Category: Business

  • In Turkey, Western Companies Find Stability and Growth

    In Turkey, Western Companies Find Stability and Growth

    By MARK SCOTT
    Tolga Bozoglu/European Pressphoto AgencyYeni Raki, a brand of a Turkish alcoholic drink, is produced by Mey Icki, a company that was bought by Diageo.

    LONDON — Turkey’s split personality has often left it caught between two worlds. Some European nations have vocally opposed the country’s attempts to build closer ties with the West. And many of its Middle Eastern neighbors have been wary of the avidly secular state.

    Now, the country’s identity is an advantage for deal makers. Turkey doesn’t have the economic baggage of its European neighbors, which are dealing with the sovereign debt crisis. With a relatively stable government, it has also angled for a more prominent role in the Middle East, as countries like Syria and Libya continue to face turmoil.

    The combination of economic growth and political stability has attracted cash-rich companies looking to make acquisitions. So far this year, deal volume has totaled $10.6 billion, ahead of European countries like Austria, Portugal and the Czech Republic. In 2010, mergers and acquisitions reached $25.6 billion, up from $1.1 billion a decade ago.

    “The economic backdrop in Turkey is better than in other European economies and has been rebounding faster,” Emre Yildirim, an executive director at JPMorgan Chase who focuses on Turkish mergers and acquisitions. “It’s a large country that’s growing quickly, so it makes strategic sense for companies to take a look.”

    The country’s rapid growth has been a critical factor for foreign buyers. Turkey’s gross domestic product is on track to increase by 8 percent this year.

    It also has a growing middle class, an attractive characteristic to Western consumer product companies. The local population totals more than 73 million, almost the same size as Europe’s largest economy, Germany. And the country’s G.D.P per capita has more than doubled to $10,094 in the last decade, according to the World Bank

    Turkey is hardly immune from the usual growing pains associated with emerging markets. Inflation hovers near 10 percent, affecting the country’s overall competitiveness. Reliance on debt-ridden Europe may also start to pinch. Roughly 50 percent of Turkish exports are bought by countries in the European Union, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, a policy research organization based in Paris.

    Still, Turkey “remains one of the good performers,” said Rauf Gönenç, chief economist for Turkey at the O.E.C.D. While growth is expected to slip to 3 percent next year, the country outpaces its European counterparts, many of which are heading for recession in 2012.

    From a deal-making perspective, the region’s troubles may help spur activity, notably in the financial services sector. Over the last decade, European banks, including the National Bank of Greece and UniCredit of Italy, acquired local institutions as part of their debt-fueled expansion. Now, many of Europe’s banks, which are facing losses linked to their sovereign bond exposure, want to sell assets outside their local markets to meet new capital requirements.

    One target could be DenizBank, the Turkish subsidiary of Dexia, the Franco-Belgian bank that received a $5.4 billion government bailout in October. As part of Dexia’s nationalization, the European bank has agreed to be broken up. Analysts say a number of relatively strong international players, including HSBC, are circling the local operations in Turkey.

    “International banks may look to make disposals and sell profitable Turkish assets as part of their global deleveraging,” said Mr. Yildirim of JPMorgan.

    Foreign companies are also trying to capitalize on the growing consumer demand.

    Earlier this year, Diageo started moving to expand into the emerging markets, aiming to increase its revenue from such economies to 50 percent by 2015. Turkey was at the top of the list. Each year, more than one million people reach the country’s legal drinking age. And despite the country’s large Muslim population, local authorities encouraged foreign investment, said Andrew Morgan, president of Diageo’s European operations.

    “Turkey has attractive G.D.P growth, is politically stable and has a big population,” Mr. Morgan said. “It’s a very important market for us.”

    In August, Diageo bought Mey Içki, Turkey’s largest spirits company, from the private equity firm TPG Capital for $2.1 billion. The local business has more than an 80 percent market share in the local spirit Raki. It also operates roughly 50,000 outlets across Turkey that Diageo now uses to sell its international brands, such as Johnnie Walker and Smirnoff.

    Other Western firms also are tapping into the local consumer market. In November, the brewer SABMiller agreed to buy a 24 percent stake in the Turkish beverage company Anadolu Efes in a deal worth $1.9 billion. To take advantage of rising domestic and international energy prices, the British investment firm Vallares, founded by Tony Hayward, the former chief executive of BP, bought the Turkish oil and gas exploration company Genel Energy for $2.1 billion.

    Turkey’s renewed push to privatize state-owned industries has attracted international attention, too. As it has liberalized over the last 20 years, politicians have sold to the private sector stakes in much of Turkey’s energy and telecom industries. To further reduce the financial burden on state coffers, other government-backed businesses, like Turkish Airlines, which is 49 percent owned by the state, could soon be up for sale.

    “Privatizations will include infrastructure, financial and energy assets,” said Richard Evans, a partner at the law firm Allen & Overy, which opened an office in Istanbul in December to capitalize on the growing mergers and acquisitions activity.

    “Right now, Turkey is a much more attractive place to do business than Greece or Spain,” Mr. Evans said.

  • Analysis: Turkey helps pull the rug from under Nabucco

    Analysis: Turkey helps pull the rug from under Nabucco

    By Ferruh Demirmen, Ph.D.
    Houston, Texas

    Judging from the press reports, one would not know it, but Turkey, the presumed supporter of the Nabucco gas project, recently helped kill the project.

    It was not to be so. After all, the Nabucco project was designed not only to supply natural gas to the EU from the Caspian region and the Middle East, but also help Turkey meet its domestic needs. The intergovernmental agreement signed in Ankara amid media publicity in July 2009, followed by parliamentary seal of approval in March 2010, gave all the indications that Turkey would stand by the project.

    Turkey’s BOTAS was one of the 6 partners that developed the project. The Vienna-based NIC (Nabucco International Company) represented the consortium formed by the partners. The 3,900 km-long pipeline’s planned destination was Baumgarten in Austria.

    Not that the project was ideal for Turkey (). But compared to its rivals ITGI (Italy-Greece Interconnector) and TAP (Trans-Adriatic Pipeline), not to mention a host of “exotic” Black Sea options flagged by Azerbaijan, it was the most mature and most comprehensive gas pipeline project to connect Turkey and the EU to the supply sources to the east. Strategically it deserved Turkey’s support. It was the only project among its rivals that aimed to transport Azeri as well as non-Azeri gas. Turkmen gas was a high-priority objective.

    Surely, with its ambitious design capacity of 31 billion m3 (bcm)/year, Nabucco was under stress. What was holding the project from implementation was the lack of feed (throughput) gas. The feed gas problem caused delays in the project, and the capital costs soared (up to EUR 14-15 billion by most recent estimates). The Azeri Shah Deniz-II gas was identified as the initial start-up gas as from 2017-2018.

    But Azerbaijan, that owned the gas, and the Shah Deniz consortium that would share and produce it, were non-committal about supplying gas. That meant major headache for Nabucco. Turkmen gas input required the cooperation of Azerbaijan, and would be added to the gas stream at a later date.

    In the meantime, the rival projects ITGI and TAP emerged. Like Nabucco, these also counted on Shah Deniz-II gas for throughput. A winner-take-all pipeline contest was in the works.

    Still, Nabucco had a good fighting chance. On October 1, 2011, NIC submitted its proposal to the Shah Deniz consortium tabling transport terms. The rival projects ITGI and TAP did the same. A high-stakes waiting game would then start, during which the Shah Deniz consortium would pick the winner.

    The spoiler project

    All that changed when BP (British Petroleum), at the last minute before the October 1 deadline, came up with a new, “in-house” project: SEEP (South-East Europe Pipeline). It was a shrewd move, and immediately caught the attention of the Shah Deniz consortium – where BP is the operator and a major (25.5%) stake holder. The Azeri partner SOCAR, in particular, quickly warmed up to BP’s proposal.

    Instead of building a new pipeline across the Turkish territory, SEEP envisioned the use of BOTAS’ existing network (with upgrades) in Turkey and construction of new pipelines and their integration with existing interconnectors past Turkey. Azeri gas would be the feed gas. The destination would still be Austria, but the cost would be much less than that of Nabucco.

    Nabucco had come under threat.

    Behind the scenes

    Events behind the scenes further undermined Nabucco. On October 25 Ankara and Baku signed an intergovernmental agreement in Izmir in western Turkey. Details released to the press were sketchy, but one of the accords reached was to use initially BOTAS’ existing network in Turkey, and later build a new pipeline when needed, to ship Shah Deniz II gas to Turkey and the EU. Starting in 2017 or 2018, of the total 16 bcm gas to be produced annually from the Shah Deniz-II phase, Turkey would receive 6 bcm, and the rest 10 bcm would be shipped to the EU.

    Azerbaijan would be the direct seller of gas to the EU, with Turkey being a mere bridge or transit route.

    No mention was made of Nabucco, ITGI, TAP, or SEEP in the press release, but the footprints of SEEP were unmistakable.

    Demise of Nabucco

    Still worse news followed. On November 17, during the Third Black Sea Energy and Economic Forum held in Istanbul, SOCAR chief Rovnag Abdullayev announced that a new gas pipeline, which he named “Trans-Anatolia,” would be built in Turkey from east to west under the leadership of SOCAR. The new pipeline would deliver Shah Deniz II gas to Turkey and Europe.

    Azerbaijan and Turkey had already started working on the pipeline project, he said, and others could possibly join later. The planned capacity was at least 16 bcm/year –large enough to absorb all future Azeri exports after depletion of Shah Deniz II.

    While not stated so, the announcement made Nabucco effectively redundant. The announcement was an offtake from the Izmir agreement, and signaled a surprising, 180-degree turn on the part of Turkey on Nabucco.

    Turkey’s energy minister Yildiz Taner tried to put the best face in the press by claiming that Trans-Anatolian would “supplement” Nabucco, while the NIC chief Reinhard Mitschek expressed his “confidence” in Nabucco.

    More recently SOCAR’s Abdullayev maintained that Nabucco was still “in the race,” and NIC started the pre-qualification process for procurement contractors.

    For all these business-as-usual pronouncements, however, there was little doubt that Nabucco had received a fatal blow. If Trans-Anatolia, dedicated to Shah Deniz II gas, is built, Nabucco will lose its start-up gas, and with it the justification for a new infrastructure across Turkey.

    Without synergy from the Azeri gas, a full-fledged Nabucco project dedicated solely to Turkmen gas will also have a virtually zero chance of implementation.

    Nabucco, in its present form, was dead. (See also . A much-modified, “truncated” version of Nabucco, starting at the Turkey-Bulgaria border, may well emerge, however.

    Conclusion

    With Nabucco frozen in its tracks, the geopolitics of energy in Turkey and its neighborhood has changed dramatically ). What is surprising is that Turkey assisted in undermining a project that it had long supported. It was a project that encompassed both Azeri and Turkmen gas. To reduce its dependence on Russia for its gas exports, Turkmenistan has been eager to ship its gas to the West.

    Azerbaijan, apparently viewing Turkmen gas exports to the West a threat to its own gas exports, has been reluctant to cooperate with Ashgabat on this issue.

    Turkey acceded to the aspirations of the Azeri brethren, while ignoring those of the Turkmen brethren. Over the past year, as the EU delegates approached repeatedly Ashgabat for Turkmen gas (vis-à-vis a TCGP or Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline), Turkey chose to stay on the sidelines. This was a strategic mistake.

    Both Baku and Ashgabat could benefit from a synergy between the Azeri and Turkmen gaz exports, and Turkey could use gas from both sources to enhance its energy security. Being pro-active on TGCP and nudging Azerbaijan in that direction would have been a wise move for Turkey. On balance, there is little doubt that on the gas issue Azerbaijan has played its cards well – perhaps too well!

    ferruh@demirmen.com

  • Turkey to abide by WTO norms in French boycott

    Turkey to abide by WTO norms in French boycott

    burcuoglu

    Turkey’s Ambassador to France Tahsin Burcuoğlu speaks to reporters upon his arrival in Ankara. (Photo: AA)

    23 December 2011 / TODAY’S ZAMAN, İSTANBUL

    Turkey signaled on Friday that business reprisals against France will be restricted, saying there are obligations it has to obey in line with World Trade Organization (WTO) and Customs Union norms.

    “Turkey has obligations. The Turkish state can’t do this given the WTO and Customs Union rules,” Turkey’s Ambassador to France, Tahsin Burcuoğlu, told reporters when asked to comment on a possible boycott of French goods in response to a French vote on Thursday to criminalize denial of claims of Armenian genocide.

    Burcuoğlu did indicate, however, that the “man on the street” has the right to decide what goods to buy and what not to buy.

    The French National Assembly, the lower house of the French Parliament, adopted a bill on Thursday that sets a punishment of up to a year in prison and a fine of 45,000 euros ($59,000) for those who deny the Armenian genocide.

    Turkish businessmen earlier warned that French business interests would be also harmed if such a bill were to become law, referring to orders made by Turkish Airlines for Airbus aircraft and planned investments worth billions of dollars in the energy sector for which French companies would likely be bidders.

    However, the French government has warned Turkey against imposing unilateral trade sanctions, reminding Ankara of its obligations under WTO rules and its Customs Union agreement with the European Union.

    “We have to remember international rules and Turkey is a member of the WTO and is linked to the European Union by a customs union, and these two commitments mean a non-discriminatory policy towards all companies within the European Union,” said French Foreign Ministry spokesman Bernard Valero.

    The Turkish government has ruled out an embargo, but hinted that a boycott against French goods is not out of the question. “There will be an effect on consumer preferences,” said Turkish Science, Technology and Industry Minister Nihat Ergün.

    Burcuoğlu spoke to reporters upon his return from Paris. He flew to Turkey on Friday after he was recalled indefinitely to Ankara for consultation. His return to Ankara is one of several measures against France that was announced by Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on Thursday.

    Erdoğan said Turkey was cancelling all economic, political and military meetings with its NATO partner and said it would deny permission for French military planes to land and for warships to dock in Turkey.

    French Foreign Affairs Minister Alain Juppe, speaking to journalists after the vote, urged Turkey not to overreact to the assembly decision, calling for “good sense and moderation.”

    Burcuoğlu said the Turkish Embassy in Paris has received calls of support from an unexpectedly high number of people, including from French citizens of North African origin. He also said he was proud of some 5,000 Turks who exercised their right to demonstrate in front of the French parliament on Thursday to protest the bill.

    The ambassador also noted France has not recalled its envoy from Turkey. The French ambassador in Ankara left Turkey this week, raising speculation in the Turkish media that his departure was linked with tensions over the “genocide” bill.

    Burcuoğlu said the French envoy left for France for Christmas.

    via Turkey to abide by WTO norms in French boycott.

  • Ukraine, Turkey sign agreement on visa-free regime

    Ukraine, Turkey sign agreement on visa-free regime

    23-12-2011 15:09 Ukraine, Turkey sign agreement on visa-free regime

    Ukraine and Turkey signed an agreement on the visa-free regime of citizens’ trips. The signature of the document took place in Ankara in the presence of President of Ukraine Viktor Yanukovych and Prime Minister of the Turkish Republic Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

    “The agreement should introduce a visa-free regime for entrance, leaving, transit and stay of citizens of one party on the territory of other party state, based on valid travel documents, pointed out in the addendum to the present agreement, under condition that the term of their continuous stay does not exceed 30 days since the entrance date. At the same time, total term of their stay on the territory of other party should not exceed 90 days over each period of 180 days,” the statement of the Presidential press service informs. Yanukovych and Erdogan also signed a Joint Statement by results of holding the first meeting of the high level Strategic Council between Ukraine and Turkey. The document proves the countries’ striving to build relations of strategic partnership. A special attention was paid to strengthening of such priority trends of cooperation as power engineering, transport and modernization of the infrastructure. In addition, agreements were signed between the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and the government of the Turkish Republic on air communication, on cooperation in the sphere of quarantine and plant protection, on cooperation in the sphere of fishery, economic and financial cooperation, as well as an Action Plan for development of bilateral relations between the countries for 2012-2013, as well as the Program of Cooperation in the sphere of culture for 2012-2014.

    via Ukraine, Turkey sign agreement on visa-free regime / News / NRCU.

  • A Film about Turkish Airlines

    A Film about Turkish Airlines

    Turkish Airlines ist the fastest growing Airlines.Turkish Airlines is the best Airlines of Southeurope,the third best of Europe.Turkish Airlines has the best Economy Class onboard Catering of the world.Turkish Airlines is an 4-star Airline an works to be a 5-star Airline.Turkish Airlines is Globally Yours!

  • Ghana, Turkey to sign trade agreement

    Ghana, Turkey to sign trade agreement

    658401659 595234Ghana and Turkey will by January 2012 conclude bilateral negotiations for a free trade agreement aimed at increasing trade volumes between the two countries.

    The Second Secretary and Charge d’Affaires of the Turkish Embassy, Ms Ipek Zeytinoglu, announced this at the opening of the 2nd Ghana-Turkish Export Products Exhibition in Accra.

    Organised by Meridyen International Fair Organisation, the three-day fair which attracted more than 50 companies from Turkey representing various private sector businesses, ends on December 22, 2012. Among the products on exhibition are industrial machinery, plastic wares, detergents, woolen carpets, floor mats, confectionaries and automobiles.

    The exhibition comes on the heels of the 2nd Ghana Joint Economic Commission Meeting in Accra in October, which, among other things, charged the Trade Ministries of both countries to raise the volume of trade between the two countries to $1billion by 2015.

    In that regard, Ms Zeytinoglu said although the dynamism and entrepreneurship of the private sector in Ghana and Turkey had a primary role in enhancing our trade relations, an equally important role will have to be assumed by “our governments by providing an adequate legal infrastructure between our two countries and thus supporting our business communities”.

    Ghana-Turkey diplomatic relations started in the 1950s and has since blossomed. Ghana is considered Turkey’s third largest trade partner. Currently, while the country’s main export to Turkey include cocoa and gold, Turkey on the other hand, exports to Ghana commodities including stones, cement, metals, mineral oils, electrical machinery and equipment.

    The bilateral trade volume between the two countries amounted to $175 million by the end of 2009 and increased to $290 million in 2010, with that of 20 11 estimated to hit $400 million.

    Currently, the volume of trade weigh heavily in favour of Turkey, but Ms Zeytinoglu noted that to balance trade, “the business communities of our two countries will have to work hard and it is precisely the mutual organisation of trade fairs that will be instrumental.

    “From our side, we also urge the Ghanaian exporters to participate in the Izmir International Trade Fair which is organised every year in September in Turkey,” she stated.

    As an incentive to boost trade, she said the two countries also envisaged to conclude an agreement on the avoidance of double taxation.

    Mr Kofi Larbi, a Director of the Ministry of Trade and Industry, who represented the sector minister, observed that exhibition “provides us not only to strengthen the long-standing diplomatic ties and economic relations of our two countries but also to deepen trade and economic co-operation between Ghana and Turkey”.

    The search for export markets for products, he stated, had become very intense in recent times as countries all over the world were deploying considerable efforts to secure their fair share of the international market.

    He said the current focus of the trade and industry sector included the transformation of Ghanaian businesses and enterprises to become highly competitive create jobs and improve the livelihood of Ghanaians.

    For that reason, the director said the ministry was implementing policies including the Private Sector Development Strategy IT and a new National Export Strategy.

    “In line with the government’s broader objective of achieving a better Ghana for all, the trade and industry sector is committed to increasing international trade through an aggressive export drive based on improved competitiveness of local industries and enhanced competitiveness of Ghana as a business destination.

    He urged Ghanaian entrepreneurs to make good use of the opportunities that the fair would provide to create long-lasting relations between the two countries.

    The first Ghana-Turkish Export Products Exhibition was held in Accra in April 2001.

    via Ghana, Turkey to sign trade agreement | Business.