Category: Business

  • Turkish Economy Booms

    Turkish Economy Booms

    By JOE PARKINSON

    ISTANBUL—Turkey’s central bank governor warned Monday that inflation was his No.1 problem, as data confirmed the economy expanded 8.2% in the third quarter, smashing economists’ expectations and underscoring its reputation as Eurasia’s rising tiger.

    WO AI111 TURKEC G 20111212175719Monday’s official growth figure, compared with the same period a year earlier, dramatically exceeded market forecasts of a 6.6% gain and followed an 8.8% expansion in the second quarter.

    Turkey’s rapid growth momentum comes at a time when many of Ankara’s neighbors in the Middle East and Europe are struggling with political turmoil and bailouts.

    In August, Turkey’s central bank cut its main policy rate, citing concern over economic turmoil in the European Union. The bank has since moved to raise other interest rates as it battles rampant credit growth. Its concern over inflation—which rose sharply in recent months, driven by the Turkish Lira’s 30% fall against the dollar—stands in contrast to the stance of many emerging markets, which have begun cutting interest rates to spur growth amid concerns over the deteriorating global outlook.

    Speaking to reporters in London following the publication of the economic growth figures, Governor Erdem Basci said that inflation, which rose at its fastest pace in 1½ years in November to hit an annual rate of 9.5%, was now the “No. 1 problem” for the Turkish economy and that Ankara was ready to tighten policy further “if necessary.”

    At the same time, he said he was confident the bank’s decision in November to effectively double the overnight borrowing rate for commercial banks to 12.5% would be enough to combat the pressure.

    The governor’s comments appeared designed to soothe investor nerves over the prospect of a pronounced rise in prices after Turkey’s stellar gross domestic product figures confirmed the economy’s 10th consecutive quarterly expansion and a 9.6% expansion in the first nine months of the year.

    Market reaction to the data underscored those concerns, as the lira initially trimmed gains Monday before falling to trade almost 1% lower against the dollar. Turkish stocks extended losses after opening lower on mounting investor nerves over the global outlook.

    The selloff also came despite positive data on Turkey’s hefty current-account deficit, considered by many investors to be the economy’s Achilles heel. The deficit narrowed to $4.2 billion in October, after a $6.8 billion expansion in September, according to the central bank. That figure also beat market expectations of a $5 billion expansion, and suggested a marked turnaround in the balance in the growth of imports and exports. Import growth in the third quarter versus the same period a year ago slowed to 7.3% from 19.2%, while exports expanded 10.8% in the third quarter after a 0.6% rise in the previous period.

    Turkey’s Deputy Prime Minister and most senior economic policy maker Ali Babacan said the data suggested 2011 growth would expand more rapidly than the government’s expectation of 7.5% and that Turkey would be one of the “world’s fastest-growing economies in 2012,” Turkish television channel CNBC-e reported.

    Although economists were united in their surprise at the pace of growth, which prompted upgrades to Turkey’s GDP forecasts at several brokerages, many appeared to disagree on whether the data underscored Turkey’s momentum or spotlighted the imbalances in the economy.

    “The Turkish economy is unstoppable … importantly, seasonally adjusted sequential quarterly growth in the third quarter was 1.7%, which was a surprise to us and probably to market players, since we have expected a very mild increase,” said Ozgur Altug, chief economist at Istanbul-based BGC Partners.

    Royal Bank of Scotland said the data showed that Turkey continues to show “Asian-style growth dynamics,” but stressed there was little evidence of a marked improvement in the current-account deficit, which is expected to hit around 10% of GDP this year.

    Turkey’s red-hot growth stands in contrast with most neighbors in the European Union, in particular Greece, whose former Prime Minister George Papandreou called on his citizens to emulate the success of his country’s old rival in bouncing back from economic adversity. Rapid growth swept Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan to re-election June 12, cementing his position at the head of the region’s emerging political and economic power.

    A breakdown of the third-quarter GDP figures showed broad-based rises in output, with construction expanding 10.6%, manufacturing 8.9% and financial institutions a whopping 15.8%. Private consumption, which has propelled much of Turkey’s stellar rebound from recession as consumers have binged on cheap credit, also continued to expand strongly, posting 7% growth.

    But some economists cautioned that the lagging third-quarter figures didn’t contain the impact of the central bank’s moves to tighten policy by widening the interest-rate corridor and restricting liquidity. Capital Economics said in a research note that “while today’s data were stronger than anticipated, we think the following quarters’ data are likely to get worse … The data do not yet reflect the impact of tighter monetary policy since late October. This has pushed up interbank rates and is likely to weaken domestic demand even further by restricting access to credit.”

    Write to Joe Parkinson at joe.parkinson@dowjones.com

    via Turkish Economy Booms – WSJ.com.

  • Turkey-Pakistan trade deal seen next year

    Turkey-Pakistan trade deal seen next year

    Turkey-Pakistan trade deal seen next year

    Article | December 11, 2011 – 1:50pm

    Turkey and Pakistan will finalise the Preferential Trade Agreement (PTA) next year to boost bilateral trade, Murat M. Onart, Consul General Republic of Turkey, said at a meeting with members of Karachi Chamber of Commerce and Industry (KCCI), Zaman reported.

    The consul general said that the signing of agreement will help in boosting trade up to $2 billion between the two countries. Although both countries have potential but it was noted that trade volume was very low.

    The two countries have only $900 million worth of trade in which, Pakistan exports to Turkey were $750 million and imports were $150 million. The consul general said that Turkey inclines towards European market because its businessmen have better opportunities in those countries compared to regional markets. He also called on to improve construction sector. In this regard he said that that political support must be involved and government-to-government link is necessary to invest in this sector.

    On a request from KCCI that Turkey should invest in mineral rich province of Balochistan, the diplomat said that due to security concerns in the area, Turkish and other investors were shy to come to this area. “Until restoration of complete peace it is difficult to consider about investment,” he added. He, however, said that the recent ECO chambers conference had agenda for investing in Balochistan.

    He said Turkey would like to foster the trade, as it is a confidence building measure between countries. Various sectors for investment were outlined during the meeting. Shipping and railway links were also being considered between the two countries.

    via Turkey-Pakistan trade deal seen next year | New Europe.

  • Switzerland demands from Azerbaijan to accede to Istanbul Watch Convention

    Switzerland demands from Azerbaijan to accede to Istanbul Watch Convention

    51870Baku, Fineko/abc.az. Switzerland has demanded from Azerbaijan to accede to the international rules of watch-making industry turnover.

    According to the protocol of the 5th meeting of the Azerbaijan-Switzerland Intergovernmental Commission on Trade & Economic Cooperation held in Baku this week, Switzerland proposed Azerbaijan to join the Istanbul Convention to facilitate import of watch-making industry products. Azerbaijan declared its readiness to study the relevant proposals of the Swiss side.

    In addition, the Swiss side expressed readiness to increase assistance to Azerbaijan in the process of entering into the World Trade Organization (WTO) and integration into world economy. At that, within the framework of talks on Azerbaijan’s admission to WTO Switzerland asks the country to cut customs duties for watches.

    via Azerbaijan Business Center – Switzerland demands from Azerbaijan to accede to Istanbul Watch Convention.

  • Bankers are the dictators of the West

    Bankers are the dictators of the West

    Dnt let the banks get away with itROBERT FISK

    Writing from the very region that produces more clichés per square foot than any other “story” – the Middle East – I should perhaps pause before I say I have never read so much garbage, so much utter drivel, as I have about the world financial crisis.

    But I will not hold my fire. It seems to me that the reporting of the collapse of capitalism has reached a new low which even the Middle East cannot surpass for sheer unadulterated obedience to the very institutions and Harvard “experts” who have helped to bring about the whole criminal disaster.

    Let’s kick off with the “Arab Spring” – in itself a grotesque verbal distortion of the great Arab/Muslim awakening which is shaking the Middle East – and the trashy parallels with the social protests in Western capitals. We’ve been deluged with reports of how the poor or the disadvantaged in the West have “taken a leaf” out of the “Arab spring” book, how demonstrators in America, Canada, Britain, Spain and Greece have been “inspired” by the huge demonstrations that brought down the regimes in Egypt, Tunisia and – up to a point – Libya. But this is nonsense.

    The real comparison, needless to say, has been dodged by Western reporters, so keen to extol the anti-dictator rebellions of the Arabs, so anxious to ignore protests against “democratic” Western governments, so desperate to disparage these demonstrations, to suggest that they are merely picking up on the latest fad in the Arab world. The truth is somewhat different. What drove the Arabs in their tens of thousands and then their millions on to the streets of Middle East capitals was a demand for dignity and a refusal to accept that the local family-ruled dictators actually owned their countries. The Mubaraks and the Ben Alis and the Gaddafis and the kings and emirs of the Gulf (and Jordan) and the Assads all believed that they had property rights to their entire nations. Egypt belonged to Mubarak Inc, Tunisia to Ben Ali Inc (and the Traboulsi family), Libya to Gaddafi Inc. And so on. The Arab martyrs against dictatorship died to prove that their countries belonged to their own people.

    And that is the true parallel in the West. The protest movements are indeed against Big Business – a perfectly justified cause – and against “governments”. What they have really divined, however, albeit a bit late in the day, is that they have for decades bought into a fraudulent democracy: they dutifully vote for political parties – which then hand their democratic mandate and people’s power to the banks and the derivative traders and the rating agencies, all three backed up by the slovenly and dishonest coterie of “experts” from America’s top universities and “think tanks”, who maintain the fiction that this is a crisis of globalisation rather than a massive financial con trick foisted on the voters.

    The banks and the rating agencies have become the dictators of the West. Like the Mubaraks and Ben Alis, the banks believed – and still believe – they are owners of their countries. The elections which give them power have – through the gutlessness and collusion of governments – become as false as the polls to which the Arabs were forced to troop decade after decade to anoint their own national property owners. Goldman Sachs and the Royal Bank of Scotland became the Mubaraks and Ben Alis of the US and the UK, each gobbling up the people’s wealth in bogus rewards and bonuses for their vicious bosses on a scale infinitely more rapacious than their greedy Arab dictator-brothers could imagine.

    I didn’t need Charles Ferguson’s Inside Job on BBC2 this week – though it helped – to teach me that the ratings agencies and the US banks are interchangeable, that their personnel move seamlessly between agency, bank and US government. The ratings lads (almost always lads, of course) who AAA-rated sub-prime loans and derivatives in America are now – via their poisonous influence on the markets – clawing down the people of Europe by threatening to lower or withdraw the very same ratings from European nations which they lavished upon criminals before the financial crash in the US. I believe that understatement tends to win arguments. But, forgive me, who are these creatures whose ratings agencies now put more fear into the French than Rommel did in 1940?

    Why don’t my journalist mates in Wall Street tell me? How come the BBC and CNN and – oh, dear, even al-Jazeera – treat these criminal communities as unquestionable institutions of power? Why no investigations – Inside Job started along the path – into these scandalous double-dealers? It reminds me so much of the equally craven way that so many American reporters cover the Middle East, eerily avoiding any direct criticism of Israel, abetted by an army of pro-Likud lobbyists to explain to viewers why American “peacemaking” in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict can be trusted, why the good guys are “moderates”, the bad guys “terrorists”.

    The Arabs have at least begun to shrug off this nonsense. But when the Wall Street protesters do the same, they become “anarchists”, the social “terrorists” of American streets who dare to demand that the Bernankes and Geithners should face the same kind of trial as Hosni Mubarak. We in the West – our governments – have created our dictators. But, unlike the Arabs, we can’t touch them.

    The Irish Taoiseach, Enda Kenny, solemnly informed his people this week that they were not responsible for the crisis in which they found themselves. They already knew that, of course. What he did not tell them was who was to blame. Isn’t it time he and his fellow EU prime ministers did tell us? And our reporters, too?

    www.independent.co.uk, 10 DECEMBER 2011

  • Victoria’s Secret to Open Two Stores in Istanbul by Year’s End

    Victoria’s Secret to Open Two Stores in Istanbul by Year’s End

    victoriassecretinstanbul

    Photo Courtesy of Victoria’s Secret

    Million dollar bras; women who make the goddesses themselves jealous; the most awaited fashion show in the world; glamour, glitter and gossip. In Turkey, especially in the last six to seven years, it has been a New Year’s tradition to watch the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show after midnight. Over time Victoria’s Secret angels slowly but surely replaced the popular belly dancer performances that people used to watch on New Year’s Eve.

    This season Turkey’s newly found New Year’s tradition will be even more special because Victoria’s Secret is coming to Istanbul! Limited Brands — in partnership with Park Bravo Group and Kuwait based Alshaya Co. — is preparing to introduce Victoria’s Secret lingerie to the Turkish market. The first Victoria’s Secret store is expected to open by the end of November in “City’s” shopping mall of the fashionable Nisantasi neighborhood, while a second store is to open by the end of the year in Istanbul’s luxury shopping mall, Istinye Park.

    On New Year’s Eve the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show will probably air exclusively on cncb-e as usual. However, having watched Miranda Kerr float down the glistening cat walk wearing a $2.5 million bra embellished with diamonds, there is little wonder where Turkish women will be on the first day of the New Year.

    via Victoria’s Secret to Open Two Stores in Istanbul by Year’s End.

  • Armenian economist awarded by Turkish Galatasaray union

    Armenian economist awarded by Turkish Galatasaray union

    ANKARA. – Turkey-based Galatasaray Alumni Union, established by the Turkish famous Galatasaray Lyceum graduates, awarded famous Istanbul-Armenian economist Daron Acemoglu.

    84088Since 1908 each year the Union awards the citizens who brought a great benefit to Turkey with their international activity, statement on the Union’s webpage reads.

    “The Union decided to grant the Galatasaray reward to Istanbul-Armenian Acemoglu, who has its unique place in the world economy,” the statement reads.

    Acemoglu was born in Istanbul, Turkey. He graduated from the Galatasaray High School in Istanbul in 1986. He got his B.Sc. degree from the University of York, UK and his M.Sc. degree in Econometrics and Mathematical Economics and then his Ph.D. degree in 1992 from the London School of Economics. He is currently Professor of Applied Economics at Massachusetts Institute of Technology and winner of the 2005 John Bates Clark Medal. He is the 8th among most cited 20 economists in the world according to IDEAS/RePEc. In comparison, Nobel Prize winner Paul Krugman is the 13th.

    via Armenian economist awarded by Turkish Galatasaray union | Armenia News – NEWS.am.