguing that Euro-talk of tolerance is all very well in relation to European societies where the relationship between the state and the dominant (Christian) religion has been secularised for one or two centuries and where Islam and the specific issues it raises are contained in small minorities. In such settings, say the secularists, to be relaxed about women wearing headscarfs (for example) may be an affordable luxury – but in Turkey, giving in on this issue amounts to giving up on secularism altogether.

    The effect of this trenchant case is that there is now the risk of a divorce in Turkey between the once-western elite and the European project. This is regrettable – for those Turks who care deeply about secularism are critical stakeholders in Turkey, and something remains missing as long as they are not included in the European Union convergence process.

    This is not just the EU’s fault. Turkish secularists – allowing for a degree of generalisation to make a larger point – have become rather reclusive. They shy away from European forums. In their increasingly rare contacts with senior Europeans, they have a tendency to hold their counterparts elsewhere responsible for most of the ills in the world, and prefer to lecture rather than to engage with them. Some of their tactics also leave much to be desired: for example, they failed to condemn the Turkish military’s “e-ultimatum” in April 2007, possibly because they have come to believe that democratic principles can give way to their secular ideals. They also have a tendency to seek the most dramatic responses even to mild pressures.

    In turn, the allergic reaction by the Europeans to the choice of tactics by the secularists gets in the way of a productive exchange about the real substance of the latter’s concerns. The European Union (and especially European social democrats, who are so much the secularists’ natural allies) need to find a way to decouple the tactics currently pursued by some Turkish secularists (many of which are unsavoury) and their concerns (many of which are legitimate).

    When stakes and emotions are high, it helps to get back to basics. It could be argued that the normal apparatus of the EU itself – that is EU laws and EU institutions – has little to do with managing secularism in individual states, whether members or candidates. The choices made within individual countries regarding morality and the organisation of state-society relations are – in the spirit of subsidiarity – the product of complex historical patterns, and best left to each polity. At the same time, the EU is also simply a sum of states and peoples who interact in all sorts of ways, while each (like Turkey) is struggling to reinvent the social contract that binds its citizens, including on the role of religion in their public space.

     

    Paths of progress

    It is in this latter sense that the European Union is most relevant to Turkish debates. If both sides can manage to see past political rhetoric and engage on substance, there emerge seven vital ways in which the European Union would ultimately strengthen secularism in Turkey:

    1. Modernisation Few doubt that modernisation helps sustain secularism. The progressive integration of Turkey into the European Union would mean a deepening of Turkish modernisation. The Turkish economy will inevitably be further rationalised, and deliver increasing prosperity; there is a time-tested 1% annual catch-up between old member-states and new ones. Spain’s convergence with the European median income is a solid testimony to this effect.

    Turkish universities are already integrating into the European space through the Erasmus and other (for example the Framework 6-7) programmes. Such developments in turn will deepen what is referred to as “social differentiation”, including through a greater role for professionals. These are all ingredients of a transformation of the kind mapped by the great German sociologist Max Weber, which has social secularisation at its core.

    2. Socialisation The European Union creates socialisation across countries and societies through numerous governmental, administrative, and business- cooperation networks, as well as transnational consultation and decision mechanisms. The civil societies of its different countries increasingly come into contact – in the form of students, trades unionists or NGOs, for example. The more these individuals become linked to several overlapping and layered communities, the less they are bound to their local religious authority.

    Increased “life-chances” through multiple belongings tend to free people from traditional conceptions of life. Greece’s once-insular and tradition-bound culture was slowly transformed through waves of Greeks participating in European networks. The progressive integration of Turkey into European socio-political processes will inevitably change its political culture – away from any Islamist instinct.

    3. Women The status of women is clearly at the heart of the secular vision. To be sure, modernisation’s call for the remapping of private-public boundaries is meant to release women from the yoke of tradition, including religion. It is not clear, however, that top-down state feminism can be relied on to do all the work here. The key remains equality of access to the workplace.

    The European Union’s “Lisbon strategy” – referring here to the union’s economic plans, not its constitutional document – demands 60% female employment, with a vast majority of these women working in industry and services. The growth of female participation in the labour-force will have secularising effects through socialisation. Women, once provided with these opportunities, are unlikely to accept any intrusive controls over their choices – whether from Brussels, from their own state or from the internal restrictions imposed by male-dominated religious authorities.

    4. Anti-discrimination Secularists are concerned about creeping Islamisation through the state’s own highly effective power of patronage. To counter this, the European Union has multiple anti-discrimination standards, some of which put the onus of demonstrating non-discrimination on public authorities at the local, national and European levels. There is also an ombudsman office at the EU level who intervenes after receiving complaints of discrimination from individual citizens. A comparable office – resembling a “secularism ombudsman”, a proposal already offered by Turkish political scientists and Olli Rehn, the EU’s enlargement commissioner – could provide effective recourse.

    5. Competition Secularists have expressed concern about the creation of pro-government business circles through the selective granting of contracts and licenses. European Union rules on public procurement and state aid can provide effective safeguards in this area. Anti-competitive behaviour on the part of EU governments is punished through requirement to reverse awards or contracts as well as through fines. The EU also has time-tested rules on independent authorities and distribution of licenses and public concessions, which create far larger rents in today’s economy.
    Among the many articles in openDemocracy‘s “The future of Turkey” debate:

    6. Trans-european politics The European Union does not override the specificities attached to domestic politics; but it is giving rise to a new kind of trans-European politics by connecting the public spheres of its member- states. The national political parties of these member-states create transnational alliances and campaign together for the European parliament, negotiate common platforms and sharing ideas. For Turkey, this would mean inter alia the integration of the AKP or other centre-right parties into the conservative Christian-democratic culture which (with many variants) has internalised the core tenets of secularism.

    7. The “democratic core” The various European Union treaties since 1997 include a mechanism for multilateral democratic surveillance to prevent authoritarian “drift” within a member-state. This approach was informally introduced on the occasion of the formation of an Austrian government coalition that included Jörg Haider’s Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (Freedom Party of Austria / FPÖ). The use of sanctions, while controversial, was “constitutionalised” with the Nice treaty in 2000. It would thus not be far-fetched to argue that if an Islamist government of an Iranian type did come to power in Turkey, it would incur a treatment worse than Haider; assuming that Turkey is ever-more integrated into Europe, the costs would be prohibitive.

    More generally, the EU can be thought of as a complex check-and-balance machine, bent on constraining movement towards the “tyranny of the majority” both at the EU level (where small states have a disproportional voice, and decisions are never taken by a simple majority of the population) and within its member-states.

    These seven points reinforce the case that convergence and integration with the European Union is clearly a plus for the future of secularism in Turkey. There are two caveats, however.

    Convergence without accession?

    First, even if most secularists in Turkey do accept these arguments, and do believe in the modernising promise emanating from the EU, the sceptics can still say with some justice that the manner in which EU integration would strengthen secularism in Turkey is made uncertain by the fact that the prospect of Turkey’s actual accession to the EU recedes by the day. Indeed, they say, the likely result in Turkey is the worst of all worlds: paying the price of convergence by opening the (liberal) gates to conservative influences in the country, without acquiring the protective effects of EU membership down the road.

    It is certainly true that the failure of the twenty-six other heads of state and/or government to reprimand the French government’s discourse on Turkish membership raises doubts about whether pacta sunt servanda means anything in contemporary Europe. The EU has always maintained a tricky balance between grand vision and petty politicking, and the former is now in short supply; but this is bound to change as Turkey continues to converge with EU member-states, even prior to accession.

    In the meantime, Turkey and Turkish secularists have friends – and many more potential friends – in Europe. Moreover, they should stop listening only to, and publicising the words of, their EU enemies. If they really want EU membership, they need to engage with their friends and work towards this goal, instead of resigning prematurely. A European liberal democracy with all the safeguards; a growing economy; European-standard universities; and women’s participation in public life – all this is sure to consolidate secularism in Turkey better than any authoritarian option.

    Liberalism vs secularism?

    The second and more difficult caveat to this European Union/stronger-secularism equation involves a return to first principles. A convergence to European secularism today requires engaging with a new phase of modernity with political (as opposed to economic) liberalism at its core. Indeed, secularism is a highly contested and amorphous notion, and not only in Turkey – many countries, France and Britain among them, are seized by regular convulsions onver the issue.

    Turkey is thus not alone – and our debates must debate each other. In trying to agree on its contours, all European peoples are painfully exploring the various ways they might reconcile the requirement of social integration with the radical pluralism of their societies. Whether in the Netherlands, Britain, France or Austria, secularism is increasingly embedded in liberal imperatives: to commit to the belief that the primary purpose of liberal society is to free its citizens from the fears that have characterised so much of state-society relations up to date, and to empower the autonomy of the individual against the state and the society. The productive thing to do for Turkish secularists would be to join this debate.

    But how should the assertion at the core of the secular principle be judged – namely, that the state (especially governmental practices or institutions) should exist separately from religion or religious belief? Does this mean that public servants should be banned themselves from displaying their religious belonging; does it encompass such display by anyone in the public space in general; and if the latter, does the injunction concern only minors or also freely consenting adults?

    The rest of Europe considers that outlawing a headscarf worn by an adult is simply outside the range of secularist injunctions if the adult is a consumer of public services (such as education); if she is a provider of such services however, the debate is alive and well. Europeans know all about the clash between tolerance for religious beliefs and tolerance for difference tout court.

    Liberalism does not necessarily have a good press among the secular Turkish elite who believe that Turkey would not even be close to EU membership if it had not been for the uncompromising zeal of the young Turks who built the country’s secular pillars on the ashes of the Ottoman empire. Nevertheless, Turkey does not stand outside the liberalism-and-secularism debates that have engulfed the rest of Europe. Turkish seculars have to confront the fact that in 21st-century Europe, those passionately attached to both secular and liberal principles usually argue that when it comes to adults (a crucial reservation), free choice is a more likely path to women’s liberation than a politics of enforced dress.

    A question of recognition

    In this whole debate, the greatest challenge may be that of true mutual recognition. If the divide in Turkey is between Muslims (pious and secular), what does this mean for Turkey’s engagement with the many Europeans who espouse an ideological brand of secularism, which is not about procedures and rules but about the promotion of an atheist belief-system and the creation of the societal conditions for the spread of such beliefs?

    It may not be sustainable to maintain a schizophrenic attitude to the encounter with “the European” – the common idea (in Turkey as well as elsewhere) that the material civilisation of Europe is there for the taking but not the spiritual (including its tolerance for blasphemy). Indeed, both the contemporary anxieties around aggressive secularism and the revival of religion as a global phenomenon must be acknowledged.

    It is within Europe that Turkey is best placed to navigate a middle-ground between the two, and demonstrate its capacity to reinvent a brand of secularism that is sustainable in the 21st century. In the end, as we and countless others have repeatedly argued, the success of the European political project and further reforms in Turkey are intimately linked. We invite the Turks and other Europeans to genuinely care for each other’s respective core concerns, desires and historical perspectives, especially when what is at stake is our capacity to share in the reinvention of our societies in a spirit of profound mutual understanding.

    This document is endorsed by the following:

    Hakan Altinay, Open Society Institute, Istanbul

    Jean-Francois Bayard, CERI, Paris

    Ivan Krastev, Centre for Liberal Strategies, Sofia

    Kalypso Nicolaidis, Oxford University, Oxford

    Nathalie Tocci, Instituto Affari Internazionali, Rome

    Jose Ignacio Torreblanca, ECFR, Madrid

    Raimo Vayrynen, Finnish Institute of International Affairs, Helsinki

     

    Fred Halliday, “Turkey and the hypocrisies of Europe” (16 December 2004)

    Murat Belge, “The trials of free speech in Turkey” (6 February 2006)

    Daria Vaisman, “Turkey’s restriction, Europe’s problem” (29 September 2006)

    John Palmer, “A commonwealth for Europe” (11 October 2006)

    Fadi Hakura, “Europe and Turkey: sour romance or rugby match?” (13 November 2006)

    Katinka Barysch, “Turkey and the European Union: don’t despair” (27 November 2006)

    Hratch Tchilingirian, “Hrant Dink and Armenians in Turkey” (23 February 2007)

    Gunes Murat Tezcur, “Turkey divided: politics, faith and democracy” (4 May 2007)

    Taner Akcam, “Turkey and history: shoot the messenger” (16 August 2007)

    Soner Cagaptay, “Turkey and the Kurds: everybody’s problem” (5 November 2007)

    Gunes Murat Tezcur, “Turkey after Hrant Dink” (18 January 2008)

    Hasan Turunc, ” Turkey and the Kurds: politics and military action” (27 February 2008)

    Mustafa Akyol, ” Turkey’s ‘Islamic reform’: roots and reality” (4 March 2008)

    Katinka Barysch, ” Turkey: the constitutional frontline” (14 April 2008)

    Cem Özdemir, ” Turkey’s clash of values: memo to Europe” (29 April 2008)

    Bill Park, ” Ergenekon: Turkey’s ‘deep state’ in the light” (7 August 2008)

  • Slave trade heads to Israel

    Slave trade heads to Israel

    By Mona Alami

    JERUSALEM – Israel continues to be a favorite destination for the trafficking of women for the sex industry – also known as the white slave trade – and for a form of modern slavery where migrant laborers from developing countries are exploited.

    The US State Department placed Israel in Tier 2 position in its 2007 Trafficking in Persons report. Also, an Israeli court ruled against the country’s work visa policy which forces foreign workers into indentured labor with a single employer.

    “Israel was only upgraded to Tier 2 last year,” said Romm Lewkowicz, a spokesman from Israel’s Hotline for Migrant

    Workers, an advocacy group which defends the rights of foreign workers.

    The US State Department divides countries into three tiers. Tier 1 is for countries that have successfully implemented measures to control trafficking (most Western countries fall into this category). Tier 2 is for countries that are trying to eradicate this modern day slavery but still fail to meet the necessary standards. Tier 3 is reserved for countries that have not addressed the issue at the most basic level.

    In 2006, Israel was on the US State Department’s Watch List for people trafficking.

    “This position falls between Tier 2 and Tier 3. The US applies economic sanctions to those countries which fall into Tier 3, but as we have a strong economic relationship with the US, Israel was given a warning and placed in a slightly higher category,” said Lewkowicz.

    The Israeli government has also faced sharp criticism from the US for its so-called binding work visa policy which effectively binds foreign migrants – mostly from developing countries and former Soviet Eastern bloc countries working in certain industries such as construction, labor, homecare and agriculture – to the employer stated on their visa.

    “The issuance of these visas is subject to the workers staying with the same employer stated on the visa, and if this condition is broken then the migrant worker is deemed illegal and liable for deportation without having a chance to fight the case in court,” said Sigal Rosen from Hotline.

    This has encouraged unscrupulous employers to withhold payment and extort employees, knowing they can always replace them and escape penalized.

    One of the more notorious cases was the Turks for Tanks deal of 2002. According to the deal, the Israeli military industry (Ta’as) upgraded about 200 tanks for Turkey for US$687 million, in one of the country’s biggest arms export deals. As part of the agreement, 800 Turkish workers were granted permits to work in construction in Israel, after being placed through the Turkish employment agency Yilmazlar.

    One of Yilmazlar’s contractors, Shaheen Yelmaz, arrived in Israel in 2006 dreaming of helping his father pay off his mounting debts after being promised a good job in Israel for $1,400 a month – a fortune by Turkey’s standards where unemployment is high.

    On arrival his passport and mobile phone were taken away and he and other Turkish workers were accommodated in squalid conditions.

    “We were not allowed to leave the premises in the evenings, and were only allowed out on our day off. And we were not paid for the first three months,” said Yelmaz.

    The Turkish Embassy was unwilling to intervene because of the lucrative deal with Israel.

    Yelmaz and his fellow contractors, most of them with little education, were coerced into signing blank documents before leaving Turkey that virtually ensured their dependency on Yilmazlar.

    “We were also told by our Israeli employer that if we were unhappy we could leave. The police would then arrest us as illegals and we would be deported,” said Yelmaz.

    Following a number of similar cases, Hotline and other Israeli human rights organizations petitioned the Israeli High Court. The court acknowledged the inequity of the system, but ruled that Yilmazlar’s contract with the Israeli defense industry was unique, and the company’s contract with Israel was limited.

    However, the court did rule in 2006 that Israel’s binding visa policy in general was illegal, and ordered the state to establish an alternative. Rosen says they are still waiting for a final response from the state.

    Yelmaz was subsequently deported to Turkey, $15,000 in debt, and Israel’s contract with Yilmazlar was renewed.

    “While the situation of indentured laborers remains serious, the white trade trafficking has improved somewhat,” said Lewkowicz. “Since the US State Department put Israel on its Watch List in 2006, the number of women trafficked to Israel has declined, and it is now against the law to traffic in women. Furthermore, the government now grants prostitutes a one-year rehabilitation visa. However, the bureaucracy involved means the granting of these visas is often problematic.”

    But new problems have arisen. “Israel is no longer solely an importer of prostitutes but has become an exporter of them too. Last year we discovered a new business where Israeli women were being trafficked to the UK and Ireland to work in the sex industry,” Lewkowicz said.

    Prostitution has also gone underground in Israel. “Before it was openly done on the streets, now many of the players have resorted to working from private apartments, following a police and government crackdown on the trafficking,” he added.

    According to the Jerusalem-based Task Force on Human Trafficking (TFHT), approximately 1,000 of the estimated 10,000 prostitutes in Israel are minors.

    Immigrants from the ex-Soviet bloc countries, some involved in the Russian mafia, manage about 20% of the trade, while the remainder are Israelis, says Lewkowicz.

    A Global Terrorism Analysis report published by the Washington-based Jamestown Foundation states that many of the trafficked women are smuggled in from Egypt’s Sinai by Bedouins who have also been involved in arms smuggling.

    The industry has proved very lucrative for the human traffickers, with each woman sold in Israel bringing in anywhere between $50,000 to $100,000.

    But the state also earns a tidy profit from the white slave trade, according to Hotline.

    Service providers, such as taxi drivers transporting prostitutes, lawyers who represent the clients, landlords who rent out their premises as brothels, all pay income tax, and this ultimately arrives in the state’s coffers. Not to mention the cases of corrupt police officers who have also lined their pockets through bribery.

    (Inter Press Service)

    Source: Asia Times Online, Sep 5, 2008

  • Weekend Break in Istanbul

    Weekend Break in Istanbul

    The grand city of Istanbul is steeped in history with a unique georgraphical positioning that places it half in Asia and half in Europe. It is one of the world’s largest cities and is at the centre of Turkey’s finance and rich culture.

    It’s one of the easiest cities to access from Bulgaria, but relations between the two countries haven’t always been as easy. For almost 500 years Bulgaria was held under Ottoman rule, in which Turkish forces attempted to force the religion of Islam onto the stoically Christian Orthodox nationals. Bulgaria eventually freed itself from the rule and reclaimed much of the land seized by the Ottomans.

    Quest Bulgaria Property Magazine – Weekend Break in Istanbul.

  • Actor States’ Power and Critics on Middle East

    Actor States’ Power and Critics on Middle East

    During 2004 the USA looked at Middle East with important experiences because of Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, other Arab states, Gulf area, petrol and other events. There was a tension between the US, France and Germany.
    In 2004, the USA tried to secure their position in Middle East although other’s position. Maybe there will be conflict between the USA and other NATO members. We can think that the USA thinks about only self-interests. But politic ways are giving these situations.
    In Greater Middle East project without European coordinating is unknown. There is a problem of member states about how Bush administration will act with other European powers. They should keep the balance with the USA. And they didn’t understand the US’s actions.
    We explain a circumstance as a period like post-cold war focus between European countries which are member of NATO, European Union and the USA. In the Middle East, there are several benefits of states as Greater Middle East project. But nobody decide to any thought about them as certainly.

    US Efforts to Western Security on the Greater Middle East

    There is a tension among powers. But Bush administration looked 2004 year as a new succesful and meaningful with NATO. The USA explain the Greater Middle East as a western, not only for the US responsibility But the US’s politics are not clear.

    The US’s initiatives about Greater Middle East :

    – The US encourage to build up NATO security in Afghanistan to defeat Al Qaida. With more than 6000 men the US can leave from responsibilities of heavy circumstances by this way. NATO also can look after this country.
    – Another level is about Iraq. NATO and the US goes to modify the military posture in Iraq. NATO has serious power projection in Iraq; taking role of Polish-led international division and British division.
    – The US is going to restructure force posture in Middle East and Central Asia. It wants to make new projects here which like European style.
    – New power projection capabilities in NATO focused to Greater Middle East.

    Some Important Things

    When the USA is making these changes in Middle East ; there will be a different election of American president. Strongly againsts of Bush policies can win the elections easily and keep control of Congress. It will attack to policies of the Iraq War.
    By the against ideas to policies maybe there will be disasters on Iraq policies and security. Because Bush administration was going to make big plans in here. But this is changable. It can be better…
    For president Bush, there are some unguarantee circumstances. Because America trade terms are fragile. There is a big budget deficits.

    About American Transformation

    The USA has some problems about modernisation their army. The US’s defence budget is 400 $ billion for 2004. And there are some problems about future of army.
    The US doesn’t has capability for long wars and additional attack. We can see this in Iraq war.
    However the US need to helps from NATO and Europe. They sent NATO forces to Afghanistan. And they have British forces in Iraq. But it is not enough. They try to make some new additions.
    Also the USA have three potential risks we can explain them easily :

    – Another land, there is a unification of Taiwanese. Also the US and China association is good. But Taiwan will can be critic situation.
    – In Latin America there is an influence of the US to Colombia. Their economic and politic structures are not good to the US.

    For these circumstances the US need to stop their some budgets and they need to transformation their army. These are contradictions.

    The European Security Datas

    Untill this time, European countries have priorities on economic and social subjects. But later from this moment it will spend much money to defence.
    The US is spending % 3.5 to defense of its GNP. Its 18 allies in NATO are spending something on the order of 140 $ billion.
    In Transatlantic alliance, tensions of the US and France have made all situations. But France has tried another ways on modernisation, reform and militaric spending.
    German works on their social and domestic problems. They spend to militaric modernisation less than cold war season.

    TODAY

    German spends 1.3-1.5%
    The USA 3.6%
    France 2.4%
    Britain 2.6%
    Spain 1.2%

    Other European countries spend to specialize slowly. They are joining new world style of specialazition. We can give example for these countries like Spain, Norway, Poland. But there are other states, lie Belgium that is not making specialiaze.
    By these actions we can not say something about European and NATO member countries achievement at their projects. There can be false and worse things.
    Europe has also some afraids from Cold War. They went to make tampon areas to them and get from here some energy sources in the Persian Gulf and North Africa.

    The World’s oil consumption : (million barrel)

    1990 – 2000 -2005 – 2010 – 2015 – 2020 – 2025
    66.1 – 76.9 – 81.1 – 89.7 – 98.8 – 108.2 – 118.8

    Algeria Libya Oil Production :

    2001 – 2010 – 2020 – 2025
    3.3 – – 4.0 – – 5.0 – – 5.7

    MENA – Total Production :

    1990 – 2001 -2005 – 2010 – 2015 – 2020 – 2025
    22.9 — 27.5 — 29.9 — 34.9 — 37.2 — 46.4 — 53.6

    MENA – World Capacity : (%)

    1990 – 2001 – 2010 – 2015 – 2020
    33 – – 34.7 – – 39.5 – – 40.1 – – 43.0

    The world need to strong energy as oil. They pay for this very much. And the USA also pay attention to this. And it should share all its imports with oil companions under the International Energy Agency.

    Some Security Problems

    With the threat of Soviet as Cold War, Europe planned to make tampon area the Middle East countries including as Greater Middle East.
    With planning of the Greater Middle East plan, Islamic problems had existed in Muslim countries. After from Cold War, only problem is Islamic extremism an terrorism. With the mediatic influencings and circumstances about Arab-Israeli problems Western colonialism and religious problem, the Greater Middle East project was damaged.

    Population Growth

    With all growing, educational, political, social and economic systems must be balanced to these subjects. And with growing population, working also is growing. Working age is between 15 and 20.

    MENA Population (million)

    1950 – 1960 – 1970 – 1980- 1990 – 2000
    78.6 – 101.2 -133.0 -177.9 – 244.8- 307.1

    2010 – 2020 – 2030 – 2040 – 2050
    376.2 – 449.3 – 522.3 – 592.1- 656.3

    MENA Working Age Population

    1950- 2000 -2050
    20.5 -87.8- 145.2

    Mean of growing is not only good things. It is bringing some social and economic turbulences. And there should be some solves to these problems.
    By the all statistic datas, governing systems are also important in Middle East. Monarch as traditional interfere social structures. There should be democratic structure.

    Afghanistan – Iraq – Arab and Israeli Conflicts

    If the USA want to be succesful about Greater Middle East, it should regulate social situations in Afghanistan. There are some social pressures that are preventing access of the USA.
    Also there is an influencing of Pakistani Islamic circumstance to Afghanistan. And as we know, Al Qaida is living in this state now. Al Qaida’s influence is very important.
    On the other hand, there is a Russian interest in this area. Russian influence as important as other circumstances. The USA should prevent all negative subjects.
    If the USA want to make peace and prevent Israeli-Arab war in Palestine, it should work with European states. Israel has some relations with all European states. If there is a common judge to Israel, it can go to finish.
    But nobody finishes the war of Israel because there are common interests in this area with Israel. And the USA also has some interests. All meetings are unreal. For the USA and European states, the most important thing is oil. And they are meeting as friendly Arab states for oil. We can see these events in Arafat’s and Abbas’ season. This war can be finished by Muslim attack on Israel or common negotiations.
    The biggest mistake of the USA is the bad acting to Iran. Because if we think rationally, the USA has a project about Middle East, but it is acting as badly with these countries. It is very interesting. It should repair their relations.
    Bush administration or other Western thinkers are talking about clash between civilizations. But according to them, only Muslim geography has clashing problem among each other. We should think that Western world doesn’t want to peace among the Muslims. Because their self interests are important.
    Another hand, there is clash among Western societies. This clash theory had been told for making false thoughts amon Muslims.
    The USA knows all situations and they balance all events for their interests.

    New Security Mission

    According to our datas, the Greater Middle East project will be defeated. Because the USA is losting all balance powers on this area. Already, this is for the USA.
    They want to take oil because the USA’s blood is only oil. So, their greed is only for these things on this project. They are making wars in all Muslim countries. We need to time for looking all defeatings of Western world if they are on only this way.

    Mehmet Fatih Oztarsu
    Baku Qafqaz University
    Energy Institute

  • Turkey fights back and introduces a fee for Bulgarian trucks

    Turkey fights back and introduces a fee for Bulgarian trucks

    Petar Kostadinov

    As of September 1 2008 all Bulgarian trucks have to pay a transit fee of 83 euro when entering Turkey. The fee was imposed by Turkish authorities in response to Bulgaria’s decision to introduce a similar measure against Turkish cargo companies.As of July 1 2008 Bulgaria started charging Turkish trucks with an 83 euro transit fee. According to the Turkish side, Bulgaria’s move was a breach of a 1979 Bulgarian-Turkish bilateral agreement on road transit that would allow both sides to transport goods without paying any additional fees.

    Until July 1 2008, this meant that Turkish cargo trucks were paying only for the obligatory vignette sticker when going trough Bulgaria.

    When Bulgaria decided to introduce the 83 euro fee the explanation authorities used was the fact that Bulgaria has become a European Union member state and the cargo traffic between the two countries needed to be discussed again. From its side Turkey did not accept this reasoning and called the fee a breach of the agreement and threatened to introduce a fee for Bulgarian cargo.

    As a result Bulgaria’s Transport Ministry has proposed to the Turkish side to discuss the introduction of a regulatory framework that will apply for both Bulgarian and Turkish trucks vice versa. Such a framework currently exists for Serbian, Macedonian and Croatian trucks on transit via Bulgaria.

    The issue with Turkish trucks transporting cargo via Bulgaria was first raised in February 2007 when Bulgarian cargo companies asked for restrictive measure against Turkish trucks. The companies said that since Bulgarian trucks were asked to pay transit fee from EU countries in the days when Bulgaria was not a member states there was no reason why Turkish truck should not be asked to do the same when passing trough Bulgaria.

    Source : Sofia Echo