Alexey Sinitsin, Head Expert at American-Azerbaijani Progress Promotion Foundation:
The article was written at the platform online conference entitled:
” The attempted coup in Turkey-cause and impact on regional policy and the economy”.
which was started by US-Turkey forum “Turkishforum” (Turkishnews.com) (USA) and International online information-analytical center “Etnoglobus” (Ethnoglobus.az) (Azerbaijan).
– All world mass media have been writing about the military coup in Turkey since July 15. It may seem strange to you, but sometimes I gain the impression that a lot of articles are written by the same author. Their main conseption of is frankly primitive, “There is a serious ideological conflict between Erdogan and the army which has been traditionally considered a guarantor of the secular nature of the Turkish state”. Of course, I agree the Turkey’s military had been long playing a major role in the nation’s politics. Especially as, the Turkish army was always ready to defend the honour and sovereignty of its country, and people were proud of the fact that they have the second largest and efficient army in NATO behind the U.S.A.
However, have you ever made up your mind to understand why the rebellious troops were stopped as people flooded onto the streets in support of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan? By the way, the crowd of ordinry townfolk enthusiastically welcomed him in Istanbul where he made his wrathful speech, saying that the military coup attempt was “an act of treason” and that those responsible would “pay a heavy price.” I think the people almost intuitively forsow all grave consequences of the military coup.
I would like to apply to only the foreign policy problems. Firstly, the junta would disavow all peaceable Erdogan’s steps as regards Russia. Secondly, the Turkish air force would try to start the heavy bombing campaign on Syria’s territory, and their aircrafts would turn into the targets for the modern Russin air defense systems C-400 (according to NATO’s codification, SA-21 “Growler”). A local war between Russia and Turkey would be inevitable. I’m sure that nor US neither Europe will render support Ankara, disregarding the Clause 5 of NATO’s Treaty. Somebody in the West dreams of such a war for a long time. The relations with Iran would be also broken off, and the Kurdish problem would become the most dangerous challenge for political stability in Turkey. And what is more, the Kurdish issue in Syria would cause the most serious tensions with the United States and Europe.
We know that word “a coup” is a criminal attempt to overthrow legal power by force. It comes from the French “coup d’etat” which is translated as “blow of state”. Turkey already had some successful “blows of state” organized by the military in the XX century. But President Erdogan suppressed the last such a revolt and rescued Turkey.
The different spiteful persons often repeat that Ankara which proclaimed the principle of “zero problems with neighbours” is left practically without any allies exepting Azerbaijan and some states of Central Asia. But today Turkey has got a good opportunity of cooperating with the reliable partners. I mean Russia, Iran, China and some other countries. It’s better then a permanet war which was prepeard by some criminals in the uniforms for realy independent Turkey.
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