Category: World

  • Turkish holidays still cheaper than staying in the UK

    Turkish holidays still cheaper than staying in the UK

    Holidaymakers who think they’re saving money by staying in the UK could end up spending more than those who jet off abroad.

    British resorts and businesses impose such high prices that it might be cheaper to fly thousands of miles to a resort abroad, a study shows.

    So a week at the seaside in this country is more expensive than Bodrum, in Turkey, Greece or Cyprus, which attract millions of families looking for sunshine.

    Turkey

    It is also cheaper to visit several East European countries, such as Slovenia, Hungary, Poland and Bulgaria, which offer beautiful cities and new experiences.

    Researchers at Tesco Bank looked at typical holiday expenses for one week for a family of four in August, including accommodation, car hire, eating out and family entertainment.

    While they did not include the cost of getting to the resort, the price gap is so large for many countries that it would still be cheaper to travel using a budget airline.

    The figure for Brighton came out at £2,209 – £390 more than buying the equivalent items in Bodrum.

    So even considering that return flights from London Gatwick to Bodrum would cost around £80 via easyJet, it’s still a bargain.

    Brighton certainly has a great history and many attractions, from the Royal Pavilion and the pier to nightclubs and the Lanes.

    But while it offers standard seaside fare of fish and chips and curry houses, Bodrum, on the Aegean Sea, boasts Turkish food as well as sun, sandy beaches and nightlife.

    There are also several all-inclusive hotel resorts where the cost of food and drink is included in the package.

    John Howells, head of travel money at Tesco Bank, said holiday costs have been impacted by the euro exchange rate.

    ‘With the average cost of a holiday for one week coming in at £2,076, a 2 per cent increase on last year, it is essential holidaymakers are not just looking into the cost of travel but also the expenses they are likely to incur once they are there.

    ‘For instance, car hire and accommodation make up 71 per cent of weekly spend and have risen 6 per cent on last year.’

    Meanwhile, lastminute.com has seen a rush of people logging on to look for travel deals after England’s elimination from the World Cup on Sunday.

    Bookings rose 25 per cent on the previous day in the hours after the final whistle was blown.

    The firm’s head of travel, Andy Washington, said: ‘People want a way of getting over the football blues, and for many a late summer break is the thing they need.’

    Lowcostholidays.com, meanwhile, said the number of people visiting its website rose 40 per cent compared to last week.

    The Daily Mail

  • Siddiqui: Turkish PM sets roadmap for better Israeli relations

    Siddiqui: Turkish PM sets roadmap for better Israeli relations

    By Haroon Siddiqui
    Editorial Page
    Note: This article has been edited from a previous version.

    Turkey has not given up its dream of joining the European Union. It
    has not become “anti-West.” It does not have any intention of cutting
    its longstanding relationship with Israel.

    That’s what Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan told the Star
    in an interview yesterday.

    But he added that relations with Israel will remain strained until
    Israel fulfills four conditions:

    *apologizes for the May 31 commando raid on the Turkish ship that was part of the flotilla taking humanitarian aid to Gaza;

    *pays compensation to the families of the nine people killed, eight
    Turks and one Turkish-American;

    *agrees to an international probe, as called for by UN
    Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon into the incident (as opposed to an
    Israeli inquiry); and

    *lifts its embargo on the Gaza Strip.

    Reminded that Israel has already announced an easing of the embargo,
    Erdogan said:

    “We’ve heard those statements but no steps have been taken. Similar
    statements have been made in the past.”

    He also suggested that Turkey is planning to sue Israel on behalf of
    the victims.

    Erdogan, in Toronto for the G20 summit, was to raise the issue with
    Barack Obama at a bilateral meeting last night. He was to augment his
    arguments with forensic pictures of and reports on the dead that he is
    carrying with him.

    Turkey, a member of NATO, has long been Israel’s best Muslim ally. But
    relations have been strained since the 2008-09 Gaza war, which Erdogan
    condemned and reportedly called Israel “the principal threat to peace
    in the Middle East.”

    There was Turkey’s initiative with Brazil for a compromise over the
    Iranian nuclear issue, which was rejected by Washington. Turkey voted
    against the U.S,-led resolution in the U.N. Security Council on fresh
    sanctions on Iran.

    And following the May 31 incident, Erdogan said that Israel had made
    “a historic mistake,” that “Israel risks losing its most important
    friend in the region if it does not change its mentality,” and that
    “peace and stability will not come to the region as long as the
    blockade of Gaza persists.”

    In the interview yesterday, Erdogan said the Gaza aid flotilla was
    organized by non-governmental organizations, was carrying volunteers
    from 33 nations, along with humanitarian aid – food, medicine, toys,
    construction material, etc.

    It was attacked “in international waters, 72 miles (….) out of the
    territorial waters of Israel. Unfortunately, guns and rifles and
    plastic bullets were used.”

    He said he is familiar with the argument that Israel has a right to
    defend itself. “Of course, you can protect your borders against armed
    people or against a military enemy, and you can consider such action
    in your own national borders.

    “But you have no right to do that in international waters …

    “I interpret this as state terror.”

    He said some of the dead had been shot “at close range,” “at point
    blank range,” “from the chest up,” “from behind the neck.”

    If the intent was not to kill, the plastic bullets could have been
    fired at below the knee level, he said.

    When the boats were towed to an Israeli port and the passengers held
    in custody, Erdogan said he called Obama, “and thanks to very intense
    efforts by the Americans, the people who had been held in prison were
    delivered to us within 24 hours.

    “So I am very grateful to President Obama for his intervention. If it
    hadn’t been for this very speedy response on the part of President
    Obama, things could have been more problematic.”

    Erdogan cited United Nations and other reports that Gaza is a
    humanitarian disaster, and added that the aid promised at a donors’
    conference is yet to be delivered. Destroyed infrastructure remains in
    ruins.

    Is Turkey becoming anti-Israeli?

    Not so.

    “I want to be very clear. In the Middle East, Turkey is the only
    friendly country to Israel, so much so that during the (Ehud) Olmert
    government, Turkey helped Israel hold indirect talks with Syria.

    “We held five rounds, the last one was in my official residence–for
    six hours, with Olmert present. We had gotten down to writing words
    for some sort of an agreement … That meeting was on a Monday. And we
    had decided that we will come back on Friday to complete the work.”

    That Friday meeting never took place, and on Saturday the “Israeli
    bombing of Gaza began.”

    As that Friday was approaching, the Israelis “weren’t answering our
    calls–must have been in preparation of the Gaza bombing. Earlier,
    whenever we had called, they’d always call back but this time they
    didn’t.”

    As Turkey pursues closer relations and increased trade with its
    neighbours, and is emerging as a strong regional player in the Middle
    East, is it turning away from the West?

    “That would be a very wrong conclusion. Turkey is developing contacts
    all over the world. But Turkey has not cut off relations with anyone.
    Such a thing is not on the agenda.”

    How about the European Union – has Turkey given up on it? U.S. Defence
    Secretary Robert Gates
    recently blamed Europe for having “pushed and
    pushed”
    Turkey away. Italian Foreign Minister Franco Frattini agreed, saying, “We Europeans have made a mistake in pushing Turkey eastwards instead of bringing it towards us.”

    But Erdogan said Turkey still very much wants to join the EU.

    “We continue with determination to walk on the European path, despite
    the efforts on the part of the European Union to prevent the opening
    of some of the chapters that are part of the negotiations process.”

    hsiddiqui@thestar.ca, Jun 27 2010

  • European countries provide most of PKK’s weapons

    European countries provide most of PKK’s weapons

    Intelligence sources indicate that the biggest arms suppliers of the terrorist Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) are allies of Turkey that are also members of NATO. Recently drafted General Staff reports say that many mines planted by the PKK were obtained from Italy and Spain.

    Turkey is ready to start a new round of diplomatic initiatives to stop countries that supply the PKK with arms. Turkey has undertaken similar initiatives in previous years.

    Over the past few months, the PKK has relied on arms from Mediterranean countries, intelligence reports indicate. The roadside bomb that exploded in Halkalı on Tuesday was of Portuguese origin, intelligence sources said, adding this country to the list of countries that supply arms to the terrorist organization. That attack was carried out by the PKK’s urban offshoot, the Kurdistan Freedom Falcons (TAK).

    The most crucial question is how the PKK is able to bring these arms supplies it obtains from Mediterranean countries to northern Iraq. US journalist Seymour Hersh claimed in 2007 that this was done via Israel.

    The General Staff has seized PKK arms and ammunition originating from 31 different countries. However, NATO-member countries have been the biggest suppliers. Most of the arms and ammunition seized are of Russian, Italian, Spanish, German and Chinese origin.

    In 2007 Turkey questioned the countries where the arms used by the PKK — particularly the heavy artillery the terrorist group uses — are mostly manufactured on how the PKK could have obtained these weapons. These diplomatic attempts must have produced some sort of a result, as all PKK weaponry seized in the past three years have had their serial numbers erased. The military has noticed that the PKK now generally erases serial numbers, especially on explosives. However, most of the time the origins of the ammunition can still be traced. Turkey is concentrating on finding the sources of not the lighter arms but of heavy artillery such as heavy machine guns, rocket launchers, mines and hand grenades.

    According to data from the General Staff, the Kalashnikovs used by PKK terrorists are from Russia and China. The rocket launchers, mines, hand grenades and heavy machine guns so far seized from the organization appear to have been manufactured in Italy, Germany, England, Spain, Portugal, Czech Republic and Hungary.

    The organization uses a third country to bring the weapons to northern Iraq and then into Turkey. What disturbs Turkey most is that the mines that have killed more than 100 Turks recently were all obtained from Italy.

    Another issue is that the PKK, which had been rather sloppy in using remote-controlled mines until 2008, has become more of an expert at such attacks. Terrorism experts say the PKK has been given special training, with many suspecting Mossad agents. In 2009, Interior Minister Beşir Atalay claimed that some Mossad agents had gone to northern Iraq and given training on remote-controlled explosives.

    According to documents from the General Staff, 72 percent of the Kalashnikovs used by the PKK are from Russia, 15 percent from China and the rest from Hungary and Bulgaria.

    In 2007, it was reported that more than 170,000 weapons donated by the US to the Iraqi army had ended up in the PKK’s hands. The US Defense Department started an investigation after Turkey’s discovery of this fact.

    Turkey is making a point to not publicly announce how it suspects these weapons are being brought into northern Iraq. Pulitzer-winning journalist Hersh, in an interview with the Takvim daily earlier this month, said Israel helped the PKK base in the Kandil Mountains bring in arms and supplies on helicopters.

    He said that Israel gives extensive support to the PKK and the related Iranian organization Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan (PJAK), especially in terms of arms supplies. He also said that Mossad operatives are active in the area, noting that Jewish Kurds who left northern Iraq 50 years ago returned to the region after the 2003 US occupation. He argued that most of these people are cooperating with the PKK and the purpose of these developments will become clear to all in the near future.

    Although this interview has attracted the attention of Turkish security units, there is a visible effort to avoid making any official statements at this point. Turkey recently made a decision to start diplomatically lobbying countries that supply arms to the PKK. If these countries fail to cut the support they provide for the PKK, then they will be warned openly in the international arena.

    24 June 2010, Thursday
    ERCAN YAVUZ ANKARA

    www.todayszaman.com, Jun 26, 2010

  • G20 Toronto Summit Program , June 26-27

    G20 Toronto Summit Program , June 26-27

    Metro Toronto Convention Centre, Toronto, Canada

    Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance:
    Canada’s G20 Summit from Toronto to Turkey

    Saturday, June 26
    G20 leaders arrive at the Toronto Airport Infield Terminal at the
    Lester B. Pearson Airport in Toronto
    18:30 Official welcome and reception of G20 leaders and spouses by
    Stephen Harper, prime minister of Canada, and Laureen Harper, at the
    Royal York Hotel

    Sunday, June 27
    09:00 Opening plenary session
    12:30 Family photograph
    17:00 Chair’s press conference

    Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance:
    Canada’s G20 Summit from Toronto to Turkey
    John Kirton
    Co-director, G20 Research Group
    Paper prepared for a presentation at TEPAV, Ankara, and DEIK,
    Istanbul, Turkey, June
    7-8, 2010. Version of June 13, 2010.

    =============================================================

    http://www.g20.utoronto.ca/biblio/kirton-turkey-2010.pdf

    Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance:
    Canada’s G20 Summit from Toronto to Turkey
    John Kirton
    Co-director, G20 Research Group
    Paper prepared for a presentation at TEPAV, Ankara, and DEIK, Istanbul, Turkey, June
    7-8, 2010. Version of June 13, 2010.
    Introduction
    The Challenge
    In less than two weeks the most powerful leaders of the world’s 20 most systemically
    significant countries arrive in Toronto, Canada for their fourth summit of the Group of
    Twenty (G20). It will be their first meeting of the newly proclaimed permanent priority
    centre of international economic co-operation, the first co-chaired by an established and
    emerging economy, and the first held in tight tandem with the older, smaller Group of
    Eight (G8) major power democracies.
    In Toronto the G20 leaders will confront several critical global challenges. The first is the
    European-turned-global financial crisis, erupting in May even before the previous
    American-turned-global financial crisis of 2007-9 had been solved. The second is the
    devastation to trade, investment and development that these financial-turned-economic
    crises cause. The third is the environmental and social problems they exacerbate, from
    climate change and energy to food and health. And the fourth is strengthening the G20
    itself and the international financial institutions and other global bodies more generally,
    to govern more effectively, equitably and accountably today’s complex, uncertain,
    intensely interconnected world.
    Can Canada and Turkey work together at Toronto to cope with these and other challenges
    that the world confronts? At first glance, Canada and Turkey would appear to be
    distinctly different countries, within the global community and as members of the G20,
    the institutionalized club of systemically significant countries that was created in 1999 in
    response to the Asian-turned-global financial crisis then and that leapt to the leaders’
    level in response to the American-turned-global financial crisis continuing today. Yet in
    many important ways, Canada and Turkey have much in common in their position and
    potential performance in the G20.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 2
    First, as forthcoming hosts of the G20 summit, with Canada serving in 2010 and Turkey
    as early as 2013, they confirm the G20’s institutional position and potential operation
    performance as a genuine club of equals, in which one of the least powerful members of
    the established G8 and then one that was not a G8 member have been quickly asked to
    host and chair the new summit club. Second, they share a geographic position as great
    global connectors in a systemically dedicated club. A trans-continental Canada stands as
    a country of the Americas, Arctic, Atlantic and Pacific, and Turkey as one of Europe,
    Central Asia and the Middle East.
    Third, they share an international institutional position as great global connectors through
    their leading position in other institutionalized summit clubs that embrace the richest and
    poorest countries, and communities of great diversity, from around the world. Canada is
    the second most powerful country in the Commonwealth and in the Francophonie that
    together embrace half the countries in the world, and Turkey is a consequential member
    and currently the chair of the Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC).
    Fourth, they have long assumed their global responsibilities, notably as members of the
    North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) that won the Cold War, liberated Kosovo
    from an erupting genocide in 1999, and fought with many other of today’s G20 hosts and
    members to defend the Republic of Korea from 1950 to 1953. The sixtieth anniversary of
    the outbreak of that war will be commemorated the day before the Toronto summit starts.
    In addition both are longstanding allies of the United States and are currently seeking to
    enhance their association significantly with the European Union.1 Sixth, they contain a
    rich multidimensional cultural and linguistic diversity within their domestic polities as
    well.
    The Debate
    With this configuration of characteristics and capabilities, how have Canada and Turkey
    connected within the G20, and how can they in the future, to serve their own interests and
    build a better world? In the limited English-language literature on Turkey’s role in the
    G20 and its connection with Canada in this regard, different answers to these questions
    arise.
    The first school sees Turkey as an active participant in an inclusive club that combines
    developed and developing countries and the west and the rest. This is due to the priority
    Prime Minister Recep Erdoğan’s places on the G20, and Turkey’s crisis-bred concerns
    about the end of capitalism (Şekercioğlu 2009). The most recent expression of this school
    portrays Turkey as an active G20 participant, teacher, co-operator and complier, due to
    the shock of its 2001 financial crisis and restructuring in its wake, and the confidence
    arising from its stability in the 2007-9 crisis, and its rising capabilities and status in the
    world (Aysan 2010).
    1 It is worth noting that the Toronto Summit will open the day after the 60th anniversary of the start of the
    Korean War on June 25, 1950.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 3
    A second school sees Turkey as a status-seeking development advocate through G20
    membership, inclusion in an expanded Financial Stability Board (FSB) and Turkey’s
    offer to host the G20 summit soon. This is due to the threat from a Group of
    Thirteen/Fourteen (G13/14) competitor that would exclude Turkey from top-tier
    membership, Turkey’s rising relative capabilities as the 6th largest economy in Europe
    and the 17th largest in the world, and its financial stability amidst the crisis of 2007-2009
    (Today’s Zaman undated).
    A third school portrays Turkey both as a status-seeking assertive advocate of
    conservative economic ideas, but more importantly as a mediating leader of a new middle
    power coalition. This is due to Turkey’s financial stability, frustration with its bid for
    membership in the European Union (EU), its temporary membership on the United
    Nations Security Council (UNSC), and the choice of Istanbul as the capital of European
    culture in 2010 (Saunders 2010).
    A fourth school sees a stronger, skillful, undistracted Turkey acting at the G20’s third
    summit in Pittsburgh to secure several tangible benefits: domestic political attention and
    acclaim; greater voice and vote in the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World
    Bank; greater resources for those international institutions; support for Turkish exports;
    an equal place in the new permanent priority centre of international economic cooperation
    that the G20 proclaimed itself to be; and an opportunity to meet more with
    United States president Barack Obama (Şekercioğlu 2009b).
    A fifth school urges a middle power Turkey to be the leading advocate of a non-western
    approach and thus to move from member to leader to realize its own interests. These
    interests consist of advancing its international standing, energy security, Middle East
    peace, global financial stability, reform of international financial institutions (IFI), its
    influence in the western-dominated EU, International Monetary Fund (IMF), NATO and
    United Nations (UN), and rendering effective and even permanent the G20 summit by
    expanding its agenda and adding a secretariat (Bradford and Linn 2009). This Turkish
    role arises because the G20 “mirrors the emerging global cultural matrix” and Turkey’s
    own dualistic identity and because Turkey stands at ‘the crossroads of a multitude of
    critical geographies.”
    Puzzles
    While each of these schools has much to contribute, none are based on a detailed
    examination of what Turkey has actually done and why it has done it in the G20 thus far.
    None offers a robust recognition of Turkey’s vision of using the G20 to shape global
    order for the benefit of others, rather than just itself, as it did at the first G20 summit in
    November 2008. Nor is there any hint of Turkey’s essential character as a Western
    democracy in actively animating Turkey’s place in, approach to and accomplishments in
    the club. Also absent is any explicit awareness of Turkey’s longstanding position as an
    American ally and its importance in shaping Turkey’s membership and participation in
    the club. And none provide an explicit place for any form of a Canadian-Turkish
    relationship, partnership or co-leadership. as dedicated, multicultural democracies, in
    using and shaping the G20 to create a global order on these ideals.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 4
    The Thesis of Canada and Turkey as Critical Connectors
    This study argues that Canada and Turkey have served and can serve as critical
    connectors and democratizing co-leaders to make the G20 the intended genuine club of
    equals providing the effective global governance based on democratic openness and
    respect for diversity. This is due to their similar shift from consumers to producers of
    global financial and economic security, their global geographic, status and international
    institutional position as great connectors, and their devotion to open democracy and
    diversity as polities today.
    But to transform their past accomplishments and potential assets into actual performance,
    they must meet several challenges that await. First, Canada, as host and co-chair of the
    G20 Toronto Summit on June 26-27, 2010, must advance the G20’s broad but bounded
    built-in agenda, respond effectively to the new European-turned-global crisis and make
    the G20 function as a genuine institutionalized, systemic summit club where the
    diplomacy of equals, the diplomacy of leaders and the diplomacy of the future can
    flourish to produce effective results (Kirton 2010). Second, Turkey must build on this
    foundation to design and implement a G20 strategy that goes beyond using its
    membership and potential hosting to enhance its status and advance immediate interests
    to meet the core challenges that the full G20 and global community commonly confront.
    And third, Canada and Turkey must find a way to work together more closely to have the
    G20 realize its full potential from Toronto in 2010 to Turkey in the years ahead.
    Canada’s G20
    Canada and the G8
    Canada has long known what it is like to be excluded from the inner circles of global
    governance, despite its striking systemically significant capabilities and the world’s clear
    need for them (Kirton 2007). Canada was excluded from the Permanent Five (P5)
    members of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) in 1945, from Berlin Dinner-4
    of NATO since 1948, and from the Group of Five (G5) finance ministers who first started
    meeting in the Library of the White House in 1973 and continued without Canada and
    Italy until 1986.
    Canada was also physically absent from the first G8 summit of six leaders, held at
    Rambouillet, France, in November 1975. But even before it opened, its architect Henry
    Kissinger had promised the Canadians that there would be a second summit, which the
    U.S. would host and invite Canada to.
    Kissinger knew that he needed Canada inside his new concert. He needed it not as
    another loyal North American ally to support whatever the American president proposed,
    or to balance Europe’s Italy that the French had allowed in at Rambouillet. Rather
    Kissinger, the ultimate realist, coldly calculated Canada’s relative capabilities in their
    global context and quickly concluded that Canada’s first tier capabilities in oil, minerals,
    food and soft commodities were needed inside the concert to stop the copycat cartels
    sprouting everywhere in the wake of the oil embargo of the Organization of Petroleum
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 5
    Exporting Countries (OPEC) in October 1973 and the uranium fuelled Indian nuclear
    explosion in May 1974. Such capabilities have continued to give Canada great relevance
    in the 21st century, where Prime Minister Stephen Harper has accurately called Canada
    an emerging energy superpower and an emerging clean energy superpower in the world.
    Power was backed by principle. In Kissinger’s conception and construction, the G8 was a
    modern democratic concert, designed and devoted, as its first communiqué proclaimed, to
    protect within its members and to promote globally, the values of “open democracy,
    individual liberty and social advance.” Canada was then a durable democracy, indeed a
    charter member and great European-American connector of the North Atlantic political
    community, with a democratic tradition dating back on its British side and through its
    own sovereign to the Magna Carta of 1215. As Prime Minister Harper put it, in his news
    conference at the conclusion of the 2009 Pittsburgh G20 summit, Canada stood out as a
    democratic country, unbroken by foreign occupation, civil war or civil strife for
    centuries.
    In the initial Group of seven (G7), Canada supported its American ally when convenient,
    and its French and British mother countries too. It also allied with the rapidly rising
    global powers of Japan, German and Italy, as the other powers still excluded from the
    UNSC-P5 and, along with Italy and Japan, from the Berlin Dinner 4 too. Liberal Prime
    Minister Pierre Trudeau’s close relationship with Social Democratic Chancellor Helmut
    Schmidt of Germany helped contain a France that a few years before had actively tried to
    destroy Canadian unity and thus the survival of Canada itself. The two also led the G7 is
    north-south dialogue and development and in instituting the world’s first effective regime
    against terrorist attacks in the air.
    In 1979 Canada’s Progressive Conservative Prime Minister Joe Clark in 1979 supported
    Schmidt in having the G7 produce the first, most ambitious and most effective climate
    change control regime the world has ever seen. Schmidt’s impressive leadership arose in
    part because he knew the world had to go off coal, in part to save the lives of the many
    Turks who were dying of accidents while working in Germany’s many coal mines.2
    Canada as the world’s leading power in uranium and a top tier power in nuclear
    technology induced the G7 to deal not only with conventional energy, but also nuclear
    energy and then nuclear proliferation as well, in a crusade where its closest soul mate was
    antinuclear Japan.
    By the time it hosted its first G7 summit at Montebello in 1981, Canada, focused the
    summit for the first time on north-south development. As host, Canadian prime minister
    Pierre Trudeau talked the new U.S. president Ronald Regan into attending a North-South
    summit in Cancun to prepare for global negotiations for a new world order between the
    rich North and the poor South. Backed by Japan, Germany and Italy, Canada also made
    the G7 explicitly a new, effective centre of global security governance in the world.
    2 On May 21, 2010 it was reported that rescuers in Turkey found the bodies of 28 miners in a damaged coal
    mine, making the methane-gas explosion three days earlier one of the deadliest mine accidents in Turkey
    in recent years.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 6
    Canada thus had a vision of world order, on both the defining North-South economic and
    East-West security dimensions that it successfully advanced through its place in the G7.
    Canada’s Conception, Creation and Chairing of the G20 Finance, 1999-2008
    This Canadian tradition or reaching out across existing divides to embrace rising powers
    from a more diverse world dated back to Canada’s role in creating the modern,
    multiracial Commonwealth in 1947 and 1960, and the Francophonie in 1986.3 It
    continued in 1988 when G7 leaders, meeting in Toronto, identified the emerging process
    of “globalization,” recognized the relevance of the rapidly rising Asian economies and
    called for “the development of informal processes which would facilitate multilateral
    discussions of mutual concern and foster the necessary co-operation.”
    In 999 Canada’s finance minister, Paul Martin, conceived and co-created with American
    treasury secretary Larry Summers the G20 forum of finance ministers and central
    bankers. They induced the G7 finance ministers and G8 summit formally to create the
    G20 along with the new Financial Stability Forum (FSF) in 1999. Canada chaired the
    first three annual autumn meetings, and expanded the club’s mission from financial
    stability and sustainable growth to globalization that works for the benefit of all. When it
    hosted the second meeting in Montreal it also vastly expanded the agenda and secured a
    new “Montreal Consensus” to replace the discredited Washington one. When New York
    and Washington were devastated by the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, and the
    multilateral organizations headquartered there could not meet, Martin stepped up to host
    the third G20 meeting in nearby Ottawa. Here he successfully focused on terrorist
    finance, the American’s core security rather than financial pre-occupation at the time. He
    thus helped the brand new Bush administration in the United States bond to a body
    created only two years earlier by the domestic political rivals it had just defeated at home.
    Canada’s Crusade for an L20, 2004-05
    When Paul Martin became Canada’s Liberal Party leader and prime minister at the end of
    2003, he saw the demands for more inclusive, effective global governance growing, in
    finance, economics, development and fields such as health and infectious disease too
    (Martin 2005). He knew the G20 finance forum he had co-founded was working well. He
    judged the alternative, of ad hoc, constricted, or variable subject specific inclusion, which
    the G8 had been started experimenting with in 2003, to be an inferior approach. He
    concluded the time had come to elevate the G20 finance to the leaders’ level, to meet as
    the demand required on any burning issue of the day. He suggested that the first such
    meeting be held on the margins of the UN summit in September 2005, focused on avian
    influenza and infectious disease. He secured the agreement, with various degrees of
    enthusiasm and acquiescence, from virtually all G20 members save one, George Bush.
    Even he may have come if the topic had been terrorism. But if it had been, other leaders
    might not. Thus, no G20 summit was held.
    3 It was also apparent in 1955 when Paul Martin senior brokered.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 7
    G20 Summitry, 2008-09
    When Lehman Brothers collapsed on September 15, 2008, both U.S. president George
    Bush and Canada’s Conservative prime minister Stephen Harper came to the conclusion
    that a summit was needed in response. Among the many alternatives on offer in those
    crisis ridden times, notably a G8 plus summit preferred by Sarkozy, Bush decided that he
    would host a summit, in Washington and that it must be the G20 one (Price 2009). With
    only 24 days to prepare the summit he needed an existing institution, of proven
    performance, dedicated to the solving the particular crisis of the moment by restoring
    financial stability and sustained growth. Thus the first G20 summit was held on
    November 15, with no members of the G20 finance forum removed, and only Spain and
    the Netherlands added as temporary guests.
    At Washington Harper, as one of the few leaders with economics expertise or experience,
    stood out in calling for exit strategies along with stimulus and joining in the leaderscreated
    consensus on open markets and freer trade. Back home Harper reversed his firm
    policy of running fiscal surpluses, to engage in deficit spending to deliver his fair share of
    the stimulus the Washington summit had agreed. He stood first among G20 members in
    complying with the anti-protectionist promise made there. Indeed, he unilaterally made
    three moves to remove tariffs on imports of capital equipment, making Canada the first
    G8 member to have its manufacturing sector become tariff free.
    At the second G20 summit in London on April 1-2, 2009, Harper focused on reforming
    domestic financial regulation and freer trade, while contributing US$10 billion as
    Canada’s fair share of the overall package of US$1.1 trillion for development (including
    trade finance) that the summit raised. Canada subsequently stood fourth among the 20
    members in complying with the commitments made by the leaders at London.
    At the third G20 summit in Pittsburgh on September 24-25, 2009, Harper called for
    staying the course on stimulus until a private sector led recovery was assured, while
    simultaneously designing the smart exit strategies to be started when it was, prospectively
    within a year. On the eve of the Pittsburgh Summit Harper unilaterally gave the African
    Development Bank CA$2.6 billion in additional callable capital so it could meets its
    members’ development needs in the poorest region, composed of a quarter of the
    countries, in the world. And Harper agreed that he would accept the responsibility of
    hosting and co-chairing with the successfully developed, democratic Republic of Korea
    the subsequent, fourth G20 summit. It will take place in Toronto, Canada’s largest city
    and financial capital, on June 26-27, 2010.
    Turkey’s Position, Performance and Perspective in the G20
    Turkey’s Global Position and Interests
    Turkey will come to the Toronto Summit as an open, diverse, democratic society and
    polity situated at a critical geographic crossroads of a globalizing community, Turkey,
    like Canada confronts growing global vulnerabilities that even its rising capabilities
    cannot cope with on their own. It has thus long looked to international institutions of
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 8
    broadly multilateral and globally plurilateral kinds, including those delivered at the
    summit level, to solve at their global source the challenges that its citizens confront at
    home. Turkey thus has an essential interest in making global institutions adequate,
    appropriate and effective in meeting its and the world’s need, and in enhancing its
    position, responsibilities and resulting influence in them to this end. Thus Turkey’s core
    interests have been getting into the G20 finance from the start as an equal, having the
    same G20, among the many alternatives on offer, elevated to the leaders-level to cope
    with the American/Atlantic-turned-global financial crisis erupting in 2007, and having
    the G20 summit transformed into the permanent, priority forum for international
    economic governance in the world. It has been strikingly successful on all three. Its one
    remaining challenge and ultimate interest is to shape the same G20 as an effective global
    governor guided by Turkey’s distinctive vision of global order needed by today’s and
    tomorrow’s world.
    Turkey’s Treatment and Transformation in the G8
    To comprehend the scale of the accomplishment of Turkey getting in as an equal from
    the start of a G20 that Canada conceived and co-created, it is necessary to examine
    briefly the cadence of Turkey’s place in the earlier and continuing comparable club —
    the democratically devoted G8.
    Before the advent of G20 summitry, Turkey had only a fragile, if strengthening place in
    the predecessor centre of global governance, the G8. During the 35 years of G8
    governance since its start in 1975, Turkey’s relevance was directly recognized only four
    times: at the US hosted first genuine G8 summit (with Russia added) in 1997, the Italianhosted
    2001 summit, the US-hosted 2004 summit and the Italian-hosted summit in 2009.
    But during this period, Turkey’s treatment steadily progress on several dimensions, from
    being a problem producing old security threats in the region through to a partner in
    solving general global problems by pioneering a new global order around the world, to a
    participant with a seat at the table in the G8 itself.
    In 1997, the G8 noted Turkey in paragraph 88 in the context of Cyprus, calling on Turkey
    and Greece to do everything possible to contribute to a solution of the Cyprus problem
    and to work toward solving their bilateral disputes with regard to the Aegean through
    early meetings of the “Wise Men.” Thus Turkey was portrayed, along with NATO
    member Greece, as a source of the old Westphalian security threats of boundary disputes,
    territorial control and sovereign statehood for the Aegean and Mediterranean region.
    Turkey and Greece were admonished and appealed to for action to solve these problems
    by itself.
    By 2001, the G7 only Statement, while welcomes progress in emerging market
    economies in strengthening their domestic financial systems and underlying fiscal
    positions, added: “Recent measures taken in Argentina and Turkey represent positive
    steps in this direction. We commend these efforts and encourage the continued
    implementation of their reform programs in close collaboration with the IMF and other
    relevant international institutions.” Turkey had now become an emerging market
    economy, along with a fellow G20 member, in regard to a global economic problem that
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 9
    the newer non-state created and controlled vulnerability brought. It was one whose
    domestically intrusive and internationally institutionalized actions were applauded, not
    admonished.
    In 2004, Turkey was invited by host George Bush to participate in the G8 summit for the
    first time. This was due to Turkey’s position as a democratic leader in the Broader
    Middle East and North Africa and the Muslim world. The White House announcement
    released on May 26, 2004, titled “President Bush Invites Turkey to G8 Summit as
    Democratic Partner,” read: “President Bush has invited Turkish Prime Minister Erdoğan
    to meet with leaders of G8 countries and regional partners from the broader Middle East
    on June 9, 2004, in Sea Island, Georgia. He looks forward to a discussion of how the G-8
    can support political, economic, and social freedom in the broader Middle East and North
    Africa, and to Turkey’s contribution to this effort. Turkey’s participation in specific
    programs to advance key reforms in this region, especially on democracy, will foster
    collaboration among G8 and EU countries, Turkey, and regional partners.”
    Turkey chose to come. At the summit Bush held a lunch with Turkey and other countries
    from the Middle East, which national security advisor Condoleezza Rice (2004) reported
    on as follows: “On Wednesday, June 9th … During lunch, the G8 leaders will be joined
    by the leaders of Afghanistan, Algeria, Bahrain, Jordan, Turkey and Yemen. This is an
    opportunity for the G8 to discuss how it can support freedom and political, economic and
    social progress in the Middle East, and to hear from these leaders about their efforts to
    pursue democracy and reform in their countries, as well as to hear about Turkey’s success
    in developing secular democracy in a country with a mainly Muslim population.”
    The Chair’s Summary of the 2004 G8 summit began: “We met at Sea Island for our
    annual summit to advance freedom by strengthening international cooperation to make
    the world both safer and better. Leaders from Afghanistan, Algeria, Bahrain, Iraq, Jordan,
    Yemen and Turkey joined us at Sea Island.” In the G8 communiqué, Turkey now stood
    front and centre at the very start. Turkey had been transformed into a G8 participant with
    a seat at the table of this leaders-level, top tier club. It was the only G20 member in this
    invited group, and the largest, leading country from a region that had expanded to
    embrace the Middle East and Asia as a central global concern. Turkey thus acquired a
    front-line role in general global governance, from winning the war against he new
    security threat of terrorism to creating a new global order based on democratic values as a
    whole. It had gone from being the source of a small problem to a key part of the solution
    of the greatest global threat of the time.
    The 2004 summit’s outside participation represented an alternative to the expanded
    participation formula that the G8 had pioneered in France in 2003 and that it returned to
    in Britain in 2005, Russia in 2006, Germany in 2007, and Japan in 2008. It was centred
    on a growing partnership with the Group of Five (G5) of Brazil, China, India, Mexico
    and South Africa (with no Middle East state at all) and then the broader Major
    Economies Forum (formerly the Major Economies Meeting of 16) with G20 members
    Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Argentina left out. A third threat to Turkey’s inclusion in the
    centre of global governance came in the vision of Italy’s Silvio Berlusconi and France’s
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 10
    Nicolas Sarkozy of having non-democratic Egypt represent the Middle East, perhaps
    even for the latter in the form of an institutionalized G14.
    However, Turkey defeated the threat, in part because of its membership in the new G20
    summit. On November 12, 2008, Berlusconi, the incoming host of the G8 summit in
    2009, held the first ever Italian-Turkish summit in Turkey’s western province of Izmir. It
    took place immediately before the first G20 summit in Washington DC on November 15,
    which both leaders would attend. The Izmir meeting was to discuss the participation of
    Turkey and some other countries in the G8 (November 10, 2008, Anadolu Agency). Due
    to the G20, Turkey was moving more into the more exclusive, more multi-subject, more
    democratic G8 club
    Turkey thus arrived again at the G8 summit in 2009, after an absence of five years. It
    came along with almost 40 leaders for the discussion of food security on the final day.
    While Turkey’s status was diluted by the large numbers, the food security initiative
    endorsed that day, backed by US$20-22 billion in new money, was the signature
    achievement of the summit overall. In this way Turkey helped make the G8 that year a
    success. It also used its G8 participation for a high-profile achievement that responded
    directly to the top international issue on the minds on the minds of Turks at home (see
    below).
    Turkey as a Founding Democratically Diverse Member of the G20, 1999
    Long before Turkey started partially participating in the G8 club, it had become a full
    equal founding member of the G20 in 1999. It did so because Turkey was a democratic
    part of the west and a proven democratic pillar in the Middle East region and Muslin
    world beyond.
    Turkey had not been on everybody’s list as a candidate for inclusion in the G20 when the
    club was being designed. Its financial and economic weight and systemic significance
    was in doubt back then. It was ultimately accepted due to the American-Canadian-led
    overall strategy of linking Turkey more firmly to the West. As one important component
    of that strategy, the case for G20 membership proved persuasive. The calculation was
    that such a move was needed, given the precarious probability of EU membership for
    Turkey. G20 association would help further solidify the relationship between Turkey and
    the West and deepen the democratic tradition in the country. As a soon-to-be consumer
    rather than a producer of financial security when its financial crisis struck in 2001,
    Turkey was admitted to the G20 (but not the EU it desired), in order to sustain Turkey’s
    character as a stable, Muslim democratic polity in a Muslim-dominated Middle East.
    Turkey’s inclusion paved the way for it to receive the significant financial support it
    needed from the IMF in 2001.
    In the new global governance bodies born in 199, the G20 was the only one to put Turkey
    in the top tier. In the new Financial Stability Forum it was left out. In the new
    International Monetary and Finance Committee, embedded in the IMF, Turkey was not
    one of the 24 members, but only part of a constituency for which another country – a
    European middle power – spoke. Others were called upon to speak for the Middle East.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 11
    Turkey has not yet hosted and chaired a G20 finance ministers meeting, even though non-
    G8 members India, Mexico, China, South Africa, Australia, Brazil and Korea now have.
    Turkey joined Group 2 in the chair rotation of the G20, along with India, Russia and
    South Africa, when this arrangement was created a few years after the G20 finance
    began. South Africa hosted the 2007 G20 meeting, and India the 2002 one. Thus either
    Russia or Turkey would have been due to host the 2012 meeting, had the group follows
    its rotation schedule devised some time ago. However, with France now inserted to host
    the G20 summit and finance ministers meeting (along with the G8) in 2011, the new
    hosting order for the G20 has been redefined.
    Turkey as a G20 Finance Participant
    During the first decade of G20 finance ministers’ meetings, Turkey made its mark. At the
    very first meeting in Berlin in December 1999, Turkey stood out as the emerging
    economy agreeing with Canada, the US and Germany, that stronger codes and standards
    were needed to govern global finance, thus broadening the consensus beyond the G7 to
    embrace a larger, more diverse group.
    , mostly notably in its successful quest for status-enhancing and effectiveness-inducing
    voice and vote reform at the IMF. At Berlin in 2004 Turkey, along with other developing
    nations, wanted to know who would be behind a revision process of the IMF. At
    Australia in 2006 one of the achievements was getting the IMF directors to agree to a
    package of reforms including quota increases for the most significantly underrepresented
    countries, a group that included Turkey, along with China, Korea and Mexico. The G20
    worked out the two-stage approach to reform which would be implemented in subsequent
    years. It was significant, and a vote of confidence, that the international community
    looked to the G20 to help deliver on IMF reform. And the G20 thus delivered an
    enhanced status and influence for Turkey where the IMF acting alone had long failed.
    In 2007 Turkey began to bear of burden of making the G20 as an institution work. That
    year, of the three workshops held in preparation for the ministerial meeting, the one on
    Fiscal Elements of Growth and Development was hosted in Istanbul in July.
    Turkey as a G20 Summit Participant
    The advent of G20 summitry was a further achievement for Turley. Prime Minister
    Erdoğan very much enjoyed G20 summitry for the upgrade in status it represented, for
    the chance to meet G20 leaders face-to-face, and for the opportunity to have bilateral
    encounters with other leaders – those of the US most of all but also France, Germany and
    Russia.
    Washington
    In G20 summitry, Turkey has been an eager participant since the start. At the first summit
    in Washington, amidst the crisis of capitalism and the call for visionary solutions,
    Erdoğan’s priority was securing international regulation and supervision of domestic
    financial systems. He stood with Sarkozy in this regard, in a flexible coalition across the
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 12
    G8-non G8 divide, even though Turkey itself was surviving the crisis with its domestic
    financial system intact. They failed to achieve their desires.
    London
    Turkey attended the London summit sporting one of the strongest records in finance
    within the G20. It also came as a member that could maintain its general public finance,
    according to an analysis prepared by G-20. This analysis showed that Turkey’s inflation
    would drop in 2009 and 2010. G20 financial stimulate packages were expected to
    contribute between half and quarter percent to Turkey’s and other members’
    growth.4 Turkish ministers and officials worked seriously to prepare for the Summit,
    based on Turkey’s important position as an emerging economy. Its experience in
    containing its own crisis in 2001 had a real value for the other countries afflicted now.
    At the summit, Prime Minister Erdoğan secured Turkey’s goal of becoming a full
    member of an expanded, strengthened Financial Stability Board (FSB).5 Following his
    conversation with President Obama, Erdoğan said that Turkey was a country that could
    use its communication network successfully with both the Middle East and the West.
    Obama in return underlined Turkey’s leadership in the region and the importance of
    working together. At the summit’s end, Erdoğan said the decisions taken were “crucial to
    minimize the effects of the global financial crisis” (Journal of Turkish Weekly Friday,
    April 3, 2009). He added that the G20 countries had displayed a common will to
    minimize the social impact of the crisis. “As G20 countries, we will continue to work
    against the global crisis and shape a new international financial structure in the upcoming
    term … Turkey has made serious contributions to relevant efforts within the G-20. An
    IMF delegation will arrive in Turkey in April. We are in a position to reach a result based
    on the talks between Turkey and the IMF.”
    Pittsburgh
    Turkey approached the Pittsburg summit saying its strong response to the economic
    downturn was that those of a developed OECD, not a developing or emerging country,
    and thus that it warranted membership in the EU (BBC: 19 September 2009). The week
    before the summit, Turkey’s central bank cut its benchmark interest rate further to 7.25%,
    even as tentative signs emerged that the country’s economy was stabilizing. This showed
    Turkey was contributing to the stimulus that the European and global economy still
    needed. After shrinking severely in the first quarter of 2009, Turkey’s economy had
    expanded bout 5% in the second quarter. However, unemployment remained above 13%.
    Markets were wondering if Turkey would need a loan from the IMF, after the last one
    had expired over a year before.
    4 Turkish finance minister Mehmet Şimşek travelled to London on March 13 for the G20 finance ministers
    and central bank governors meeting on March 14 to prepare for the London Summit in April. He also
    met with executives of the IMF and World Bank before returning to Turkey on March 15.
    5 Minister of Foreign Affairs Ali Babacan stressed that reducing the impact of the current crisis and
    preventing similar crises required a global approach. The G20 meetings play an important role. The
    London Summit was important for international cooperation and coordination. Coordinated action was
    vital in order to overcome the crisis with minimum damage. The world needed a new architecture in
    which no country could say ‘I’m big, I’m special’.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 13
    Turkey was thus in a strong position at the summit. It sought and secured its key priority
    of making the G20 the permanent, priority centre of international economic co-operation.
    For here Turkey was a permanent, equal member of the top tier club. In the IMF and all
    other international financial institutions that mattered, such as the European Bank for
    Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), Turkey was not.
    Working Together for the Toronto to Turkey Transition
    Toronto 2010
    From this firm foundation, both Canada and Turkey approached the fourth G20 summit
    in Toronto with confidence, in common and convergent ways.6 As the first G20 summit
    co-chaired by an established G8 and emerging G20 only country, the Toronto summit
    was prepared on the basis of a broader and more balanced approach than the previous
    ones chaired by formerly hegemonic Britain and the United States alone.
    Turkey’s Standout Strengths
    Among the newly empowered emerging members of the G20, Turkey stood out in several
    ways. Amidst the new European-turned-global financial crisis catalyzed by the Greece’s
    bailout, Turkey comes (along with Korea, Indonesia, Brazil and Russia) as a once
    consumer-turned-provider of financial security – a sharp contrast to its arrival at the old
    Canadian-chaired G20 in 2001. It also comes as stronger, more globally supportive
    economic power than its neighbour Greece, a country that is already inside a now
    beleaguered EU.
    Turkey also comes as the only country that had raised its credit ratings by one or two
    grades despite the economic crisis; and could catch up with its growth before the
    economic crisis if it continued to grow around 5-5.5 per cent a year. Turkey had started to
    recover in the last quarter of 2009, even if unemployment, at 14.5% in January 2010,
    remained a key concern (Anatolia news agency, Ankara, in English 0734 GMT 15 Apr
    10). Turkey also comes as a country with expertise in Islamic finance which is a rising
    source of capital and investment in the world. It also comes with a leader who is a
    founding G20 summit veteran, as those of the United States, Japan and the United
    Kingdom are not.
    The Agenda
    Canada’s approach to its twin summits of the G8 in Muskoka on June 25-6 and the G20
    in Toronto on June 26-7 is based on a few fundamental features. The first is a sharp
    division of labour between the two summits, with the G8 doing its traditional
    development and security agenda and the G20 doing its traditional finance and economics
    6 The 2010 G20 preparatory meetings of sherpas were held in Mexico City in January 12, Ottawa on March
    26-27, and Calgary on May 24-25. The fifth meeting will be held in Toronto on June 23-24.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 14
    one. Duplication will thus be avoided, the time for global governance doubled, and a
    broader range of issues covered than would otherwise be the case.7
    The Toronto G20 will thus deal fully with Turkey’s key, well established priorities of IFI
    reform in voice and vote and resources, trade, and development. It will add coping with
    the Euro crisis catalyzed by Greece next door, a crisis that affects Turkey more directly
    and severely than Canada or other more distant states. It will also add the unemployment
    that afflicts Turkey, climate change, clean energy and the food security that its public
    puts in first place among their concerns.
    Participation
    Second, each summit will have fewer participants than its predecessors, and allow the
    G20 leaders to behave more as real leaders the way they do in the smaller, more
    likeminded, informal G8. As a result, under Canadian hosting and chairing of the G8 and
    G20, Turkey’s relative position is enhanced. At the 2010 G8 summit in Muskoka, the ten
    countries invited as guests are generally so small and new that they pose no threat to
    Turkey’s standing in the world.8 At Muskoka there will be no G8-G5 meeting and no
    MEM-17 one. All the G5 and MEM members will be only at the G20 in Toronto, along
    with Turkey as a full equal all the time. Egypt will be absent from the G20. It has been
    invited to Muskoka, even though when Canada invited Egypt to the last G8 summit
    Canada hosted, in 2002, Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak chose not to come. To
    Toronto Canada has invited as weighty guests only Spain and the Netherlands, giving
    Turkey’s leader a chance to perform and lobby in ways that advance Turkey’s European
    interests.
    Domestic Acclaim
    Third, this division of labour for the agenda and differing outside participation allows the
    leaders of Turkey and Canada to respond well to the key concerns of their citizens and
    voters back home. This is of particular importance to leaders who might face an election
    soon, as Prime Minister Harper leading a minority government always might and Prime
    Minister Erdoğan might as well.
    A GlobeScan poll of 25,000 respondents across 23 countries, taken for the BBC from
    June 19-October 13, 2009 showed those in Turkey rated the rising cost of food and
    energy as the most serious of the ten problems offered, rather than the extreme poverty
    that was in first place globally at 71% that will be dealt with at Muskoka or the
    environment and pollution in second at 64% or climate change in sixth at 58%. Turks
    also rated terrorism as one of their top three global problems, along with those in India,
    Pakistan, Indonesia, Spain and the UK. Globally, food and energy prices stood first as the
    issue that respondents had talked with friends and family about recently, while in Turkey
    7 Trade may well be dealt with by the G8 as well as by the G20.
    8 These are Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Malawi (as chair of the African Union), Nigeria, Senegal and South
    Africa, Columbia, Haiti and Jamaica. These ten, together with the G8’s ten (including two from the EU)
    make up a different “Muskoka G20,” still small enough and democratically like-minded enough (save
    for Egypt) for productive discussions to be held.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 15
    terrorism was in first place here. The Toronto G20 will deal with terrorist finance and
    terrorism as a whole. Food is due to be dealt with at both summits.
    In Canada, the state of the global economy was the issue most talked about with family
    and friends. A subsequent Canadian poll, taken from April 30-May 3, 2010 showed
    that—Canadians saw global warming as the most important agenda item (at 33.7%)
    facing world leaders at the forthcoming Muskoka-Toronto summits, with economic
    recovery in second at (27.2%) (Nanos 2010). Climate will be dealt with at both summits .
    Moreover Canadians felt Canada’s place in the world was strongest in freedom,
    democracy and human rights, with economic recovery second, open markets third, child
    and maternal health fourth, nuclear security fifth and global warming in sixth and last
    place. The first issue will feature at Muskoka and the second at Toronto, allowing Canada
    to play from its domestically perceived strengths at both summits it will host.
    G20 summits have dealt, along with the economy, with terrorist financing from the start
    and with food and energy since Pittsburgh in a serious way. The G20 finance forum had
    long had a strong track record here as well. There is thus a strong popular base for
    Turkish and Canadian leaders in contributing to make the G20 a central global
    governance forum.
    Format
    Fourth, Canada, Turkey and their colleagues have redesigned the G20 summit for
    Toronto so that finance ministers will be absent and the many heads of multilateral
    organizations invited will sit in the second row, as civil servants usually do, and speak
    only when they are spoken to regarding their technical expertise. All leaders, including
    Turkey’s will thus have more airtime to speak and be heard, especially as the heads of
    these multilateral organizations overwhelmingly come not from Turkey but from other
    states.
    This format allows more flexibility and spontaneity for leaders, who could thus use their
    summit time together to address the crises erupting at the time. In this regard, financial
    sanctions are relevant not only for terrorist finance but also against the North Koreans
    that have just attacked their neighbour to the south and against Iran against which a new
    round of UN sanctions seems soon to come. President Obama used his Pittsburgh G20
    summit to send a message to a nuclear committed Iran. Given this precedent, the leaders
    of Turkey and Brazil, along with a supportive South Africa, could use their free time at
    Toronto to advance their distinctive approach to this issue as well.
    Shaping the G20 System for the Future
    Looking ahead, Turkey sees the G20 as a central institution of global governance in
    which it is eager to play a leadership role. At the start of 2010, when the question of
    defining a hosting order for the now permanent G20 summit, after the French year in
    2011, Turkey, along with Mexico and Russia, offered to accept this responsibility in the
    near term.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 16
    Turkey’s vision for the future G20 contains a desire to expand its agenda (Kim 2010). It
    views the G20 as having both the power and responsibility to address issues beyond the
    finance core. This is particularly the case as finance and economics affect people as a
    whole and their central concerns. It is also because the G20 finance ministers and central
    bank governors have shown their capacity to make concerted efforts in broader field.
    Turkey’s central candidates for agenda expansion are climate change and poverty. These
    are highly compatible with those of Korea as chair of the November 2010 summit and
    with similarly placed members such as Mexico and South Africa.
    It is far too soon to forecast what Turkey’s key priorities might be when it hosts its first
    G20 summit. But several appropriate and attractive candidates arise. One is the need,
    beyond the IMF’s conditionality and even flexible credit lines, for additional financial
    safety nets and swaps that can be quickly deployed. A second is development that is
    driven more by the private sector, a vision that recently graduated Korea will advance at
    its G20 summit in Seoul in November and might at Toronto too. A third is development
    amidst diversity and danger. A fourth is helping get the Millennium Development Goals
    (MDGs) delivered by their fast approaching due date in 2015. A fifth is domestic
    financial regulation that works for and with Islamic finance. A sixth is climate change
    and clean energy, led by a Turkey on track to increase its share of renewables from the
    existing 20% to 30% by 2020.
    More broadly, as Turkey will be the first country from the Middle East to host the G20
    summit, its essential character as a country that durably respects democracy and diversity
    will stand out. It can thus pave the way to showing how development through democracy
    and diversity can bring progress to that troubled region of the world, and to the global
    Muslim community that lies beyond.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 17
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    Rice, Condoleezza (2004).
    <www.g8.utoronto.ca/summit/2004seaisland/rice040601.htm> (June 2010).
    Saunders, Doug (2010), Globe and Mail May 29, 2010, video reporting. Available at:

    article1585508/?cid=art-rail-g20
    Şekercioğlu, Eser (2009), CIGI, July 8.
    Şekercioğlu, Eser (2009b), “National Perspectives on Global leadership,” NPGL
    Soundings, September 27.
    Today’s Zaman (undated)
    Link to the press briefing given by a Turkish official at the 2004 G8 summit
    http://www.g8.utoronto.ca/summit/2004seaisland/turkey040609.html
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 18
    Appendix A: G20 Compliance, London Summit 2009
    Member Sept 2008 April 2009 September 2009
    N=1 N = 5 N = CCN =
    Germany +1 +1
    United Kingdom +1 +1
    France 0 +1
    Canada +1 +0.8
    European Union +1 +0.8
    Australia +1 +0.8
    Russia 0 +0.4
    United States 0 +0.4
    Brazil +1 +0.2
    Japan +1 +0.2
    Saudi Arabia +0.2
    Turkey +0.2
    Italy +1 0
    Mexico +1 0
    South Africa +1 0
    South Korea 0
    China 0 –0.4
    India 0 –0.4
    Indonesia 0 –0.4
    Argentina 0 –0.6
    All Average +0.58 +0.23
    G8 Average (9) +0.75 +0.62
    Non-G8 Average (11) +0.50a –0.03
    Note: G8 members are in bold.
    a Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and South Korea were excluded from this calculation due to lack of compliance data.
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 19
    Appendix B: Shocks 2009-2010
    Subject Status Source Spread Speed Scale:
    Deaths
    Scale:
    Destruction
    Democracy
    in Doubt
    Political Security
    Afghanistan War Old-New BMENA
    (Afghanistan)
    Bilateral
    Border
    (Pakistan)
    Regional
    (BMENA)
    Yes
    Korea –
    Cheonan
    War Old Asia (North
    Korea)
    Bilateral
    Border
    49
    NYC Terrorism New Yemen-USA Africa-America 0 0
    Detroit (Dec
    12/09)
    Terrorism New USA 0 0
    New York City
    (May 2/10)
    Terrorism New USA 0 0
    Moscow (Mar
    29/10)
    Terrorism New Russia N/A 38 Yes
    Energy-Environment
    Haiti Environment New
    Natural
    Disaster
    Americas (Dominican
    Republic)
    30,000-
    50, 000
    Chilean
    Earthquake
    Environment New
    Natural
    Disaster
    Americas N/A N/A 300
    Icelandic
    Volcano
    Environment New
    Natural
    Disaster
    Europe
    (Iceland)
    Europe-North
    America
    1 day 0
    Gulf of Mexico Environment-
    Energy
    New –
    human
    accident
    USA America-
    Mexico
    April 20-
    ongoing
    11
    Finance-Economy
    2007-9
    American-
    Atlantic
    Banking-
    Finance
    New USA-Britain-
    Germany
    Global 18 months 0 No
    Greece Debt Sovereign Debt Old Greece Europe Weeks 3 Yes
    European Debt Sovereign Debt
    (Bank)
    Old (New) Europe Global 1 day 0 Yes
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 20
    Appendix C: Leader Continuity in G8/G20 Countries
    G8 # of
    changes
    Summit 1
    (Nov 1975)
    Summit 2
    (Jun 1976)
    Summit 3
    (May 977)
    Summit 4
    (Jul 1978)
    Summit 5
    (Jun 1979)
    Summit 6
    (Jun 1980)
    # of summits
    for June 2010
    Leader
    France 0 d’Estaing D’Estaing d’Estaing d’Estaing d’Estaing d’Estaing Sarkozy = 4
    United States 2 Ford Ford Carter Carter Carter Carter Obama = 2
    Britain 2 Wilson Callaghan Callaghan Callaghan Thatcher Thatcher Cameron = 1
    Germany 0 Schmidt Schmidt Schmidt Schmidt Schmidt Schmidt Merkel = 5
    Japan 2 Miki Miki Fukuda Fukuda Ohira Ministersh Kan = 1
    Italy 2 Moro Moro Andreotti Andreotti Andreotti Cossiga Berlusconi =
    9
    Canada 2 N/A Trudeau Trudeau Trudeau Clark Trudeau Harper = 5
    Russia N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Medvedev =
    3
    European Union 0 N/A N/A Jenkins Jenkins Jenkins Jenkins
    Total: 10
    G20 # of
    changes
    Summit 1
    (Nov 2008)
    Summit 2
    (Apr 2009)
    Summit 3
    (Sep 2009)
    Summit 4
    (Jun 2010)
    Summit 5
    (Nov 2010)
    Summit 6
    (2011)
    # of summits
    for June 2010
    Leader
    United States 1 Bush Obama Obama Obama Obama Obamaa 3
    Britain 1 Brown Brown Brown Cameron Cameron Cameronb 1
    Canada 0 Harper Harper Harper Harper Harper Harperc 4
    Korea 0 Lee Lee Lee Lee Lee Leed 4
    France 0 Sarkozy Sarkozy Sarkozy Sarkozy Sarkozy Sarkozy 4
    Argentina 0 Kirchner Kirchner Kirchner Kirchner Kirchner Kirchnere 4
    Australia 0 Rudd Rudd Rudd Rudd Rudd Unknown 4
    Brazil 0 da Silva da Silva da Silva da Silva Unknown Unknown 4
    China 0 Hu Hu Hu Hu Hu Hu 4
    Germany 0 Merkel Merkel Merkel Merkel Merkel Merkel 4
    India 0 Singh Singh Singh Singh Singh Singh 4
    Indonesia 0 Yudhoyono Yudhoyono Yudhoyono Yudhoyono Yudhoyono Yudhoyono 4
    Italy 0 Berlusconi Berlusconi Berlusconi Berlusconi Berlusconi Berlusconif 4
    Japan 2 Aso Aso Hatoyama Kan Kan Kan 1
    Mexico 0 Calderón Calderón Calderón Calderón Calderón Calderón 4
    Russia 0 Medvedev Medvedev Medvedev Medvedev Medvedev Medvedev 4
    Saudi Arabia 0 Abdullah Abdullah Abdullah Abdullah Abdullah Abdullah 4
    South Africa 1 Motlanthe Motlanthe Zuma Zuma Zuma Zuma 2
    Turkey 0 Erdoğan Erdoğan Erdoğan Erdoğan Erdoğan Erdoğang 4
    Total: 5
    Notes:
    a. Assumes Barack Obama completes his term as president.
    b. Assumes the coalition holds and no election is called.
    c. Assumes no Canadian election is called before 2012.
    d. Assumes Lee Myung-bak completes his term as president.
    e. Assumes the 2011 Argentinian elections are not scheduled before the G20 summit.
    f. Assumes no change in government. Next election date is variable.
    g. Next election date is variable.
    h. Masayoshi Ohira died a few days before the 1980 G7 Venice Summit. Japan was represented by Saburo Okita,
    minister of foreign affairs, Noboru Takeshita, minister of finance, and Kiyoaki Kikuchi, the prime minister’s personal
    representative (sherpa).
    Kirton: Potential Partnership in Global Economic Governance 21
    Appendix D: Finance Experience of G20 Leaders in 2010
    Country Head Ministerial Experience Professional Experience Education
    United States Bush 0 0
    United States Obama 0 Lawyer
    Britain Cameron 0 0 Economics
    Canada Harper 0 Accountant MA Economics
    Korea Lee 0 Businessman
    France Sarkozy Budget, 1992
    Interior, 2002, 2005
    Economy, finance, and
    industry, 2004
    Lawyer
    Argentina Ki rchner 0 Lawyer
    Australia Rudd 0 0
    Brazil Da Silva 0 0
    China Hu 0 0
    India Singh Finance, 2008 Economist, IMF
    Governor of the Reserve
    Bank of India, 1982-1985
    PhD Economics
    Indonesia Yudhoyono 0 0 PhD Agricultural
    Economics
    Italy Berlusconi 0 0
    Japan Kan Finance Minister, 2010
    Deputy Prime Minister
    Mexico Calderón 0 0 MA Economics
    Russia Medvedev 0 Lawyer
    Saudi Arabia Abdullah Chair of the Supreme
    Economic Council
    0
    South Africa Zuma 0 0
    Turkey Erdoğan 0 0

  • Turkey opposition gains ground amid eastward drift

    Turkey opposition gains ground amid eastward drift

    By SUZAN FRASER (AP) – 23 hours ago

    ANKARA, Turkey — Turkey rallied behind Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan in his blistering condemnation of Israel after its commando raid on an aid ship to Gaza.

    But as dust settles from the May 31 attack, Turkey’s resurgent opposition seems to be gaining traction by articulating fears that Erdogan is steering NATO’s only Muslim member away from the West, jeopardizing EU membership efforts, and even undermining a long-running battle against separatist Kurds.

    The views of the Republican People’s Party — which considers itself a guarantor of secular values and enjoys a power base among Western-leaning urban elites — are increasingly important.

    The movement has a popular new leader following the resignation of its chairman over a sex scandal and many have high hopes that he can rejuvenate the party, presenting a viable alternative to Erdogan and anchoring Turkey firmly back in its Western orientation.

    Kemal Kilicdaroglu made a name for himself by exposing corruption within Erdogan party’s that led to two senior officials stepping down.

    While condemning the Israeli assault that killed eight Turks and a Turkish-American and calling on Jerusalem to end its Gaza blockade, Kilicdaroglu’s party has also criticized Erdogan’s confrontational style against Israel and accused the prime minister of trying to use outrage to win elections due next year.

    “We are witnessing a serious crisis of confidence between (Erdogan’s party) and the West … This crisis must end immediately,” Kilicdaroglu said in a speech.

    A recent opinion poll shows that the Republican People’s Party has made gains since Kilicdaroglu took the party reins, although Erdogan’s Justice and Democracy Party remains more popular.

    The survey, conducted by the Konsensus research company for Haberturk newspaper and published Saturday, shows 38.8 percent backing Erdogan’s party against 31.3 percent for Kilicdaroglu’s Republicans — up from the 25 percent support for the party under the previous leadership. No margin of error was given.

    “The belief that there is no alternative to (Erdogan’s party) has ended with Kilicdaroglu becoming chairman,” Konsensus general manager Murat Sari was quoted as saying.

    The survey, however, showed that Kilicdaroglu gained support from a nationalist party, not from Erdogan’s ruling party, suggesting that skepticism about the opposition remains widespread.

    The Republican Party has long projected a strict — and some say intolerant — form of secularism that has opposed among other things, young women wearing Islamic-style headscarves at universities.

    It claims to be the heir to the legacy of Turkey’s modernizing founding father, Mustafa Kemal Ataturk. But its coziness with the military, elitist attitudes toward rural Turkey, and opposition to some reforms designed to boost Turkey’s EU membership chances have driven many liberal supporters away. Many also accept that Erdogan’s party, in power since 2002, has been a better steward of economic and social reforms.

    For his part, Erdogan has alarmed liberals with his threats to scuttle Turkey’s longstanding alliance with Israel, his questioning of Washington’s international leadership, and his willingness to cultivate friendships with hardline Islamic nations like Iran and Syria.

    Increasingly, analysts who praised Erdogan for raising Turkey’s standing in the Middle East are now warning that the government is acting out of emotion not reason in its dealings with Israel and the West.

    “Unless someone says stop, the present atmosphere threatens to marginalize Turkey in the long term,” wrote Asli Aydintasbas, a columnist for liberal Milliyet newspaper.

    Overwhelming support for Erdogan in elections in 2007 “were not for Hamas but for a ‘western Muslim’ Turkey that increased its global weight both in the East and in the West,” Aydintasbas said.

    Military analysts have voiced concerns that Turkey’s new foreign policy is harming its interests, undermining its fight against autonomy-seeking Kurdish rebels.

    The United States has been providing intelligence on Kurdish rebel movements in northern Iraq, where a bulk of the rebels are in hiding, while Turkey uses drones recently purchased from Israel to spy on the guerrilla group.

    On Saturday, about 60 rebels attacked a military outpost on the Turkish-Iraqi border, killing nine soldiers, according to the military.

    The attack raised questions as to how they were able to reach the outpost undetected and some speculated that the United States may have withheld crucial intelligence.

    But Maj. Gen. Ferit Guler, secretary-general of the Turkish military, insisted that a successful intelligence cooperation with the United States was still in place.

    The military has long supported Turkey’s military alliance with Israel, which has provided crucial military equipment, such as the drones and modernized Turkish fighter jets and tanks.

    Erdogan insists it is committed to its alliance with the United States and NATO and that his government still seeks EU membership, although he has also accused European countries of having a “secret agenda” to keep Turkey out.

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  • Wait and See Game for Turkey’s Enforcement of UN Sanctions on Iran

    Wait and See Game for Turkey’s Enforcement of UN Sanctions on Iran

    Dorian Jones | IstanbuL

    21 June 2010

    ahmedinajad erdogan 17may10 480 eng 300 eng

    Photo: AFP

    Iran’s President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad flashes the V-sign for victory as Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan looks on after the Islamic republic inked a nuclear fuel swap deal in Tehran (File Photo – 17 May 2010)

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    This month, Turkey voted against the United Nations Security Council’s fourth round of sanctions against Iran. With Turkey’s Islamic rooted government increasing its economic ties with Iran in the past few years, fears are arising that the pivotal Western ally is in danger of swinging eastward because of resistance in Europe to its bid for membership of the European Union.

    Despite growing international tensions over Iran’s nuclear energy program, the Turkish government has forged ahead with energy deals with Iran, expanding its dependency on energy with the nation.

    These deals put Turkey in a precarious situation: to enforce or not to enforce the UN sanctions imposed on its neighbor Iran.

    Turkey has long been seen as a bridge between East and West. But its belief that sanctions are ineffective and that there are dangers in pushing the Islamic republic into a corner is likely to change its relationship with Western nations.

    Earlier this month Turkish foreign minister Ahmet Davutoglu expressed concern over the existing sanctions against Iran.

    AP

    “Turkey and Iran’s trade volume is around $10 billion,” he says. “And it can rise to $30 billion if sanctions are lifted.”

    Iran’s energy resources are seen as important by Ankara to break its dependency on Russian energy.

    Iran expert Gokhan Cetinsayar of Sehir University says that in addition to its dependency on gas, there are other trade initiatives with Iran that are economically key to Turkey.

    “75,000 trucks going on between Turkey and Iran every year,” said Cetinsayar. “Now there are energy deals. You know how important the Iranian natural gas and all other agreements and initiatives are economically important for Turkey.

    With large families usually depending for their livelihoods on cargo trucks, its estimated as many a million Turkish people depend on Iranian trade.

    With its increasing economic ties with Iran, there are growing fears that Turkey will balk at enforcing the UN sanctions against Iran.

    Turkish foreign minister spokesman Burak Ozugergin says Turkey has already paid a heavy economic price for UN policies with another of its neighbors, Iraq.

    “At the beginning of the 90’s, the Turkish volume of trade with Iraq was around the 15 to 20 percent mark of our total volume of trade. The next year, after the imposition of sanctions, this trickled down to almost zero,” said Ozugergin. “Money is not everything. But at least if it did work then we might be able to say to our public, ‘look it was for a good a cause.’ But can we really honestly say that looking back? For Iran again we don’t think it will help to solve the nuclear issue and perhaps may work against it.”

    The new sanctions on Iran are expected to cut into the present $10 billion trade volume. It could possibly undermine its energy policy as well. But political scientist Nuray Mert of Istanbul University say some western nations may now not be able to depend on Turkey.

    “I was inclined to think that at the end of the day Turkey will join the club when it comes to realization of these sanctions,” she said. “But nowadays I can see the government is planning to avoid these sanctions. Because now we have Turkey signing a lot of economic agreements, against the policy of sanctions.”

    For now Turkey has remained circumspect over enforcing new sanctions. One foreign ministry official said “you will have to wait and see.” Analysts say Iran would probably reward any breaking of sanctions with lucrative energy deals. But the political cost could be high because of Turkey’s aspirations for joining the EU. The coming weeks will see Ankara facing a difficult a choice.