Category: Sci/Tech

  • The Turkish Model for Transition to Nuclear Power

    From the paper’s executive summary of Turkey’s non proliferation and nuclear diplomacy policies:

    History has shown that states willing to commit resources and time can overcome the technical obstacles and successfully develop first generation nuclear weapons. However, most nuclear-capable states have chosen to remain non-nuclear. The decision to pursue nuclear weapons is rooted in technical capability combined with decision maker intent. At the moment, policy makers worry that an Iranian nuclear weapon will force its neighbors to explore the nuclear option. The oft-repeated argument claims that an Iranian nuclear weapon will lead to a regional arms race. Turkey, along with Egypt and Saudi Arabia, are the countries most often cited as the countries most likely to develop indigenous nuclear capabilities to counter Iran.

    A Turkish decision to proliferate would seriously complicate its international standing, undermine its economic resurgence and seriously damage relations with the United States and its other NATO allies. Moreover, any Turkish move towards weaponization would draw a harsh rebuke from the United States and would likely be met by an American proposal to strengthen security guarantees, as well as the threat of sanctions if Turkey were to continue its weapons efforts. Given Turkey’s non-nuclear history and its long-standing reliance on the NATO security guarantee, it is hard to imagine a scenario where Turkey would simply cast aside its long-standing non-nuclear policy in favor of an independent weapons capability.

    As a whole, Turkish actions and statement suggest that Ankara will remain committed to the NATO security guarantee, while developing indigenous capabilities to increase its intelligence, surveillance and information management capabilities. The presence of NATO nuclear weapons in Turkey, as well as Turkey’s membership in the Alliance underpins its long-term defense strategy. Abandoning the Alliance or undertaking an illicit nuclear program would seriously derail defense planning and undermine Turkish security. A far more likely response to an Iranian nuclear weapon would be a re-evaluation of the battle readiness of the B-61s at Incirlik air base, as well as the acquisition and training of nuclear capable front line fighters. Together, these two moves would reinforce the underlying principle of deterrence, which stipulates that a credible deterrent rests on the willingness and ability to use nuclear weapons. Turkey would also be likely to speed up the deployment and development of BMD. More broadly, Ankara will be pushed closer to the United States and would likely join American efforts to contain Iran.

    Turkey’s non alignment with its traditional partners in the West on a number of issues related to nuclear and non proliferation policy should not however be taken as an indication that the Turkish policy elites harbor designs of developing a nuclear weapons program. The level of democratic maturity reached in Turkey and the long standing anchoring of Ankara within the Western precludes such an outcome. Turkish policy makers take offense in such unfounded and simplistic allegations. From the foreign policy as well, the development of concealed nuclear weapons program is devoid of a rational. Turkey’s goal is to enhance its position as a pivotal and central state based on an extension of its soft and smart power. This vision is surely incompatible with becoming the next rogue state of the region, which would be a sure recipe for losing elections in democratic societies. Even in a scenario where Iran would end up acquiring nuclear weapons despite all the efforts of the international community, the Turkish reaction would be to fully take part in the emerging strategy for containing Tehran.

    The full report can be found here :

    www.edam.org.tr/EDAMNukleer/edamreport.pdf

  • Turkey to improve its missile capabilities

    Turkey to improve its missile capabilities

    The country’s Supreme Military Council will discuss the purchase of long range missiles to improve its national missile defense capabilities next week. Final approval for the plan will be made by the Defense Industry Implementation Committee by the end of the month.

    MISSILEIran and Russia objected to Ankara’s decision to host an X-band radar system at a military base in Kurecik as part of a NATO-backed missile shield in the past. Iran threatened to hit NATO’s defense installations in Turkey if Iran is attacked by the United States or Israel. Russia also threatened to deploy missiles to target the missile defense system in Europe.

    Turkey will acquire 13 missile batteries and 72 missiles if the purchase is approved.

     

  • The Crazy Project – Canal Istanbul

    The Crazy Project – Canal Istanbul

    Trimestrale del Laboratorio
    Territorio Mobilità e Ambiente – TeMALab

    ISSN 1970-9870
    Vol 4 – No 3 – settembre 2011 – pagg. 53-63
    Dipartimento di Pianificazione e Scienza del Territorio
    Università degli Studi di Napoli Federico II
    © Copyright dell’autore.

    bogaz

    It was late April 2011 when the Canal Istanbul Project has been proposed by the Prime Minister (PM) Erdogan. The origins of the canal idea traces back through the 16 th
    century, during the Ottoman reign that the PM emphasized in his speech as “… a dream comes true…”
    Although an alternative sea route used to be a necessity for the transportation of timbers during the Ottoman Empire, this contemporary project targets great alterations in economic growth and to enhance the strategic position of Turkey in the global arena. The Canal Istanbul Project is grandiose not only because of its objectives, but also of the location choice, the financial model to be used in construction and because it provokes international maritime conventions. Since the facts on the Canal Istanbul Project are just referred to the speech of the PM Erdogan during the election campaign, in this paper, we speculate on the
    probable features of the Canal related to the current situation and assets of Istanbul. Next chapter focuses on the scope and motivation of the Canal Istanbul. Hereby, the speech of the PM has been mostly decoded in order to better presume basic reasoning of the canal. The following chapter underlines challenges and limitations on the realization of the project. The chapter four covers several speculations we developed on the implementation
    approach of the project. A critical question arises at the chapter five such as “Istanbul will be a winner or loser due to the canal project?”.

    Download full article

  • Lessons from Fukushima crisis should be applied in Turkey

    Lessons from Fukushima crisis should be applied in Turkey

    TOKYO (Kyodo) — Japanese industry minister Yukio Edano expressed hope Monday for the deepening of bilateral cooperation with Turkey in the area of nuclear power generation, including exports of related Japanese technology, saying the lessons learned from the Fukushima nuclear crisis should be utilized in quake-prone Turkey.

    In this March 11, 2011 photo released Monday, April 11, 2011 by Tokyo Electric Power Co.,(TEPCO), the access road at the compound of the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power plant is flooded as tsunami hit the facility following a massive earthquake in Okuma town, Fukushima Prefecture, northeastern Japan. (AP Photo/Tokyo Electric Power Co.,)
    In this March 11, 2011 photo released Monday, April 11, 2011 by Tokyo Electric Power Co.,(TEPCO), the access road at the compound of the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power plant is flooded as tsunami hit the facility following a massive earthquake in Okuma town, Fukushima Prefecture, northeastern Japan. (AP Photo/Tokyo Electric Power Co.,)

    Speaking at the Turkey-Japan Economic Forum in Tokyo attended by visiting Turkish Deputy Prime Minister Ali Babacan, Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Edano said that nuclear power generation is an “important area of cooperation” with Turkey.

    “We intend to advance cooperation in a way that Turkey can apply the lessons of the accident (at the Fukushima Daiichi plant),” Edano said.

    “The nuclear accident is steadily moving toward a situation where it is brought under control,” Edano said, adding that Japan intends to realize a cold shutdown of the plant reactors by the end of this year.

    In October, Edano requested in a meeting with Turkish energy minister Taner Yildiz that Ankara continue talks with Tokyo over a nuclear power plant deal in Turkey.

    (Mainichi Japan) December 6, 2011

    via Lessons from Fukushima crisis should be applied in Turkey: Edano – The Mainichi Daily News.

  • Turkey to send 10 techno entrepreneurs to Silicon Valley

    Turkey to send 10 techno entrepreneurs to Silicon Valley

    Turkey to send 10 techno entrepreneurs to Silicon Valley

    71Speaking to the AA after his visits in the Silicon Valley, Ergun said that Turkey would send groups of 10 young Turkish techno entrepreneurs to the Silicon Valley for periods of up to 3 months.

    Turkish Science, Industry and Technology Minister Nihat Ergun visited Apple Corporation and Google in San Francisco’s Silicon Valley on Monday.

    Speaking to the AA after his visits in the Silicon Valley, Ergun said that Turkey would send groups of 10 young Turkish techno entrepreneurs to the Silicon Valley for periods of up to 3 months.

    “These young Turks can stay at the Silicon Valley for three months. They can develop their software here. They will have a chance to make presentations to the executives of giant corporations at the Silicon Valley. I believe that this is a crucial opportunity to open up to the world. We will bear all expenses of the young Turkish entrepreneurs. We will begin sending groups of Turks to the Silicon Valley as of 2012,” Ergun stressed.

    AA

  • Navigating Turkey – NYTimes.com

    Navigating Turkey – NYTimes.com

    Navigating Turkey

    By ANDREW FINKEL

    ISTANBUL — G.P.S. navigator devices have started popping up on the dashboards of Istanbul taxis, but I’ve assumed that, like furry dice and troll dolls with wobbly heads, they are fashion statements more than tools. I’ve never seen a driver use one unprompted or even consult a conventional street atlas.

    Maybe drivers don’t bother because Istanbul’s municipal authorities change the names of streets with arbitrary frequency. My own street, less than 50 meters long, was renamed from one type of flower to another just three years ago, the fourth change since 1939. The other day I was informed that our house number had also been changed — from 4 to 6 — which is odd because there is only one other house on the street. An astonishing 12,000 villages, or 35 percent of the country’s total, were renamed between 1940 and 2000. Many have been Turkified from Greek, Armenian or Kurdish. In the other cases, the reasons for the changes are unclear.

    By far the greatest hurdle to cartographic literacy in Turkey is that officialdom still regards maps with the same sort of Cold War suspicion it once had for Polaroid photos of tank traps or lemon-juice sketches of naval yards. This is an expression of the view that information is power and so is best released sparingly. The military’s General Command of Mapping decides whether a map is in the public interest or could be “exploited in the international arena,” and there are stiff penalties for those who disagree. In practice, this prohibits the publication of maps at a scale larger than 1:200,000 — where one centimeter represents two kilometers — a degree of precision more than adequate if you are driving from town to town but not if you are rambling from hither to yon. The famous British Ordnance Survey paper maps, beloved of British hikers, are typically 1:25,000.

    There are exceptions. Some firms may produce detailed city maps under special license and provide mapping data for commercial use. The Turkish military issues large-scale maps that, despite being marked “TOP SECRET,” find their way to the academics or road builders who need them most. And hotel clerks happily provide guests with fold-ups that show the way to the Blue Mosque and back. But Turkey is the only place I’ve been in Europe with no public contour maps at a scale of at least 1:50,000.

    This is strangely anachronistic in the Google era, when satellite imaging can spot a dachshund on its daily run and Soviet military maps of Turkey at 1:100,000 are freely available on the Web. The Turkish legislation dates back to 1925, when maps were printed on paper and not stored as vectors in digital code. But today the villains bent on using maps to do harm can get their hands on all the data they need, so it’s tourists, off-road bikers, archaeologists and guardians of the countryside who suffer. And in a natural disaster, keeping the 1:25,000 maps under military lock and key means more lives lost.

    The now-legendary example of how mapping can come to the rescue was Haiti during the 2010 earthquake. With breathtaking speed, members of Open Street Map — a voluntary Wiki-army of cartographers around the world — transformed up-to-date images taken by aircraft and satellites into maps that showed not only streets but exactly which streets were blocked by collapsed buildings or bridges. The information was triangulated with on-the-ground data from aid workers trying to reach people buried under rubble: their frantic text messages were translated by the expatriate Haitian community online.

    Crowdsourcing, or turning the interested man or woman on the street — and the Web — into a mini-Mercator, is the way of the future, according to Suha Ulgen, who advises the U.N.’s chief information technology officer on how to use maps for humanitarian responses. A Turkish national, Ulgen tried to repeat the Haiti experiment during the recent earthquake in eastern Turkey. “Google maps just didn’t show enough detail for the worst-hit town of Ercis,” he said. So with the private satellite-imagery company Digital Globe providing the images and Open Street Map interpreting the data, he set to work.

    The result was an instant digital map of Ercis brimming with all the information the rescuers needed. Yet it only had a limited impact. The emergency services were too distracted, and in some cases local responders were too busy rescuing their own relatives to take on a new technology.

    The answer, Ulgen concluded, is to raise map-awareness before disaster strikes, especially in a country as seismically active as Turkey. This means claiming maps as a right rather than something the authorities let us see on a need-to-know basis.

    I’m doing my bit. Now, whenever I get into a cab with a sat-nav, I insist that the driver turn it on. On a recent sortie, I was trying to get to an address at the periphery of Istanbul’s main airport. “It’s no use,” the cabbie told me after the screen came up blank. “It’s a classified zone.” We got there eventually, but the traditional way, following his nose and rolling down the window to ask for directions.

    Andrew Finkel has been a foreign correspondent in Istanbul for over 20 years, as well as a columnist for Turkish-language newspapers. His latest book, “Turkey: What Everyone Needs to Know,” will be published next year.

    via Navigating Turkey – NYTimes.com.